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Penguins at Islanders
NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins at New York Islanders

NHL scoreboard
Pittsburgh Penguins
3
New York Islanders
▸4
Final/OTTV NBCSN, ATTSN-PT·NYCB Live/Nassau Coliseum

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 4-3 in overtime, Josh Bailey scoring at 4:39. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Josh Bailey's goal at 4:39 of overtime, which took the Islanders' chances from 52% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 4.3 to 3.9; shots on goal were PIT 44, NYI 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Matt Murray stopped 29 of 33 (.879); Robin Lehner stopped 41 of 44 (.932), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Josh Bailey (1 G), 2. Jordan Eberle (1 G, 1 A), 3. Nick Leddy (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    J. Bailey1 G
  2. ★★
    NYI
    J. Eberle1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    N. Leddy1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
PITPIT11711311103344
NYINYI2120101912433

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    J. Eberle(1)
    A. Lee (1), A. Pelech (1)
    wristxG 0.37win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    1:40
  2. PIT
    P. Kessel(1)
    D. Simon (1), B. Dumoulin (1)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    5:42
  3. NYI
    B. Nelson(1)PPG
    J. Eberle (1), D. Toews (1)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +10 pts
    1-2
    15:46

2nd period

  1. PIT
    E. Malkin(1)PPG
    J. Schultz (1), P. Kessel (1)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +16 pts
    2-2
    13:41

3rd period

  1. NYI
    N. Leddy(1)
    V. Filppula (1), L. Komarov (1)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +34 pts
    2-3
    12:35
  2. PIT
    J. Schultz(1)
    K. Letang (1), E. Malkin (1)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +43 pts
    3-3
    18:31

Overtime

  1. NYI
    J. Bailey(1)
    M. Barzal (1)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +48 pts
    3-4
    4:39

Penalties

PIT 8 PIM·NYI 10 PIM

1st

  • 15:21PITMarcus Pettersson · Trippingdrawn by Casey Cizikas2 min

2nd

  • 5:43PITPhil Kessel · Trippingdrawn by Valtteri Filppula2 min
  • 8:32NYILeo Komarov · Holdingdrawn by Marcus Pettersson2 min
  • 10:43PITEvgeni Malkin · Roughingdrawn by Scott Mayfield2 min
  • 10:43NYIScott Mayfield · Roughingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min
  • 12:30NYIRyan Pulock · Interferencedrawn by Sidney Crosby2 min

3rd

  • 8:34NYIAnders Lee · Boardingdrawn by Erik Gudbranson2 min
  • 13:42NYIBrock Nelson · Slashingdrawn by Matt Murray2 min
  • 13:42PITKris Letang · Roughingdrawn by Brock Nelson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalPIT goalFinal: NYI 100%

Biggest swing: Josh Bailey, OT 4:39 — NYI 52% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Eberle · Goal · xG 0.37B. Nelson · Goal · xG 0.23M. Martin · Missed · xG 0.18J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.16M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.16J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.15M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.14C. Clutterbuck · Missed · xG 0.13C. Cizikas · Missed · xG 0.12A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.11B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.11V. Filppula · On goal · xG 0.11C. Clutterbuck · On goal · xG 0.11M. Martin · On goal · xG 0.11A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.10A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.10J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.09V. Filppula · On goal · xG 0.09J. Bailey · Missed · xG 0.09B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.08B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.08J. Bailey · Goal · xG 0.08M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.08T. Kuhnhackl · On goal · xG 0.07J. Bailey · Missed · xG 0.07M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.07C. Clutterbuck · On goal · xG 0.07M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.06J. Bailey · Missed · xG 0.06B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.06J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.06A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.06M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.05M. Martin · Missed · xG 0.05A. Beauvillier · Missed · xG 0.04D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.04D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.03D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.03A. Beauvillier · Missed · xG 0.02A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.02B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.02N. Leddy · Goal · xG 0.02A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.02M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.01C. Clutterbuck · On goal · xG 0.00J. Boychuk · Missed · xG 0.00S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.00L. Komarov · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI4 G · 3.9 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsNYI
4.33 G
All situations
4 G3.9
3.52 G
Even strength
3 G3.3
0.91 G
Power play
1 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 115 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT56%44%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.30 – 3.89

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsNYI
44
Shots on goal
33
45%
Faceoffs
55%
1/3
Power play
1/2
8
Penalty minutes
10
43
Hits
42
13
Blocked shots
17
22
Giveaways
17
10
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
58K. LetangD011040.35342—28:38
87S. CrosbyC000-120.301004222:43
4J. SchultzD112030.15220—21:19
59J. GuentzelC000-100.00300021:11
28M. PetterssonD000+130.47102—21:07
81P. KesselR112+150.67102—20:56
8B. DumoulinD011-240.19300—19:40
71E. MalkinC112+160.952026418:53
3O. MaattaD000-200.02000—18:44
27N. BjugstadC000040.308002518:02
19J. McCannL000030.121003317:05
44E. GudbransonD000+110.09320—16:58
72P. HornqvistR000050.46100—16:51
17B. RustR000-210.02320—14:47
12D. SimonC011+110.002105012:36
7M. CullenC000000.003106310:27
46Z. Aston-ReeseL000-110.21410—08:43
10G. WilsonL000010.03200—08:29
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30M. Murray(L)33294.8793.92-0.0864:20

Series

NYI leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).