Edmonton Oilers at Minnesota Wild
Recap
written from the game dataThe Minnesota Wild beat the Edmonton Oilers 3-0. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Eric Staal's goal at 12:48 of the first period, which took the Wild's chances from 67% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 2.8 to 1.2; shots on goal were EDM 25, MIN 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 79% of the time. Mike Smith stopped 27 of 30 (.900); Alex Stalock stopped 16 of 16 (1.000), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Eric Staal (2 G, 1 A), 2. Mats Zuccarello (1 A), 3. Alex Stalock (16 saves, 1.000).
Three stars
- ★E. Staal2 G, 1 A

- ★★M. Zuccarello1 A

- ★★★A. Stalock16 saves, 1.000

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
3 goals1st period
0-111:33
0-212:48
0-316:46
Penalties
1st
- 16:40
Oscar Klefbom · Holdingdrawn by Jason Zucker2 min
- 17:34
Jason Zucker · Slashingdrawn by Brandon Manning2 min
- 17:34
Brandon Manning · Slashingdrawn by Jason Zucker2 min
2nd
- 1:59
Ryan Donato · Interferencedrawn by Brandon Manning2 min
3rd
- 0:47
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · Slashingdrawn by Jared Spurgeon2 min
- 3:36
Luke Kunin · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- 9:05
Ethan Bear · Holdingdrawn by Zach Parise2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Eric Staal, 1st 12:48 — 67% → 81%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.20 G
- All situations
- 3 G2.8
- 0.80 G
- Even strength
- 2 G2.3
- 0.30 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.5
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.18 – 2.73
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 25
- Shots on goal
- 30
- 49%
- Faceoffs
- 51%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 1/3
- 8
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 14
- Hits
- 12
- 19
- Blocked shots
- 9
- 3
- Giveaways
- 6
- 3
- Takeaways
- 5
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
