Columbus Blue Jackets at Tampa Bay Lightning
Recap
written from the game dataThe Columbus Blue Jackets beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 5-1. The Blue Jackets scored first and never trailed. The Blue Jackets led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Cam Atkinson's goal at 5:15 of the first period, which took the Blue Jackets' chances from 46% to 59%. Expected goals favored the Blue Jackets, 1.9 to 1.5; shots on goal were CBJ 27, TBL 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blue Jackets win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 23 of 24 (.958), 0.5 goals saved above expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 22 of 27 (.815), 3.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Matt Duchene (1 G, 3 A), 2. Zach Werenski (1 G, 1 A), 3. Riley Nash (1 G).
Three stars
- ★M. Duchene1 G, 3 A

- ★★Z. Werenski1 G, 1 A

- ★★★R. Nash1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
6 goals1st period
1-05:15
2-011:44
2nd period
3-01:28
3rd period
3-15:00
4-19:06
5-112:15
Penalties
1st
- 7:08
Adam Erne · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- 11:40
Ondrej Palat · Hookingdrawn by Riley Nash2 min
- 15:11
Brayden Point · Fightingdrawn by Zach Werenski5 min
- 15:11
Zach Werenski · Fightingdrawn by Brayden Point5 min
2nd
- 0:30
Alex Killorn · Interferencedrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min
- 4:21
served by M. Duchene · Too many men on the ice2 min
3rd
- 5:51
Nick Foligno · Trippingdrawn by Tyler Johnson2 min
- 15:34
Nikita Kucherov · Trippingdrawn by Markus Nutivaara2 min
- 15:34
Nikita Kucherov · Boardingdrawn by Markus Nutivaara5 min
- 15:34
Nikita Kucherov · Game misconduct10 min
- 15:34
Victor Hedman · Misconduct10 min
- 15:34
Josh Anderson · Roughingdrawn by Victor Hedman2 min
- 15:34
Josh Anderson · Misconduct10 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Cam Atkinson, 1st 5:15 — 46% → 59%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.95 G
- All situations
- 1 G1.5
- 1.23 G
- Even strength
- 1 G1.1
- 0.72 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.4
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.1
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 70 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.90 – 1.50
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 27
- Shots on goal
- 24
- 45%
- Faceoffs
- 55%
- 2/4
- Power play
- 0/2
- 21
- Penalty minutes
- 38
- 17
- Hits
- 37
- 16
- Blocked shots
- 9
- 2
- Giveaways
- 9
- 7
- Takeaways
- 4
Box score
every player line
Series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
