Pittsburgh Penguins at Winnipeg Jets
Recap
written from the game dataThe Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Winnipeg Jets 7-2. The Jets scored first; the Penguins answered. The Penguins led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dominik Simon's goal at 16:28 of the second period, which took the Penguins' chances from 69% to 87%. Expected goals were close — PIT 2.4, WPG 2.2; shots on goal were PIT 28, WPG 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Tristan Jarry stopped 27 of 29 (.931); Laurent Brossoit stopped 21 of 28 (.750), 4.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Sam Lafferty (2 G), 2. Sidney Crosby (2 A), 3. Zachary Aston-Reese (2 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★S. Lafferty2 G

- ★★S. Crosby2 A

- ★★★Z. Aston-Reese2 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
9 goals1st period
0-11:47
1-14:09
2nd period
2-17:50
3-18:31
3-210:00
4-216:28
3rd period
5-29:13
6-211:40
7-214:46
Penalties
1st
- 10:57
Dominik Kahun · Hookingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min
2nd
- 6:05
Mason Appleton · Trippingdrawn by Brian Dumoulin2 min
- 9:23
Erik Gudbranson · Hookingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min
- 12:09
Dominik Simon · Hookingdrawn by Patrik Laine2 min
- 13:24
Kyle Connor · Hookingdrawn by Erik Gudbranson2 min
3rd
- 4:51
John Marino · High stickingdrawn by Neal Pionk2 min
- 14:39
Adam Johnson · Slashingdrawn by Jack Roslovic2 min
- 16:25
served by D. Kahun · Too many men on the ice2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Dominik Simon, 2nd 16:28 — 69% → 87%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.47 G
- All situations
- 2 G2.2
- 1.35 G
- Even strength
- 1 G1.5
- 0.81 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.7
- 0.41 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 72 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.39 – 2.22
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 28
- Shots on goal
- 29
- 53%
- Faceoffs
- 47%
- 1/2
- Power play
- 1/6
- 12
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 15
- Hits
- 23
- 16
- Blocked shots
- 18
- 17
- Giveaways
- 10
- 2
- Takeaways
- 4
Box score
every player line
Season series
Tied 1-1
4@
1Final
7@
2this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
