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Oilers at Red Wings
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Detroit Red Wings

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
1
Detroit Red Wings
▸3
FinalTV FS-D, SN1·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the Edmonton Oilers 3-1. The Red Wings scored first and never trailed. The Red Wings led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Patrik Nemeth's goal at 8:33 of the first period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 66% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Red Wings, 3.4 to 2.6; shots on goal were EDM 32, DET 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Mikko Koskinen stopped 25 of 27 (.926); Jimmy Howard stopped 31 of 32 (.969), 1.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Dylan Larkin (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jimmy Howard (31 saves, .969), 3. Mikko Koskinen (25 saves, .926).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    D. Larkin1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    DET
    J. Howard31 saves, .969
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    M. Koskinen25 saves, .926

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM0609117132
DETDET21301015328

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. DET
    D. Larkin(4)PPG
    T. Hirose (5), T. Bertuzzi (8)
    snapxG 0.21win prob +9 pts
    0-1
    7:41
  2. DET
    P. Nemeth(1)
    V. Filppula (3), M. Bowey (2)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    8:33

3rd period

  1. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(10)
    C. McDavid (16)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +11 pts
    1-2
    12:48
  2. DET
    F. Hronek(3)EN
    D. Larkin (7)
    wristxG 0.45win prob +2 pts
    1-3
    19:18

Penalties

EDM 8 PIM·DET 8 PIM

1st

  • 7:19EDMLeon Draisaitl · Boardingdrawn by Tyler Bertuzzi2 min
  • 18:50DETDarren Helm · Trippingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min

2nd

  • 4:27EDMJames Neal · Interferencedrawn by Givani Smith2 min
  • 11:07EDMEthan Bear · Holdingdrawn by Dylan Larkin2 min
  • 13:19DETDarren Helm · Interferencedrawn by Connor McDavid2 min

3rd

  • 13:09DETAndreas Athanasiou · Roughingdrawn by Darnell Nurse2 min
  • 13:09EDMDarnell Nurse · Roughingdrawn by Andreas Athanasiou2 min
  • 13:35DETDylan Larkin · Hookingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalEDM goalFinal: DET 100%

Biggest swing: Patrik Nemeth, 1st 8:33 — DET 66% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.47F. Hronek · Goal · xG 0.45D. Larkin · Goal · xG 0.21D. Helm · On goal · xG 0.16A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.16V. Filppula · Missed · xG 0.15A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.14C. Ehn · On goal · xG 0.14F. Nielsen · On goal · xG 0.14D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.13D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.12A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.12D. Helm · Missed · xG 0.11M. Green · On goal · xG 0.11T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.10A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.10D. Helm · Missed · xG 0.09D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.08M. Green · Missed · xG 0.07V. Filppula · On goal · xG 0.07D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.06T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.02P. Nemeth · Goal · xG 0.02D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.02T. Daley · On goal · xG 0.02A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.02J. Hicketts · On goal · xG 0.01J. Hicketts · Missed · xG 0.01F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.01P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.01M. Green · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hirose · On goal · xG 0.01F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.01J. de la Rose · On goal · xG 0.01D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.00F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.00J. de la Rose · On goal · xG 0.00
DET3 G · 3.4 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsDET
2.61 G
All situations
2 G3.4
1.81 G
Even strength
1 G1.5
0.80 G
Power play
1 G0.8
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM52%48%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.52 – 2.43

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsDET
32
Shots on goal
28
41%
Faceoffs
59%
0/3
Power play
1/3
8
Penalty minutes
8
23
Hits
22
8
Blocked shots
11
1
Giveaways
12
3
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
29L. DraisaitlC101030.370124026:43
97C. McDavidC011030.353001426:09
77O. KlefbomD000-120.06040—25:45
25D. NurseD000030.07102—22:11
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC000-160.400007021:52
74E. BearD000010.11002—21:10
4K. RussellD000010.02020—21:06
44Z. KassianR000020.21500—17:04
18J. NealL000-230.34102—16:59
16J. KhairaL000030.38100—13:37
89S. GagnerC000020.050002513:30
39A. ChiassonR000-100.00200—12:08
91G. HaasC000-110.071005010:54
26B. ManningD000000.01110—10:40
83M. BenningD000000.00500—10:27
52P. RussellR000010.04200—08:27
23R. SheahanC000000.061003308:17
92T. JurcoR000010.06000—08:03
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
19M. Koskinen(L)27252.9262.45+0.4558:36

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).