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Lightning at Blue Jackets
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at Columbus Blue Jackets

NHL scoreboard
Tampa Bay Lightning
3
Columbus Blue Jackets
▸7
FinalTV CNBC, FS-O·Nationwide Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Columbus Blue Jackets beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 7-3. The Blue Jackets scored first and never trailed. The Blue Jackets led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Oliver Bjorkstrand's goal at 18:46 of the second period, which took the Blue Jackets' chances from 53% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Blue Jackets, 4.1 to 2.5; shots on goal were TBL 33, CBJ 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 18 of 22 (.818), 1.9 goals below expected; Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 30 of 33 (.909). Three stars: 1. Oliver Bjorkstrand (1 G, 1 A), 2. Pierre-Luc Dubois (1 G, 2 A), 3. Seth Jones (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CBJ
    O. Bjorkstrand1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CBJ
    P. Dubois1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    CBJ
    S. Jones1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TBLTBL17213013333
CBJCBJ2821235725

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. CBJ
    A. Texier(1)PPG
    S. Jones (2), P. Dubois (1)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +10 pts
    0-1
    2:26
  2. CBJ
    P. Dubois(1)
    O. Bjorkstrand (2), A. Clendening (1)
    backhandxG 0.16win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    3:48
  3. TBL
    S. Stamkos(1)
    N. Kucherov (1), A. Cirelli (1)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    8:44

2nd period

  1. CBJ
    S. Jones(2)
    C. Atkinson (2), M. Duchene (4)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    6:28
  2. TBL
    C. Paquette(1)
    B. Coburn (1), J. Rutta (2)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    13:03
  3. TBL
    B. Point(1)PPG
    S. Stamkos (1), N. Kucherov (2)
    backhandxG 0.12win prob +17 pts
    3-3
    17:52
  4. CBJ
    O. Bjorkstrand(2)
    S. Harrington (2), P. Dubois (2)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +22 pts
    3-4
    18:46

3rd period

  1. CBJ
    A. Panarin(2)EN
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.86win prob +6 pts
    3-5
    18:07
  2. CBJ
    A. Texier(2)EN
    Z. Werenski (4), N. Foligno (1)
    wristxG 0.72win prob +1 pts
    3-6
    18:26
  3. CBJ
    M. Duchene(3)EN
    D. Savard (1), S. Harrington (3)
    wristxG 0.41
    3-7
    19:51

Penalties

TBL 4 PIM·CBJ 2 PIM

1st

  • 0:45TBLRyan McDonagh · Slashingdrawn by Oliver Bjorkstrand2 min
  • 11:18TBLNikita Kucherov · Trippingdrawn by Josh Anderson2 min

2nd

  • 16:43CBJZach Werenski · Cross checkingdrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CBJ goalTBL goalFinal: CBJ 100%

Biggest swing: Oliver Bjorkstrand, 2nd 18:46 — CBJ 53% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Panarin · Goal · xG 0.86A. Texier · Goal · xG 0.73M. Duchene · Goal · xG 0.41O. Bjorkstrand · Goal · xG 0.17P. Dubois · Goal · xG 0.16C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.14A. Texier · On goal · xG 0.13O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.13D. Savard · Missed · xG 0.12O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.12O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.11A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.09C. Atkinson · Missed · xG 0.07B. Jenner · Missed · xG 0.07O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.07C. Atkinson · Missed · xG 0.06A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.06O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.06M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.05J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.05B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.05Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.04A. Texier · Goal · xG 0.04O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.04P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.03O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.03A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.03S. Jones · Goal · xG 0.03A. Texier · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.02A. Clendening · On goal · xG 0.02D. Kukan · On goal · xG 0.02B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.02B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.02A. Clendening · On goal · xG 0.01D. Kukan · On goal · xG 0.00
CBJ7 G · 4.1 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsCBJ
2.53 G
All situations
4 G4.1
1.82 G
Even strength
3 G1.7
0.61 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL58%42%CBJ

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.53 – 2.08

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsCBJ
33
Shots on goal
25
55%
Faceoffs
45%
1/1
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
32
Hits
30
9
Blocked shots
15
12
Giveaways
6
3
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27R. McDonaghD000-400.02352—24:35
81E. CernakD000-320.06100—23:47
86N. KucherovR022-240.25112—22:38
71A. CirelliC011-350.362105021:50
91S. StamkosC112-320.191005020:19
18O. PalatL000000.07400—18:37
55B. CoburnD011+260.11310—18:36
98M. SergachevD000-310.07200—18:29
21B. PointC101-340.531005818:05
44J. RuttaD011+110.10000—17:35
9T. JohnsonC000-210.12200016:28
5D. GirardiD000000.02100—15:30
13C. PaquetteC101-120.354006012:01
37Y. GourdeC000-110.022006011:06
17A. KillornL000010.08000—10:58
24R. CallahanR000020.18410—09:38
10J. MillerC000000.000005009:20
7M. JosephR000-110.00100—08:21
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
88A. Vasilevskiy(L)22184.8182.11-1.8958:26

Series

CBJ leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).