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Winnipeg Jets at Pittsburgh Penguins

FinalTV ATTSN-PT, TSN3·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 4-1. The Penguins scored first; the Jets answered. The Jets led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tucker Poolman's goal at 0:54 of the second period, which took the Jets' chances from 62% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 2.9 to 1.8; shots on goal were WPG 22, PIT 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 37 of 38 (.974), 1.9 goals saved above expected; Matt Murray stopped 18 of 22 (.818), 2.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mark Scheifele (3 A), 2. Patrik Laine (3 A), 3. Tucker Poolman (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    M. Scheifele3 A
  2. ★★
    WPG
    P. Laine3 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    T. Poolman1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG2821202422
PITPIT110014014138

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    wristxG 0.17win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:32
  2. WPG
    slapxG 0.03win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    5:48
  3. WPG
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.06win prob +13 pts
    2-1
    9:55

2nd period

  1. WPG
    wristxG 0.04win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    0:54
  2. WPG
    backhandxG 0.22win prob +10 pts
    4-1
    11:31

Penalties

WPG 4 PIM·PIT 0 PIM

2nd

  • 14:57WPGVille Heinola · Interferencedrawn by Brandon Tanev2 min

3rd

  • 9:07WPGAnthony Bitetto · Trippingdrawn by Sam Lafferty2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalWPG goalFinal: PIT 0%

Biggest swing: Tucker Poolman, 2nd 0:54 — WPG 62% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.19J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.18S. Crosby · Goal · xG 0.17J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.14Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.13D. Simon · Missed · xG 0.12J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.11J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.10S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.10T. Blueger · On goal · xG 0.10Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.10J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.10J. McCann · Missed · xG 0.08Z. Aston-Reese · Missed · xG 0.07S. Lafferty · On goal · xG 0.07D. Simon · Missed · xG 0.07D. Simon · On goal · xG 0.07J. McCann · Missed · xG 0.07A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.06S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.06J. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.06D. Simon · On goal · xG 0.06A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.06S. Lafferty · Missed · xG 0.06A. Galchenyuk · Missed · xG 0.05S. Lafferty · On goal · xG 0.04K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.04J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.03B. Tanev · Missed · xG 0.03T. Blueger · On goal · xG 0.03J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.03A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.03B. Tanev · Missed · xG 0.03B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.02K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.02S. Lafferty · On goal · xG 0.02B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.02B. Dumoulin · Missed · xG 0.02D. Kahun · On goal · xG 0.02S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.02M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.02D. Simon · On goal · xG 0.02B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.01A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.01B. Dumoulin · Missed · xG 0.01B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.01K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.01K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.01A. Galchenyuk · Missed · xG 0.01K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.01S. Lafferty · On goal · xG 0.01J. Marino · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.01
PIT1 G · 2.9 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsPIT
1.84 G
All situations
1 G2.9
1.84 G
Even strength
1 G2.5
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG30%70%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.76 – 2.86

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsPIT
22
Shots on goal
38
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/0
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
0
39
Hits
49
11
Blocked shots
7
5
Giveaways
12
5
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4N. PionkD101010.22520—25:53
23C. DahlstromD000-100.05110—24:19
55M. ScheifeleC033+200.001004718:49
2A. BitettoD000030.04112—18:03
26B. WheelerR000+100.00300—17:30
9A. CoppC000010.112001017:24
14V. HeinolaD101+310.03002—17:23
3T. PoolmanD101+420.06100—17:09
81K. ConnorL000030.43200—17:02
8S. NikuD000010.02230—17:01
29P. LaineL033+210.07010—16:42
27N. EhlersL101+230.14110—15:51
82M. AppletonC000010.01200014:16
17A. LowryC000+100.0010104012:30
28J. RoslovicC000020.331008012:15
85M. PerreaultC000020.1331010012:15
22M. LetestuC000010.091008011:27
57G. BourqueL000+100.06300—10:11
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(W)38371.9742.93+1.9360:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).