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Panthers at Capitals
NHL

Florida Panthers at Washington Capitals

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
▸5
Washington Capitals
4
Final/OTTV ESPN+, FS-F·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Washington Capitals 5-4 in overtime, Mike Hoffman scoring at 1:31. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mike Hoffman's goal at 1:31 of overtime, which took the Panthers' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 4.3 to 3.2; shots on goal were FLA 31, WSH 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Roberto Luongo stopped 26 of 30 (.867), 0.8 goals below expected; Braden Holtby stopped 26 of 31 (.839), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mike Hoffman (1 G), 2. Brett Connolly (2 G, 1 A), 3. Aaron Ekblad (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    M. Hoffman1 G
  2. ★★
    WSH
    B. Connolly2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    A. Ekblad2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
FLAFLA291101913531
WSHWSH0821221000430

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    F. Vatrano(18)
    V. Trocheck (14), A. Ekblad (14)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    12:55
  2. FLA
    K. Yandle(8)
    D. Malgin (7), R. Sheahan (4)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    13:30

2nd period

  1. WSH
    B. Connolly(11)
    A. Burakovsky (7), C. Djoos (5)
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    5:02
  2. FLA
    C. Sceviour(5)
    A. Ekblad (15)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    9:17
  3. WSH
    L. Eller(7)
    N. Dowd (10), B. Connolly (17)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +17 pts
    3-2
    19:19

3rd period

  1. FLA
    D. Brassard(10)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.38win prob +17 pts
    4-2
    0:07
  2. WSH
    B. Connolly(12)
    A. Burakovsky (8), L. Eller (17)
    wristxG 0.24win prob +16 pts
    4-3
    6:12
  3. WSH
    E. Kuznetsov(13)
    D. Orlov (13), A. Ovechkin (24)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +42 pts
    4-4
    16:54

Overtime

  1. FLA
    M. Hoffman(25)PPG
    K. Yandle (34), A. Barkov (34)
    wristxG 0.24win prob +51 pts
    5-4
    1:31

Penalties

FLA 2 PIM·WSH 8 PIM

1st

  • 5:34FLAIan McCoshen · Holdingdrawn by Lars Eller2 min
  • 10:54WSHT.J. Oshie · Trippingdrawn by Denis Malgin2 min
  • 16:35WSHChristian Djoos · Elbowingdrawn by Colton Sceviour2 min

2nd

  • 16:33WSHBrett Connolly · Slashingdrawn by Jonathan Huberdeau2 min

3rd

  • 19:56WSHBrett Connolly · Slashingdrawn by Aleksander Barkov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalFLA goalFinal: WSH 0%

Biggest swing: Mike Hoffman, OT 1:31 — FLA 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Connolly · Goal · xG 0.24B. Connolly · Missed · xG 0.16A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.15A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.14A. Burakovsky · Missed · xG 0.13B. Connolly · On goal · xG 0.13B. Connolly · Goal · xG 0.13N. Dowd · Missed · xG 0.13B. Connolly · Missed · xG 0.13T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.12J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.10N. Backstrom · Missed · xG 0.09J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.09T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.09M. Kempny · On goal · xG 0.09J. Vrana · Missed · xG 0.09E. Kuznetsov · Missed · xG 0.09L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.09B. Connolly · Missed · xG 0.08J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.08M. Kempny · On goal · xG 0.07C. Djoos · On goal · xG 0.07L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.07T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.06A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.06L. Eller · Goal · xG 0.06E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.05M. Kempny · Missed · xG 0.05J. Vrana · Missed · xG 0.04D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.04A. Burakovsky · Missed · xG 0.03B. Orpik · On goal · xG 0.02A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.02N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.02M. Kempny · Missed · xG 0.02D. Jaskin · On goal · xG 0.02M. Kempny · Missed · xG 0.02B. Orpik · Missed · xG 0.02E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.02B. Orpik · On goal · xG 0.02M. Kempny · On goal · xG 0.02M. Kempny · On goal · xG 0.02E. Kuznetsov · Goal · xG 0.02A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.01M. Niskanen · Missed · xG 0.01M. Niskanen · Missed · xG 0.01C. Djoos · On goal · xG 0.01M. Kempny · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH4 G · 3.2 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsWSH
4.35 G
All situations
4 G3.2
3.34 G
Even strength
4 G3.1
1.01 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 100 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA66%34%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.22 – 3.17

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsWSH
31
Shots on goal
30
51%
Faceoffs
49%
1/4
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
8
20
Hits
16
23
Blocked shots
16
12
Giveaways
16
11
Takeaways
14

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3K. YandleD112+130.35020—26:29
5A. EkbladD022+220.14100—25:59
19M. MathesonD000-130.14250—23:49
21V. TrocheckC011030.503005023:42
13M. PysykD000-120.01130—21:54
16A. BarkovC011-110.210205721:34
63E. DadonovL000020.40000—19:09
72F. VatranoR101010.39200—18:19
11J. HuberdeauL000-140.4801010017:53
25D. BrassardC101+130.570005017:33
68M. HoffmanC101020.41000016:25
15R. SheahanC011+110.130205014:25
62D. MalginC011-100.00010011:39
7C. SceviourC101+130.17010010:47
22T. BrouwerR000+100.25510—09:44
2J. BrownD000-100.00130—09:36
12I. McCoshenD000-100.00212—08:20
18M. HaleyL000010.15310—06:47
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1R. Luongo(W)30264.8673.22-0.7861:31

Season series

FLA leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).