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Washington Capitals at New Jersey Devils

FinalTV ESPN+, MSG+·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the New Jersey Devils 6-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Capitals led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nicklas Backstrom's goal at 19:31 of the second period, which took the Capitals' chances from 47% to 67%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 3.3 to 2.0; shots on goal were WSH 29, NJD 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Ilya Samsonov stopped 24 of 27 (.889), 1.0 goals below expected; Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 21 of 26 (.808), 1.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nicklas Backstrom (2 G, 2 A), 2. John Carlson (1 G, 1 A), 3. Alex Ovechkin (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    N. Backstrom2 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    WSH
    J. Carlson1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    A. Ovechkin1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH21111236629
NJDNJD16111110327

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. NJD
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +9 pts
    0-1
    4:00
  2. WSH
    snapxG 0.02win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    18:25
  3. WSH
    wristxG 0.31win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    19:35

2nd period

  1. NJD
    backhandxG 0.15win prob +17 pts
    2-2
    4:15
  2. WSH
    deflectedxG 0.17win prob +20 pts
    3-2
    19:31

3rd period

  1. WSH
    snapxG 0.18win prob +20 pts
    4-2
    0:42
  2. WSH
    R. Gudas (9), N. Dowd (5)
    snapxG 0.01win prob +6 pts
    5-2
    6:53
  3. WSH
    wristxG 0.10
    6-2
    15:33
  4. NJD
    tip-inxG 0.08
    6-3
    19:37

Penalties

WSH 13 PIM·NJD 9 PIM

1st

  • 2:50WSHJonas Siegenthaler · Hookingdrawn by Miles Wood2 min
  • 6:09NJDSami Vatanen · Ps holding on breakawaydrawn by Carl Hagelin0 min
  • 15:46WSHBrendan Leipsic · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 11:41WSHDmitry Orlov · Slashingdrawn by Kyle Palmieri2 min
  • 15:53NJDSami Vatanen · Slashingdrawn by Lars Eller2 min
  • 18:50WSHGarnet Hathaway · Roughingdrawn by Miles Wood2 min
  • 18:50NJDMiles Wood · Roughingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min

3rd

  • 13:07WSHNick Jensen · Fightingdrawn by Miles Wood5 min
  • 13:07NJDMiles Wood · Fightingdrawn by Nick Jensen5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalWSH goalFinal: NJD 0%

Biggest swing: Nicklas Backstrom, 2nd 19:31 — WSH 47% → 67%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.28B. Coleman · Goal · xG 0.15A. Greene · On goal · xG 0.15J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.14P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.12K. Palmieri · Goal · xG 0.11B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.10M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.09W. Simmonds · On goal · xG 0.09M. Wood · Goal · xG 0.08M. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.07B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.07K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.06D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.06P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.06W. Simmonds · On goal · xG 0.05S. Vatanen · On goal · xG 0.05B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.04B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.03N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.03N. Gusev · On goal · xG 0.03N. Gusev · On goal · xG 0.03S. Vatanen · On goal · xG 0.03P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.02S. Vatanen · On goal · xG 0.02W. Butcher · Missed · xG 0.02P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.01W. Butcher · Missed · xG 0.01B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.00
NJD3 G · 2.0 xG · 30 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsNJD
3.36 G
All situations
3 G2.0
2.36 G
Even strength
2 G1.7
0.70 G
Power play
1 G0.2
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH73%27%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.29 – 1.95

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsNJD
29
Shots on goal
27
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/1
Power play
1/3
13
Penalty minutes
9
13
Hits
16
10
Blocked shots
14
8
Giveaways
12
6
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9D. OrlovD011+200.04002—21:31
74J. CarlsonD112+340.24030—20:34
33R. GudasD011+110.04300—20:19
6M. KempnyD011-140.08000—19:22
3N. JensenD000000.00015—19:06
8A. OvechkinL112+340.38200—19:01
19N. BackstromC224+330.610104717:35
43T. WilsonR022+110.15200—17:27
77T. OshieR000010.0501010017:20
92E. KuznetsovC000010.190004717:17
34J. SiegenthalerD101+310.02122—17:00
13J. VranaL000020.10000—15:08
20L. EllerC011020.160106314:19
62C. HagelinL011010.42000—13:40
14R. PanikR101020.33200—12:11
26N. DowdC011+110.180105011:12
28B. LeipsicL000+100.00102—09:57
21G. HathawayR000+110.33202—09:45
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30I. Samsonov(W)27243.8892.01-0.9960:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).