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Ducks at Lightning
NHL

Anaheim Ducks at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
Anaheim Ducks
2
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸6
FinalTV PRIME, SUN·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Anaheim Ducks 6-2. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nikita Kucherov's goal at 5:28 of the second period, which took the Lightning's chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals were close — ANA 2.9, TBL 2.7; shots on goal were ANA 38, TBL 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Ryan Miller stopped 21 of 27 (.778), 3.3 goals below expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 36 of 38 (.947), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Andrei Vasilevskiy (36 saves, .947), 2. Brayden Point (2 G), 3. Anthony Cirelli (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    A. Vasilevskiy36 saves, .947
  2. ★★
    TBL
    B. Point2 G
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    A. Cirelli1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA113115010238
TBLTBL1835214627

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    B. Point(6)
    J. Rutta (2), C. Conacher (1)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    16:08
  2. ANA
    D. Grant(6)SHG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.13win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    18:00

2nd period

  1. TBL
    N. Kucherov(7)
    A. Cirelli (9), A. Killorn (11)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +17 pts
    1-2
    5:28
  2. ANA
    R. Rakell(8)
    R. Getzlaf (9), C. Fowler (7)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +15 pts
    2-2
    7:57
  3. TBL
    B. Point(7)PPG
    V. Hedman (15), A. Vasilevskiy (1)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +14 pts
    2-3
    12:39
  4. TBL
    P. Maroon(5)
    C. Paquette (5), M. Sergachev (10)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +16 pts
    2-4
    14:25

3rd period

  1. TBL
    A. Cirelli(5)PPG
    N. Kucherov (13), V. Hedman (16)
    wristxG 0.35win prob +3 pts
    2-5
    6:20
  2. TBL
    O. Palat(7)PPG
    K. Shattenkirk (11), Y. Gourde (8)
    backhandxG 0.16
    2-6
    17:27

Penalties

ANA 24 PIM·TBL 12 PIM

1st

  • 1:42TBLCory Conacher · Trippingdrawn by Sam Steel2 min
  • 17:12ANAErik Gudbranson · Trippingdrawn by Ryan McDonagh2 min

2nd

  • 5:54TBLJan Rutta · Hookingdrawn by Rickard Rakell2 min
  • 12:22ANAHampus Lindholm · Hookingdrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min

3rd

  • 4:14TBLPatrick Maroon · High stickingdrawn by Carter Rowney2 min
  • 5:38ANATroy Terry · Slashingdrawn by Victor Hedman2 min
  • 15:29TBLErik Cernak · Roughingdrawn by Korbinian Holzer2 min
  • 15:29TBLAnthony Cirelli · Cross checkingdrawn by Korbinian Holzer2 min
  • 15:29ANANick Ritchie · Cross checkingdrawn by Anthony Cirelli2 min
  • 15:29ANANick Ritchie · Roughingdrawn by Anthony Cirelli2 min
  • 15:29ANANick Ritchie · Misconduct10 min
  • 15:29ANAKorbinian Holzer · Cross checkingdrawn by Erik Cernak2 min
  • 20:00ANADerek Grant · Roughingdrawn by Patrick Maroon2 min
  • 20:00TBLPatrick Maroon · Roughingdrawn by Derek Grant2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalANA goalFinal: TBL 100%

Biggest swing: Nikita Kucherov, 2nd 5:28 — TBL 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Cirelli · Goal · xG 0.35O. Palat · Goal · xG 0.16P. Maroon · Goal · xG 0.14N. Kucherov · Goal · xG 0.14M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.13C. Paquette · On goal · xG 0.13N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.13B. Point · Goal · xG 0.12B. Point · Goal · xG 0.11B. Point · On goal · xG 0.10O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.09O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.08A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.08A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.08A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.07Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.07T. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.07N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.06B. Point · On goal · xG 0.06Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.06A. Cirelli · Missed · xG 0.05M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.04Y. Gourde · Missed · xG 0.04K. Shattenkirk · Missed · xG 0.04M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.04M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.04J. Rutta · On goal · xG 0.04M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.03A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.03R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.03M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.03R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.02J. Rutta · On goal · xG 0.02T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.02Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.01V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.01
TBL6 G · 2.7 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsTBL
2.92 G
All situations
6 G2.7
1.81 G
Even strength
3 G1.5
0.90 G
Power play
3 G1.2
0.11 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA54%46%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.87 – 2.63

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsTBL
38
Shots on goal
27
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/3
Power play
3/4
24
Penalty minutes
12
15
Hits
20
14
Blocked shots
14
2
Giveaways
7
5
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4C. FowlerD011+130.20030—23:14
32J. LarssonD000020.04020—20:06
15R. GetzlafC011-110.121003319:52
47H. LindholmD000-110.03012—19:42
6E. GudbransonD000-140.08012—18:43
33J. SilfverbergR000+240.35000—18:38
5K. HolzerD000-110.20412—17:45
14A. HenriqueC000+120.181004417:24
25O. KaseR000-130.150105016:25
67R. RakellR101-240.37120—16:04
34S. SteelC000-120.220004616:00
2B. GuhleD000-100.00220—15:24
37N. RitchieL000030.202014—15:13
49M. JonesL000020.20110—14:53
61T. TerryR000-210.14002—13:59
24C. RowneyC000010.03300012:10
38D. GrantC101+120.330026411:00
29D. ShoreC000020.04000008:42
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30R. Miller(L)27216.7782.68-3.3259:51

Season series

TBL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).