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New York Rangers at Philadelphia Flyers

FinalTV NBCSN, NBCSP·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the New York Rangers 5-1. The Rangers scored first; the Flyers answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kevin Hayes's goal at 7:31 of the third period, which took the Flyers' chances from 52% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 3.5 to 2.9; shots on goal were NYR 35, PHI 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Henrik Lundqvist stopped 25 of 30 (.833), 2.1 goals below expected; Carter Hart stopped 34 of 35 (.971), 2.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Kevin Hayes (2 G), 2. Carter Hart (34 saves, .971), 3. Travis Sanheim (2 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    K. Hayes2 G
  2. ★★
    PHI
    C. Hart34 saves, .971
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    T. Sanheim2 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR08114013135
PHIPHI01217411530

Scoring

6 goals

2nd period

  1. NYR
    J. Fast(6)SHG
    wristxG 0.19win prob +19 pts
    1-0
    6:44
  2. PHI
    wristxG 0.09win prob +23 pts
    1-1
    19:58

3rd period

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.10win prob +29 pts
    1-2
    7:31
  2. PHI
    snapxG 0.04win prob +9 pts
    1-3
    15:49
  3. PHI
    wristxG 0.17
    1-4
    17:15
  4. PHI
    snapxG 0.10
    1-5
    19:02

Penalties

NYR 12 PIM·PHI 8 PIM

1st

  • 0:55NYRPavel Buchnevich · Trippingdrawn by Travis Sanheim2 min
  • 7:18PHITravis Sanheim · Hookingdrawn by Brendan Lemieux2 min
  • 8:14PHIPhilippe Myers · Trippingdrawn by Mika Zibanejad2 min
  • 10:57NYRGreg McKegg · Trippingdrawn by Shayne Gostisbehere2 min

2nd

  • 1:28NYRRyan Strome · Hookingdrawn by Nicolas Aube-Kubel2 min
  • 3:16PHIJakub Voracek · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Lindgren2 min
  • 5:59NYRBrett Howden · Slashingdrawn by Nicolas Aube-Kubel2 min
  • 13:01PHITravis Konecny · Hookingdrawn by Chris Kreider2 min
  • 15:37NYRGreg McKegg · Slashingdrawn by Shayne Gostisbehere2 min

3rd

  • 18:09NYRTony DeAngelo · Roughingdrawn by James van Riemsdyk2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalNYR goalFinal: PHI 100%

Biggest swing: Kevin Hayes, 3rd 7:31 — PHI 52% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.22J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.18K. Hayes · Goal · xG 0.17C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.16T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.14S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.14S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.13T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.11J. Farabee · Missed · xG 0.11N. Aube-Kubel · Goal · xG 0.11K. Hayes · Goal · xG 0.10T. Sanheim · Goal · xG 0.09T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.09J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.08T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.08J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.07J. Farabee · Missed · xG 0.07J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.07M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.06T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.05A. Andreoff · Missed · xG 0.05C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.05T. Sanheim · Goal · xG 0.04C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.04S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.04C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.04S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.03I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.03I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.03T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.03T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.03K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.03S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.03T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.03M. Vorobyev · Missed · xG 0.03S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.03S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.02I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.02K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.02M. Niskanen · On goal · xG 0.02J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.02P. Myers · Missed · xG 0.01J. Voracek · Missed · xG 0.01M. Niskanen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Braun · Missed · xG 0.01N. Aube-Kubel · On goal · xG 0.01T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.01
PHI5 G · 2.9 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsPHI
3.51 G
All situations
5 G2.9
2.00 G
Even strength
4 G1.9
1.20 G
Power play
1 G0.8
0.41 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR58%42%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.45 – 2.93

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsPHI
35
Shots on goal
30
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/4
Power play
1/6
12
Penalty minutes
8
18
Hits
8
10
Blocked shots
10
3
Giveaways
7
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8J. TroubaD000-100.03110—23:35
93M. ZibanejadC000-230.950003821:12
10A. PanarinL000-150.45000—20:08
76B. SkjeiD011-130.30020—19:38
23A. FoxD000-150.22110—19:14
77T. DeAngeloD000-140.15302—19:03
16R. StromeC000-200.000128318:38
89P. BuchnevichL000-240.7200210017:10
18M. StaalD000-120.01010—16:58
20C. KreiderL000-220.225003316:41
55R. LindgrenD000-110.00210—16:41
17J. FastR101010.19210—16:17
48B. LemieuxL000-120.15000—15:14
72F. ChytilC000020.120002514:34
21B. HowdenC000-100.001025013:26
14G. McKeggC011+100.001043309:30
42B. SmithD000010.01110—05:47
38M. HaleyL000000.00110—05:36
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30H. Lundqvist(L)30255.8332.94-2.0659:45

Season series

PHI leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).