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Blue Jackets at Lightning
NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets at Tampa Bay Lightning

FinalTV CNBC, FS-O·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Columbus Blue Jackets beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 5-1. The Blue Jackets scored first and never trailed. The Blue Jackets led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Cam Atkinson's goal at 5:15 of the first period, which took the Blue Jackets' chances from 46% to 59%. Expected goals favored the Blue Jackets, 1.9 to 1.5; shots on goal were CBJ 27, TBL 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blue Jackets win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 23 of 24 (.958), 0.5 goals saved above expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 22 of 27 (.815), 3.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Matt Duchene (1 G, 3 A), 2. Zach Werenski (1 G, 1 A), 3. Riley Nash (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CBJ
    M. Duchene1 G, 3 A
  2. ★★
    CBJ
    Z. Werenski1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CBJ
    R. Nash1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CBJCBJ21017210527
TBLTBL0805111124

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. CBJ
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    5:15
  2. CBJ
    wristxG 0.04win prob +12 pts
    2-0
    11:44

2nd period

  1. CBJ
    wristxG 0.20win prob +9 pts
    3-0
    1:28

3rd period

  1. TBL
    wristxG 0.02win prob +6 pts
    3-1
    5:00
  2. CBJ
    wristxG 0.09win prob +5 pts
    4-1
    9:06
  3. CBJ
    wristxG 0.13win prob +1 pts
    5-1
    12:15

Penalties

CBJ 21 PIM·TBL 38 PIM

1st

  • 7:08TBLAdam Erne · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 11:40TBLOndrej Palat · Hookingdrawn by Riley Nash2 min
  • 15:11TBLBrayden Point · Fightingdrawn by Zach Werenski5 min
  • 15:11CBJZach Werenski · Fightingdrawn by Brayden Point5 min

2nd

  • 0:30TBLAlex Killorn · Interferencedrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min
  • 4:21CBJserved by M. Duchene · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 5:51CBJNick Foligno · Trippingdrawn by Tyler Johnson2 min
  • 15:34TBLNikita Kucherov · Trippingdrawn by Markus Nutivaara2 min
  • 15:34TBLNikita Kucherov · Boardingdrawn by Markus Nutivaara5 min
  • 15:34TBLNikita Kucherov · Game misconduct10 min
  • 15:34TBLVictor Hedman · Misconduct10 min
  • 15:34CBJJosh Anderson · Roughingdrawn by Victor Hedman2 min
  • 15:34CBJJosh Anderson · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalCBJ goalFinal: TBL 0%

Biggest swing: Cam Atkinson, 1st 5:15 — CBJ 46% → 59%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.19N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.15B. Point · Missed · xG 0.10N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.10T. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.08B. Point · Missed · xG 0.08N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.07S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.07N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.06S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.06R. McDonagh · Missed · xG 0.06M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.06J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.04M. Joseph · Missed · xG 0.04N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.04S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.03S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.03R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.02M. Sergachev · Goal · xG 0.02O. Palat · Missed · xG 0.02T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.02E. Cernak · Missed · xG 0.02V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.02C. Paquette · Missed · xG 0.02M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.02M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.01S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.01M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.01J. Rutta · On goal · xG 0.01A. Erne · On goal · xG 0.01E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.01J. Rutta · On goal · xG 0.00V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.00V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.00M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.00V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.00
TBL1 G · 1.5 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CBJvsTBL
1.95 G
All situations
1 G1.5
1.23 G
Even strength
1 G1.1
0.72 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 70 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CBJ59%41%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.90 – 1.50

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CBJvsTBL
27
Shots on goal
24
45%
Faceoffs
55%
2/4
Power play
0/2
21
Penalty minutes
38
17
Hits
37
16
Blocked shots
9
2
Giveaways
9
7
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
58D. SavardD000+110.04160—24:33
3S. JonesD000+100.02410—24:21
65M. NutivaaraD000+100.00110—22:57
8Z. WerenskiD112+120.11115—22:24
9A. PanarinL112040.25000—18:27
13C. AtkinsonR101+120.11010—17:20
28O. BjorkstrandR011030.22010—17:12
38B. JennerC011+110.062104616:45
95M. DucheneC134+240.460006316:02
18P. DuboisC000-120.271002915:54
77J. AndersonR000020.054112—14:17
71N. FolignoL000000.001124314:02
42A. TexierL000000.00000—12:58
4S. HarringtonD000000.00000—12:44
17B. DubinskyC000+110.010004412:11
19R. DzingelC000+110.09100011:54
20R. NashC101+130.20120011:44
14D. KukanD000010.04000—10:15
Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
72S. Bobrovsky(W)24231.9581.52+0.5260:00

Series

CBJ leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).