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Islanders at Penguins
NHL

New York Islanders at Pittsburgh Penguins

NHL scoreboard
New York Islanders
▸3
Pittsburgh Penguins
1
FinalTV NBCSN, ATTSN-PT·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 3-1. The Penguins scored first; the Islanders answered. The Islanders led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brock Nelson's goal at 18:06 of the first period, which took the Islanders' chances from 47% to 62%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 3.3 to 2.1; shots on goal were NYI 26, PIT 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Robin Lehner stopped 32 of 33 (.970), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Matt Murray stopped 23 of 25 (.920). Three stars: 1. Robin Lehner (32 saves, .970), 2. Jordan Eberle (1 G), 3. Jake Guentzel (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    R. Lehner32 saves, .970
  2. ★★
    NYI
    J. Eberle1 G
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    J. Guentzel1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI2701019326
PITPIT11001409133

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    J. Guentzel(1)
    S. Crosby (1), J. McCann (1)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:35
  2. NYI
    J. Eberle(4)
    M. Barzal (5), S. Mayfield (1)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +11 pts
    1-1
    2:09
  3. NYI
    B. Nelson(3)
    J. Bailey (1), T. Kuhnhackl (2)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +15 pts
    2-1
    18:06

3rd period

  1. NYI
    J. Bailey(3)EN
    V. Filppula (4)
    wristxG 0.47win prob +3 pts
    3-1
    19:22

Penalties

NYI 8 PIM·PIT 8 PIM

1st

  • 6:39PITserved by D. Simon · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 14:29NYIMathew Barzal · Slashingdrawn by Brian Dumoulin2 min

2nd

  • 7:55NYITom Kuhnhackl · Holdingdrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min
  • 10:33PITPatric Hornqvist · Roughingdrawn by Robin Lehner2 min
  • 10:33PITPatric Hornqvist · Roughingdrawn by Robin Lehner2 min
  • 10:33NYIRobin Lehner · Slashingdrawn by Patric Hornqvist2 min

3rd

  • 5:55NYIRyan Pulock · Holdingdrawn by Sidney Crosby2 min
  • 8:07PITNick Bjugstad · Trippingdrawn by Valtteri Filppula2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalNYI goalFinal: PIT 0%

Biggest swing: Brock Nelson, 1st 18:06 — NYI 47% → 62%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.24M. Cullen · On goal · xG 0.19G. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.17J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.16B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.09J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.08B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.08E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.08N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.07J. Guentzel · Goal · xG 0.07J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.05D. Simon · Missed · xG 0.05K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.05P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.04N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.04D. Simon · On goal · xG 0.04J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.04P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.03E. Gudbranson · Missed · xG 0.03J. McCann · Missed · xG 0.03E. Gudbranson · Missed · xG 0.03K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.03N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.03E. Gudbranson · Missed · xG 0.03B. Dumoulin · Missed · xG 0.03D. Simon · On goal · xG 0.03P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.02E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.02D. Simon · Missed · xG 0.02B. Dumoulin · Missed · xG 0.02J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.02J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.02K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.02M. Cullen · On goal · xG 0.02M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.02N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.02N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.01K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.01B. Dumoulin · Missed · xG 0.01M. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.01J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.01N. Bjugstad · Missed · xG 0.01B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.01K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.01J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.01P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.01J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.00K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.00M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT1 G · 2.1 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsPIT
3.32 G
All situations
1 G2.1
1.92 G
Even strength
1 G1.5
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI55%45%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.35 – 2.11

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsPIT
26
Shots on goal
33
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/3
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
8
50
Hits
34
23
Blocked shots
16
10
Giveaways
14
7
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6R. PulockD000000.00342—24:05
2N. LeddyD000+210.08010—23:28
3A. PelechD000+100.01560—21:42
24S. MayfieldD011+120.07220—20:55
12J. BaileyR112+240.8901010018:01
29B. NelsonC101+210.602005317:20
25D. ToewsD000020.05200—17:03
47L. KomarovR000010.016203317:00
27A. LeeL000+120.15500—16:06
51V. FilppulaC011+110.091002915:49
53C. CizikasC000-110.145104715:44
13M. BarzalC011+130.250127515:22
7J. EberleR101+130.35010—14:50
17M. MartinL000-100.011100—13:29
14T. KuhnhacklR011+120.31412—13:20
18A. BeauvillierR000020.10200—10:57
15C. ClutterbuckR000-110.15210—10:20
55J. BoychukD000000.02020—08:29
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40R. Lehner(W)33321.9702.11+1.1160:00

Series

NYI leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).