Buffalo Sabres at New York Islanders
Recap
written from the game dataThe New York Islanders beat the Buffalo Sabres 3-2 in overtime, Anthony Beauvillier scoring at 3:04. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anthony Beauvillier's goal at 3:04 of overtime, which took the Islanders' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Sabres, 2.2 to 1.8; shots on goal were BUF 35, NYI 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sabres win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Linus Ullmark stopped 23 of 26 (.885), 1.2 goals below expected; Semyon Varlamov stopped 33 of 35 (.943). Three stars: 1. Anthony Beauvillier (1 G, 2 A), 2. Jordan Eberle (1 G), 3. Jack Eichel (1 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★A. Beauvillier1 G, 2 A

- ★★J. Eberle1 G

- ★★★J. Eichel1 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals1st period
0-15:11
2nd period
1-16:11
3rd period
1-24:50
2-218:14
Overtime
2-33:04
Penalties
1st
- 18:22
Marco Scandella · Roughingdrawn by Josh Bailey2 min
- 18:22
Josh Bailey · Roughingdrawn by Marco Scandella2 min
- 18:22
Josh Bailey · Roughingdrawn by Marco Scandella2 min
2nd
- 4:37
Brock Nelson · Holding the stickdrawn by Kyle Okposo2 min
- 8:04
Rasmus Ristolainen · Holdingdrawn by Jordan Eberle2 min
- 10:53
Evan Rodrigues · Hookingdrawn by Brock Nelson2 min
- 14:17
Marcus Johansson · Interferencedrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min
3rd
- 16:27
Mathew Barzal · Roughingdrawn by Rasmus Dahlin2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Anthony Beauvillier, OT 3:04 — 51% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.22 G
- All situations
- 3 G1.8
- 1.10 G
- Even strength
- 3 G1.5
- 1.12 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.3
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.16 – 1.82
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 35
- Shots on goal
- 26
- 27%
- Faceoffs
- 73%
- 2/3
- Power play
- 0/3
- 8
- Penalty minutes
- 8
- 17
- Hits
- 29
- 7
- Blocked shots
- 19
- 7
- Giveaways
- 17
- 6
- Takeaways
- 6
Box score
every player line
Season series
NYI leads 2-0
1@
0Final
2@
3OTthis game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
