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Canucks at Penguins
NHL

Vancouver Canucks at Pittsburgh Penguins

NHL scoreboard
Vancouver Canucks
6
Pittsburgh Penguins
▸8
FinalTV ATTSN-PT, SNP·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Vancouver Canucks 8-6. The Penguins came back from three goals down. The Canucks led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kris Letang's goal at 16:54 of the third period, which took the Penguins' chances from 52% to 92%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 4.3 to 2.1; shots on goal were VAN 22, PIT 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Thatcher Demko stopped 32 of 39 (.821), 3.6 goals below expected; Matt Murray stopped 10 of 14 (.714), 2.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Evgeni Malkin (2 G, 3 A), 2. Jake Guentzel (2 G, 2 A), 3. J.T. Miller (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    E. Malkin2 G, 3 A
  2. ★★
    PIT
    J. Guentzel2 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    VAN
    J. Miller2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN1331128622
PITPIT214012614840

Scoring

14 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    J. Guentzel(13)
    E. Malkin (11)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    2:29
  2. PIT
    B. Rust(9)PPG
    E. Malkin (12), J. Guentzel (10)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +11 pts
    0-2
    12:53
  3. VAN
    J. Miller(11)
    Q. Hughes (17), B. Horvat (12)
    backhandxG 0.06win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    16:42

2nd period

  1. VAN
    E. Pettersson(11)
    J. Virtanen (4), Q. Hughes (18)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +18 pts
    2-2
    7:17
  2. VAN
    J. Virtanen(7)
    Z. MacEwen (1), C. Tanev (4)
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +23 pts
    3-2
    18:20
  3. VAN
    A. Gaudette(5)
    J. Leivo (10), Q. Hughes (19)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +17 pts
    4-2
    19:01

3rd period

  1. PIT
    J. Guentzel(14)
    B. Rust (6)
    backhandxG 0.05win prob +17 pts
    4-3
    1:01
  2. VAN
    J. Miller(12)PPG
    B. Boeser (14), E. Pettersson (20)
    wristxG 0.31win prob +14 pts
    5-3
    2:31
  3. VAN
    A. Gaudette(6)
    T. Pearson (8)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +7 pts
    6-3
    3:06
  4. PIT
    D. Kahun(7)
    J. McCann (8), M. Pettersson (7)
    backhandxG 0.22win prob +4 pts
    6-4
    6:16
  5. PIT
    E. Malkin(5)PPG
    B. Rust (7), J. Marino (8)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +16 pts
    6-5
    7:24
  6. PIT
    Z. Aston-Reese(4)
    J. Marino (9), B. Tanev (8)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +32 pts
    6-6
    10:30
  7. PIT
    K. Letang(5)
    J. Guentzel (11), E. Malkin (13)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +40 pts
    6-7
    16:54
  8. PIT
    E. Malkin(6)EN
    B. Rust (8), K. Letang (9)
    wristxG 0.88win prob +5 pts
    6-8
    19:59

Penalties

VAN 10 PIM·PIT 6 PIM

1st

  • 12:21VANTroy Stecher · Interferencedrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min
  • 18:18VANElias Pettersson · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 1:24PITDominik Kahun · Trippingdrawn by Tyler Myers2 min
  • 5:11PITKris Letang · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 6:08VANJ.T. Miller · Hookingdrawn by Chad Ruhwedel2 min
  • 11:39VANElias Pettersson · Holdingdrawn by Bryan Rust2 min
  • 11:39PITBryan Rust · Holdingdrawn by Elias Pettersson2 min
  • 16:54VANserved by A. Gaudette · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalVAN goalFinal: PIT 100%

Biggest swing: Kris Letang, 3rd 16:54 — PIT 52% → 92%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Malkin · Goal · xG 0.88B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.23D. Kahun · Goal · xG 0.22B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.17B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.16K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.14Z. Aston-Reese · Goal · xG 0.13E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.13Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.13P. Hornqvist · Missed · xG 0.12B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.12P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.11B. Rust · Goal · xG 0.11Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.10B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.09J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.09Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.09Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.08J. Guentzel · Goal · xG 0.06D. Simon · On goal · xG 0.06E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.06D. Kahun · On goal · xG 0.06A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.05J. Guentzel · Goal · xG 0.05K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.05B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.05E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.05B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.05J. McCann · Missed · xG 0.05E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.05E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.04E. Malkin · Goal · xG 0.04K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.04J. Marino · Missed · xG 0.04S. Lafferty · On goal · xG 0.04J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.03J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.03B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.03B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.03K. Letang · Goal · xG 0.03K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.02K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.02K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.02B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Aston-Reese · Missed · xG 0.02J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.02C. Ruhwedel · Missed · xG 0.01K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.01J. McCann · Missed · xG 0.01B. Tanev · Missed · xG 0.01B. Dumoulin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Marino · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT8 G · 4.3 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsPIT
2.16 G
All situations
7 G4.3
1.45 G
Even strength
5 G2.2
0.61 G
Power play
2 G1.0
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN29%71%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.99 – 3.21

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsPIT
22
Shots on goal
40
45%
Faceoffs
55%
1/2
Power play
2/4
10
Penalty minutes
6
45
Hits
33
21
Blocked shots
11
4
Giveaways
15
2
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23A. EdlerD000-120.05860—25:25
9J. MillerC202020.553023322:07
53B. HorvatC011020.074305221:47
8C. TanevD011010.00230—20:52
40E. PetterssonC112-220.174046320:51
6B. BoeserR011-220.162003320:35
43Q. HughesD033+110.01030—19:41
51T. StecherD000-220.03112—19:33
57T. MyersD000+220.14110—17:45
18J. VirtanenR112-220.08600—15:42
4J. BennD000-210.01130—14:40
70T. PearsonL011+200.07210—14:38
88A. GaudetteR202020.513003013:52
17J. LeivoL011-110.20200—12:29
71Z. MacEwenR011+200.00200—11:32
77N. GoldobinR000000.00100—08:37
59T. SchallerL000000.00100—07:46
44T. GraovacC000000.002006005:24
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35T. Demko(L)39327.8213.38-3.6258:49

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).