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Avalanche at Jets
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Winnipeg Jets

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
▸4
Winnipeg Jets
0
FinalTV ALT, TSN3·Bell MTS Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Winnipeg Jets 4-0. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nathan MacKinnon's goal at 0:18 of the third period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 72% to 89%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 2.9 to 2.2; shots on goal were COL 25, WPG 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Adam Werner stopped 40 of 40 (1.000), 2.9 goals saved above expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 21 of 25 (.840), 1.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Adam Werner (40 saves, 1.000), 2. Nathan MacKinnon (2 G, 2 A), 3. Cale Makar (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    A. Werner40 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon2 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    C. Makar1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL180839425
WPGWPG09012019040

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    C. Makar(5)
    N. MacKinnon (14), I. Cole (7)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +16 pts
    1-0
    19:01

3rd period

  1. COL
    N. MacKinnon(10)
    M. Calvert (7), J. Donskoi (4)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    0:18
  2. COL
    N. MacKinnon(11)
    J. Donskoi (5), M. Calvert (8)
    snapxG 0.21win prob +5 pts
    3-0
    7:13
  3. COL
    J. Donskoi(9)PPG
    N. Kadri (7), N. MacKinnon (15)
    wristxG 0.12
    4-0
    13:13

Penalties

COL 4 PIM·WPG 6 PIM

1st

  • 0:31WPGMark Scheifele · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Pavel Francouz2 min
  • 8:18WPGAndrew Copp · Holdingdrawn by J.T. Compher2 min
  • 11:49COLIan Cole · Trippingdrawn by Jack Roslovic2 min

3rd

  • 12:40WPGBlake Wheeler · Slashingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
  • 13:43COLMark Barberio · Trippingdrawn by Kyle Connor2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalCOL goalFinal: WPG 0%

Biggest swing: Nathan MacKinnon, 3rd 0:18 — COL 72% → 89%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.22K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.18P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.18A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.16B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.13P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.12M. Perreault · On goal · xG 0.12P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.11K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.11N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.10D. Kulikov · Missed · xG 0.10P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.09J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.09P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.09K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.07M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.07A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.07P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.07T. Poolman · On goal · xG 0.06P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.06M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.04N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.04J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.04M. Perreault · Missed · xG 0.04B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.04J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.04A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.04K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.04N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.03N. Beaulieu · On goal · xG 0.03N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.03L. Sbisa · On goal · xG 0.03D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.03T. Poolman · On goal · xG 0.02P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.02P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.02N. Beaulieu · On goal · xG 0.02P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.02M. Perreault · On goal · xG 0.02B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.01A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.01M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.01N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.01D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.01J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.01J. Luoto · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.01J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.01L. Shaw · On goal · xG 0.01L. Sbisa · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG0 G · 2.9 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsWPG
2.24 G
All situations
0 G2.9
1.83 G
Even strength
0 G2.3
0.41 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL37%63%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.15 – 2.88

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsWPG
25
Shots on goal
40
43%
Faceoffs
57%
1/3
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
18
Hits
21
17
Blocked shots
11
13
Giveaways
12
3
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6E. JohnsonD000+100.00330—23:24
29N. MacKinnonC224+360.715004320:40
49S. GirardD000+100.00000—20:19
72J. DonskoiR123+220.20000—20:15
8C. MakarD101+210.20000—19:56
27R. GravesD000+130.05320—19:36
11M. CalvertL022+140.47030—17:57
44M. BarberioD000000.00112—17:26
91N. KadriC011+130.161004517:15
83M. NietoL000+100.00000—17:10
28I. ColeD011+120.04132—16:11
37J. CompherL000000.000104316:06
95A. BurakovskyL000000.02030—15:37
13V. NichushkinR000+100.00200—15:31
17T. JostC000020.221102913:51
81V. KamenevC000010.020008008:24
36T. TynanC000000.00000008:11
12J. MegnaC000010.09100008:07
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30A. Werner(W)404001.0002.89+2.8959:29
39P. Francouz000—0.000.0000:31

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).