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Avalanche at Golden Knights
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Vegas Golden Knights

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
▸6
Vegas Golden Knights
1
FinalTV ESPN+, ATTSN-RM·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Vegas Golden Knights 6-1. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Cale Makar's goal at 7:55 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 63% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 2.5 to 1.8; shots on goal were COL 40, VGK 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Philipp Grubauer stopped 25 of 26 (.962), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 22 of 26 (.846), 2.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nazem Kadri (2 G), 2. Pierre-Edouard Bellemare (1 G, 2 A), 3. Cale Makar (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    N. Kadri2 G
  2. ★★
    COL
    P. Bellemare1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    C. Makar1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL21531916640
VGKVGK1609011126

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    P. Bellemare(3)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.12win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    0:28
  2. VGK
    W. Karlsson(2)
    R. Smith (2)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    18:30
  3. COL
    N. Kadri(4)
    C. Wilson (4), I. Cole (5)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +15 pts
    2-1
    19:13

2nd period

  1. COL
    C. Makar(1)
    J. Compher (4), N. MacKinnon (8)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +19 pts
    3-1
    7:55
  2. COL
    N. Kadri(5)PPG
    N. MacKinnon (9), S. Girard (5)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +9 pts
    4-1
    10:11
  3. COL
    M. Calvert(2)
    P. Bellemare (2), M. Nieto (3)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +4 pts
    5-1
    15:50

3rd period

  1. COL
    M. Calvert(3)SHG
    P. Bellemare (3)
    wristxG 0.08
    6-1
    17:58

Penalties

COL 10 PIM·VGK 8 PIM

1st

  • 11:07COLGabriel Landeskog · Roughingdrawn by Max Pacioretty2 min
  • 11:07VGKMax Pacioretty · Roughingdrawn by Gabriel Landeskog2 min
  • 16:04COLNikita Zadorov · Holdingdrawn by Reilly Smith2 min
  • 16:06VGKCody Glass · Interferencedrawn by Matt Calvert2 min

2nd

  • 5:35COLNazem Kadri · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Marc-Andre Fleury2 min
  • 8:44VGKPaul Stastny · Trippingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
  • 12:36VGKCody Eakin · Holdingdrawn by Gabriel Landeskog2 min

3rd

  • 8:20COLErik Johnson · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Reaves2 min
  • 17:36COLIan Cole · Boardingdrawn by Cody Glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalCOL goalFinal: VGK 0%

Biggest swing: Cale Makar, 2nd 7:55 — COL 63% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Pirri · On goal · xG 0.20W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.16M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.13R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.13R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.10W. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.09M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.08W. Karlsson · Goal · xG 0.07J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.07M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.07M. Pacioretty · Missed · xG 0.06J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.05M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.05M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.05R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.05J. Merrill · Missed · xG 0.04N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.04M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.04M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.04J. Bischoff · On goal · xG 0.03B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.03N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.02S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.02R. Reaves · On goal · xG 0.02W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.02T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.02S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.01T. Nosek · Missed · xG 0.01N. Holden · Missed · xG 0.01D. Engelland · On goal · xG 0.01S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.01W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.01J. Bischoff · On goal · xG 0.01J. Merrill · On goal · xG 0.01W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.01B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK1 G · 1.8 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsVGK
2.56 G
All situations
1 G1.8
2.04 G
Even strength
1 G1.3
0.31 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL64%36%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.48 – 1.75

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsVGK
40
Shots on goal
26
48%
Faceoffs
52%
1/3
Power play
0/4
10
Penalty minutes
8
15
Hits
28
14
Blocked shots
20
5
Giveaways
12
11
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6E. JohnsonD000+210.03312—21:32
16N. ZadorovD000+230.05222—21:25
28I. ColeD011+130.04322—19:56
29N. MacKinnonC022+140.33200019:28
49S. GirardD011+210.02010—18:48
27R. GravesD000000.00130—18:35
92G. LandeskogL000+130.2810210018:34
37J. CompherL011+100.000004317:47
8C. MakarD101+130.48110—17:09
91N. KadriC202+140.261024215:33
72J. DonskoiR000010.07000—14:29
17T. JostC000020.080103313:17
95A. BurakovskyL000-120.13000—12:48
41P. BellemareL123+340.210206012:44
83M. NietoL011+230.13000—12:40
13V. NichushkinR000-120.10110—12:04
22C. WilsonC011+100.00000012:04
11M. CalvertL202+340.29000—11:07
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31P. Grubauer(W)26251.9621.76+0.7660:00

Season series

COL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).