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New Jersey Devils at Washington Capitals

FinalTV MSG+ 2, NBCSWA·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Washington Capitals 5-1. The Devils scored first and never trailed. The Devils led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nikita Gusev's goal at 3:28 of the second period, which took the Devils' chances from 64% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 4.2 to 2.3; shots on goal were NJD 22, WSH 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 78% of the time. Louis Domingue stopped 33 of 34 (.971), 3.2 goals saved above expected; Braden Holtby stopped 17 of 21 (.810), 1.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nico Hischier (2 G), 2. Louis Domingue (33 saves, .971), 3. Will Butcher (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    N. Hischier2 G
  2. ★★
    NJD
    L. Domingue33 saves, .971
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    W. Butcher2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD183915522
WSHWSH01219013134

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. NJD
    wristxG 0.16win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    5:27

2nd period

  1. NJD
    slapxG 0.11win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    3:28
  2. NJD
    B. Coleman(15)SHG
    backhandxG 0.19win prob +14 pts
    3-0
    6:48
  3. WSH
    J. Vrana(20)PPG
    wristxG 0.24win prob +7 pts
    3-1
    8:28
  4. NJD
    slapxG 0.14win prob +10 pts
    4-1
    12:11

3rd period

  1. NJD
    M. Wood(6)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.00
    5-1
    15:04

Penalties

NJD 10 PIM·WSH 2 PIM

1st

  • 16:30NJDTravis Zajac · Slashingdrawn by Alex Ovechkin2 min

2nd

  • 1:21WSHTom Wilson · Slashingdrawn by Blake Coleman2 min
  • 6:17NJDMiles Wood · High sticking double minordrawn by Richard Panik4 min

3rd

  • 9:48NJDNico Hischier · Elbowingdrawn by T.J. Oshie2 min
  • 11:05NJDP.K. Subban · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalNJD goalFinal: WSH 0%

Biggest swing: Nikita Gusev, 2nd 3:28 — NJD 64% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.37T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.33J. Vrana · Goal · xG 0.24E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.19E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.17C. Hagelin · On goal · xG 0.16N. Dowd · Missed · xG 0.13T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.13N. Backstrom · Missed · xG 0.12J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.12A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.11J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.11T. Oshie · Missed · xG 0.10N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.09T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.09J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.09N. Backstrom · Missed · xG 0.08N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.08T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.08B. Leipsic · Missed · xG 0.08L. Eller · Missed · xG 0.08T. Oshie · Missed · xG 0.07N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.07B. Leipsic · Missed · xG 0.07T. Oshie · Missed · xG 0.06L. Eller · Missed · xG 0.06N. Backstrom · Missed · xG 0.06R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.06T. Oshie · Missed · xG 0.06T. Oshie · Missed · xG 0.06A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.06J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.05L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.05T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.04N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.04A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.04R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.04J. Vrana · Missed · xG 0.04L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.04T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.04J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.03N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.03M. Kempny · On goal · xG 0.03J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.03J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.03R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.02M. Kempny · On goal · xG 0.02J. Siegenthaler · On goal · xG 0.01B. Leipsic · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.00T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.00R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH1 G · 4.2 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsWSH
2.34 G
All situations
1 G4.2
1.33 G
Even strength
0 G3.3
0.70 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.31 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD22%78%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.26 – 4.09

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsWSH
22
Shots on goal
34
55%
Faceoffs
45%
0/1
Power play
1/5
10
Penalty minutes
2
13
Hits
19
18
Blocked shots
14
9
Giveaways
13
8
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6A. GreeneD011+110.03030—22:08
28D. SeversonD000+310.00310—21:22
76P. SubbanD000+110.01012—21:07
45S. VatanenD000+200.00010—19:36
20B. ColemanL101+180.962106718:56
5C. CarrickD011+100.01240—18:34
19T. ZajacC011+100.000127017:58
13N. HischierC202+220.301127117:18
8W. ButcherD022+210.09300—17:16
37P. ZachaC000+200.230103516:53
21K. PalmieriC011+200.00020016:35
63J. BrattL000+220.07010—14:28
97N. GusevL101+130.22000—14:20
44M. WoodL101+120.07104—12:56
17W. SimmondsR011+200.1910010012:32
16K. RooneyC000010.100001711:08
90J. BoqvistC000000.00000010:10
15J. HaydenC000000.00010009:34
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70L. Domingue(W)34331.9714.17+3.1760:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).