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Capitals at Panthers
NHL

Washington Capitals at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
Washington Capitals
3
Florida Panthers
▸5
FinalTV FS-F, NBCSWA·BB&T Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Washington Capitals 5-3. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jonathan Huberdeau's goal at 3:34 of the second period, which took the Panthers' chances from 69% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 3.6 to 3.0; shots on goal were WSH 30, FLA 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Pheonix Copley stopped 29 of 33 (.879), 0.8 goals below expected; Roberto Luongo stopped 27 of 30 (.900). Three stars: 1. Aleksander Barkov (3 A), 2. Frank Vatrano (1 G), 3. Vincent Trocheck (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    A. Barkov3 A
  2. ★★
    FLA
    F. Vatrano1 G
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    V. Trocheck2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH05014311330
FLAFLA114310110534

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    F. Vatrano(24)
    C. Sceviour (10), H. Borgstrom (10)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    13:48

2nd period

  1. FLA
    J. Huberdeau(28)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.46win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    3:34
  2. FLA
    V. Trocheck(9)SHG
    A. Barkov (58), M. Matheson (19)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    12:01
  3. FLA
    T. Brouwer(12)
    A. Barkov (59), D. Hunt (7)
    snapxG 0.21win prob +2 pts
    0-4
    17:57

3rd period

  1. WSH
    E. Kuznetsov(21)
    J. Carlson (57)
    tip-inxG 0.07
    1-4
    10:55
  2. WSH
    N. Backstrom(22)
    T. Oshie (28), A. Ovechkin (38)
    slapxG 0.15win prob +1 pts
    2-4
    16:25
  3. WSH
    J. Vrana(24)
    T. Oshie (29), M. Niskanen (17)
    slapxG 0.51win prob +5 pts
    3-4
    17:39
  4. FLA
    V. Trocheck(10)EN
    E. Dadonov (41), A. Barkov (60)
    slapxG 0.37win prob +2 pts
    3-5
    19:33

Penalties

WSH 4 PIM·FLA 4 PIM

1st

  • 16:30WSHNicklas Backstrom · Holdingdrawn by Aaron Ekblad2 min

2nd

  • 11:48FLAFrank Vatrano · Holding the stickdrawn by Matt Niskanen2 min

3rd

  • 0:41WSHTom Wilson · Hookingdrawn by Evgenii Dadonov2 min
  • 11:45FLAVincent Trocheck · Trippingdrawn by Alex Ovechkin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalWSH goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Jonathan Huberdeau, 2nd 3:34 — FLA 69% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Huberdeau · Goal · xG 0.46V. Trocheck · Goal · xG 0.37A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.29M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.24T. Brouwer · Goal · xG 0.21K. Yandle · Missed · xG 0.15F. Vatrano · Goal · xG 0.15V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.14M. Hoffman · Missed · xG 0.14A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.12J. Hawryluk · On goal · xG 0.12V. Trocheck · Goal · xG 0.11V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.11F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.10V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.10E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.10M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.08F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.07A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.05C. Sceviour · On goal · xG 0.04J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.04V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.04A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.04F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.03A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.03T. Brouwer · On goal · xG 0.03M. Hoffman · Missed · xG 0.03K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.03K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.03M. Pysyk · Missed · xG 0.03F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.02A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.02M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.02M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pysyk · On goal · xG 0.01T. Brouwer · On goal · xG 0.01M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.00J. Brown · On goal · xG 0.00M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.00J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA5 G · 3.6 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsFLA
3.03 G
All situations
4 G3.6
1.83 G
Even strength
3 G2.5
1.20 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH45%55%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.91 – 3.20

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsFLA
30
Shots on goal
34
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
35
Hits
29
6
Blocked shots
12
14
Giveaways
18
8
Takeaways
16

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8A. OvechkinL011-260.45800—22:42
74J. CarlsonD011-220.10010—22:29
9D. OrlovD000-120.18000—21:11
2M. NiskanenD011030.09200—20:11
77T. OshieR022000.271003320:00
19N. BackstromC101-330.332026519:10
92E. KuznetsovC101020.252004218:28
43T. WilsonR000-440.21402—18:03
29C. DjoosD000000.00010—17:23
3N. JensenD000000.01200—16:54
20L. EllerC000000.043105715:53
62C. HagelinL000010.01000—15:26
44B. OrpikD000000.02410—15:02
13J. VranaL101+130.70100—13:00
10B. ConnollyR000030.25100—12:13
18C. StephensonC000000.0020010010:53
26N. DowdC000000.001204610:46
65A. BurakovskyL000+110.03200—09:50
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1P. Copley(L)33294.8793.23-0.7756:26

Season series

FLA leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).