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Oilers at Wild
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Minnesota Wild

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
5
Minnesota Wild
▸6
FinalTV FS-N, FS-WI·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Edmonton Oilers 6-5. The lead changed hands 3 times. The Wild led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Eric Staal's goal at 15:13 of the third period, which took the Wild's chances from 52% to 90%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 2.6 to 1.8; shots on goal were EDM 33, MIN 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Mike Smith stopped 20 of 26 (.769), 3.9 goals below expected; Kaapo Kahkonen stopped 28 of 33 (.848), 3.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Eric Staal (1 G, 1 A), 2. Carson Soucy (2 A), 3. Jordan Greenway (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    E. Staal1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    C. Soucy2 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    J. Greenway1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM19110314533
MINMIN2721029626

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    O. Klefbom(3)
    S. Gagner (7), J. Neal (7)
    backhandxG 0.12win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    8:00
  2. MIN
    J. Greenway(4)
    C. Soucy (3), L. Kunin (5)
    deflectedxG 0.10win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    12:35
  3. MIN
    J. Zucker(12)
    E. Staal (14), M. Zuccarello (11)
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    19:42

2nd period

  1. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(20)PPG
    C. McDavid (37), O. Klefbom (18)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +12 pts
    2-2
    2:00
  2. MIN
    M. Foligno(3)
    R. Hartman (5), V. Rask (5)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +16 pts
    2-3
    3:46
  3. MIN
    R. Donato(6)
    C. Soucy (4)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +15 pts
    2-4
    7:50

3rd period

  1. EDM
    G. Haas(3)
    A. Larsson (1)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +12 pts
    3-4
    10:43
  2. EDM
    C. McDavid(20)
    E. Bear (6), D. Nurse (14)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +34 pts
    4-4
    12:49
  3. MIN
    E. Staal(9)
    J. Zucker (11), R. Suter (15)
    slapxG 0.10win prob +38 pts
    4-5
    15:13
  4. MIN
    L. Kunin(7)
    J. Greenway (8), J. Eriksson Ek (10)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +8 pts
    4-6
    16:21
  5. EDM
    J. Neal(15)
    Z. Kassian (11), R. Nugent-Hopkins (12)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +4 pts
    5-6
    19:11

Penalties

EDM 7 PIM·MIN 9 PIM

2nd

  • 0:49MINCarson Soucy · Hookingdrawn by Oscar Klefbom2 min
  • 14:28MINJordan Greenway · Fightingdrawn by Darnell Nurse5 min
  • 14:28EDMDarnell Nurse · Fightingdrawn by Jordan Greenway5 min
  • 17:19MINJoel Eriksson Ek · Holdingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min
  • 17:53EDMOscar Klefbom · Slashingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalEDM goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Eric Staal, 3rd 15:13 — MIN 52% → 90%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.44R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.19K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.17J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.15R. Donato · Goal · xG 0.13L. Kunin · Goal · xG 0.13M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.11J. Zucker · Goal · xG 0.11J. Greenway · Goal · xG 0.10E. Staal · Goal · xG 0.10K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.10R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.07M. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.06V. Rask · Missed · xG 0.06Z. Parise · Missed · xG 0.06R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.06E. Staal · Missed · xG 0.05J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.05M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.05L. Kunin · Missed · xG 0.04R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.04M. Dumba · Missed · xG 0.04M. Foligno · Goal · xG 0.03J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.03M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.02K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.02B. Menell · On goal · xG 0.02B. Menell · Missed · xG 0.02M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.02C. Soucy · Missed · xG 0.02J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.01C. Soucy · On goal · xG 0.01R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.01V. Rask · Missed · xG 0.01B. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.01R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.01V. Rask · On goal · xG 0.01L. Kunin · Missed · xG 0.01R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.01B. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.00B. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.00J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.00
MIN6 G · 2.6 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsMIN
1.85 G
All situations
6 G2.6
1.54 G
Even strength
6 G1.9
0.31 G
Power play
0 G0.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM42%58%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.75 – 2.14

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsMIN
33
Shots on goal
26
50%
Faceoffs
50%
1/2
Power play
0/1
7
Penalty minutes
9
15
Hits
9
11
Blocked shots
13
2
Giveaways
7
4
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
77O. KlefbomD112+270.30002—25:54
6A. LarssonD011010.08010—23:24
29L. DraisaitlC101040.210005421:57
97C. McDavidC112-110.111001720:28
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC011020.181107319:56
74E. BearD011-310.01020—19:32
44Z. KassianR011-110.11000—17:53
39A. ChiassonR000-120.07010—17:34
18J. NealL112+220.23010—17:13
25D. NurseD011-340.16405—17:11
4K. RussellD000000.00230—16:48
82C. JonesD000-130.04100—14:20
89S. GagnerC011+120.110005014:14
91G. HaasC101+120.111104713:32
10J. NygardL000-200.00010—12:09
15J. ArchibaldR000-100.00200—09:38
23R. SheahanC000-100.0010010009:01
16J. KhairaL000-110.03200—08:56
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41M. Smith(L)26206.7692.14-3.8658:20

Season series

MIN leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).