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Avalanche at Golden Knights
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Vegas Golden Knights

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
▸7
Vegas Golden Knights
3
FinalTV ESPN+, ATTSN-RM·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Vegas Golden Knights 7-3. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 5-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Gabriel Landeskog's goal at 14:06 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 68% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 2.2 to 2.0; shots on goal were COL 38, VGK 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Pavel Francouz stopped 29 of 32 (.906), 0.8 goals below expected; Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 31 of 38 (.816), 5.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Pierre-Edouard Bellemare (2 G), 2. Valeri Nichushkin (1 G, 1 A), 3. Pavel Francouz (29 saves, .906).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    P. Bellemare2 G
  2. ★★
    COL
    V. Nichushkin1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    P. Francouz29 saves, .906

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL312213213738
VGKVGK11811014332

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    P. Bellemare(5)
    J. Compher (15), I. Cole (14)
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    4:37
  2. VGK
    R. Reaves(4)
    T. Nosek (3), B. McNabb (5)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    10:23
  3. COL
    M. Nieto(6)SHG
    J. Compher (16)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +14 pts
    2-1
    14:28
  4. COL
    N. Kadri(12)
    Unassisted
    deflectedxG 0.12win prob +16 pts
    3-1
    17:35

2nd period

  1. VGK
    M. Pacioretty(16)
    C. Stephenson (4), M. Stone (22)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +13 pts
    3-2
    11:57
  2. COL
    G. Landeskog(8)PPG
    N. MacKinnon (33), S. Girard (13)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +17 pts
    4-2
    14:06
  3. COL
    P. Bellemare(6)
    V. Nichushkin (6)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +9 pts
    5-2
    16:58

3rd period

  1. VGK
    W. Carrier(5)
    N. Schmidt (12), R. Smith (16)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +7 pts
    5-3
    2:06
  2. COL
    M. Rantanen(11)PPG
    N. MacKinnon (34)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +5 pts
    6-3
    3:57
  3. COL
    V. Nichushkin(7)
    Unassisted
    deflectedxG 0.07
    7-3
    16:53

Penalties

COL 9 PIM·VGK 17 PIM

1st

  • 2:05VGKShea Theodore · High stickingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
  • 14:11COLJoonas Donskoi · Holdingdrawn by Nicolas Hague2 min

2nd

  • 8:49VGKDeryk Engelland · Fightingdrawn by Valeri Nichushkin5 min
  • 8:49COLValeri Nichushkin · Fightingdrawn by Deryk Engelland5 min
  • 13:45VGKNate Schmidt · Hookingdrawn by Matt Nieto2 min
  • 13:45VGKMax Pacioretty · Cross checkingdrawn by Matt Calvert2 min
  • 13:45COLMatt Calvert · Roughingdrawn by Max Pacioretty2 min
  • 16:58VGKserved by J. Marchessault · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min

3rd

  • 2:38VGKNick Holden · Trippingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
  • 14:32VGKNicolas Hague · High stickingdrawn by Andre Burakovsky2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalCOL goalFinal: VGK 0%

Biggest swing: Gabriel Landeskog, 2nd 14:06 — COL 68% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
V. Zykov · On goal · xG 0.26J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.24M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.20T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.17M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.11C. Stephenson · Missed · xG 0.11R. Reaves · Goal · xG 0.10T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.09M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.07M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.07M. Pacioretty · Goal · xG 0.07C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.07R. Reaves · On goal · xG 0.06M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.05N. Hague · Missed · xG 0.05W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.04A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.04N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.04N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.03A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.03M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.03P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.03W. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.02M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.02W. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.02M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.02D. Engelland · Missed · xG 0.02M. Pacioretty · Missed · xG 0.02W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.02N. Holden · Missed · xG 0.02N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.02T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.01W. Carrier · Goal · xG 0.01N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.01M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.01C. Stephenson · Missed · xG 0.01D. Engelland · On goal · xG 0.00D. Engelland · Missed · xG 0.00N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.00R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.00N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.00M. Pacioretty · Missed · xG 0.00C. Stephenson · Missed · xG 0.00M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.00M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK3 G · 2.2 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsVGK
2.07 G
All situations
3 G2.2
1.74 G
Even strength
3 G1.5
0.22 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.11 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL45%55%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.94 – 2.20

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsVGK
38
Shots on goal
32
52%
Faceoffs
48%
2/5
Power play
0/1
9
Penalty minutes
17
27
Hits
38
11
Blocked shots
15
8
Giveaways
9
9
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
49S. GirardD011-100.00110—24:18
29N. MacKinnonC022-220.150002923:34
6E. JohnsonD000+240.08100—23:06
96M. RantanenR101-230.16210—22:04
92G. LandeskogL101-130.371306721:59
27R. GravesD000+250.03510—19:56
91N. KadriC101040.233005519:24
16N. ZadorovD000-200.00300—17:55
28I. ColeD011+210.00110—15:16
72J. DonskoiR000+110.1310210014:57
11M. CalvertL000+220.08112—13:32
13V. NichushkinR112+230.14205—13:22
37J. CompherL022+110.011104012:12
41P. BellemareL202+240.201008012:05
54A. LindholmD000+100.00110—12:02
83M. NietoL101+230.33010—11:30
95A. BurakovskyL000-120.04200—11:25
17T. JostC000+100.001005010:20
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39P. Francouz(W)32293.9062.22-0.7860:00

Season series

COL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).