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Pittsburgh Penguins at Vancouver Canucks

FinalTV ATTSN-PT, CBC·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vancouver Canucks beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 4-1. The Canucks scored first and never trailed. The Canucks led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Elias Pettersson's goal at 16:12 of the second period, which took the Canucks' chances from 74% to 89%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 2.9 to 1.5; shots on goal were PIT 29, VAN 14. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Matt Murray stopped 10 of 14 (.714), 2.5 goals below expected; Jacob Markstrom stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 1.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. J.T. Miller (1 G, 1 A), 2. Elias Pettersson (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jacob Markstrom (28 saves, .966).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VAN
    J. Miller1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    VAN
    E. Pettersson1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    VAN
    J. Markstrom28 saves, .966

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT0012009129
VANVAN251613414

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    slapxG 0.12win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    15:10
  2. VAN
    J. Miller(14)PPG
    deflectedxG 0.07win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    17:00

2nd period

  1. PIT
    J. McCann (11), E. Malkin (22)
    deflectedxG 0.18win prob +11 pts
    1-2
    15:28
  2. VAN
    snapxG 0.09win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    16:12

3rd period

  1. VAN
    snapxG 0.28win prob +2 pts
    1-4
    14:31

Penalties

PIT 10 PIM·VAN 10 PIM

1st

  • 12:24PITDominik Simon · High sticking double minordrawn by Adam Gaudette4 min
  • 13:05PITBrandon Tanev · Holdingdrawn by Quinn Hughes2 min
  • 13:51PITJack Johnson · Trippingdrawn by Brock Boeser2 min
  • 18:57VANTanner Pearson · Interferencedrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min

2nd

  • 13:25VANAdam Gaudette · High sticking double minordrawn by Jake Guentzel4 min
  • 19:38VANOscar Fantenberg · Hookingdrawn by Dominik Simon2 min

3rd

  • 5:58VANOscar Fantenberg · Hookingdrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min
  • 8:35PITBrandon Tanev · Holdingdrawn by Quinn Hughes2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalPIT goalFinal: VAN 100%

Biggest swing: Elias Pettersson, 2nd 16:12 — VAN 74% → 89%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Boeser · Goal · xG 0.28J. Beagle · Missed · xG 0.20T. Schaller · On goal · xG 0.16B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.14J. Virtanen · Goal · xG 0.12E. Pettersson · Goal · xG 0.09E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.08J. Miller · Goal · xG 0.07E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.06A. Roussel · On goal · xG 0.05J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.05B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.05J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.04B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.03T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.02C. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.02T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.02B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.02E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.01O. Fantenberg · Missed · xG 0.01T. Myers · Missed · xG 0.01J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.01T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.00
VAN4 G · 1.5 xG · 23 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsVAN
2.91 G
All situations
4 G1.5
1.60 G
Even strength
2 G1.0
1.31 G
Power play
2 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 66 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT75%25%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.86 – 1.52

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsVAN
29
Shots on goal
14
35%
Faceoffs
65%
1/5
Power play
2/5
10
Penalty minutes
10
15
Hits
33
10
Blocked shots
25
6
Giveaways
4
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
58K. LetangD000010.05010—26:09
17B. RustR000050.92000—25:34
59J. GuentzelC101050.62020024:18
71E. MalkinC011030.210003621:49
19J. McCannL011-130.191003820:09
28M. PetterssonD000-130.09200—20:09
53T. BluegerC000-100.132103118:17
6J. MarinoD000-100.01030—18:04
3J. JohnsonD000010.03012—18:01
46Z. Aston-ReeseL000010.07110—15:16
50J. RiikolaD000-100.07210—15:04
13B. TanevL000-230.33304—14:56
2C. RuhwedelD000-110.02100—13:43
12D. SimonC000-110.08104012:36
24D. KahunC000-110.080005012:11
18A. GalchenyukC000000.00200007:49
37S. LaffertyC000000.000003305:53
36J. BlandisiC000010.030005005:15
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30M. Murray(L)14104.7141.53-2.4756:06

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).