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Florida Panthers at Boston Bruins

FinalTV NHLN, FS-F·TD Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Boston Bruins 4-1. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Troy Brouwer's goal at 14:19 of the second period, which took the Panthers' chances from 63% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 2.1 to 1.7; shots on goal were FLA 23, BOS 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Roberto Luongo stopped 30 of 31 (.968), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Tuukka Rask stopped 19 of 22 (.864), 1.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Roberto Luongo (30 saves, .968), 2. Evgenii Dadonov (2 G), 3. Aaron Ekblad (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    R. Luongo30 saves, .968
  2. ★★
    FLA
    E. Dadonov2 G
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    A. Ekblad1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA281619423
BOSBOS0161807131

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    D. Hunt (6), K. Yandle (51)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    13:37
  2. FLA
    wristxG 0.36win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    15:44

2nd period

  1. BOS
    backhandxG 0.20win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    13:12
  2. FLA
    T. Brouwer(11)SHG
    wristxG 0.01win prob +19 pts
    3-1
    14:19

3rd period

  1. FLA
    wristxG 0.96win prob +1 pts
    4-1
    17:41

Penalties

FLA 4 PIM·BOS 2 PIM

1st

  • 11:36BOSJake DeBrusk · Trippingdrawn by Aaron Ekblad2 min

2nd

  • 13:43FLAJonathan Huberdeau · Interferencedrawn by Noel Acciari2 min
  • 17:21FLARiley Sheahan · Slashingdrawn by Marcus Johansson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalFLA goalFinal: BOS 0%

Biggest swing: Troy Brouwer, 2nd 14:19 — FLA 63% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Acciari · Goal · xG 0.20D. Krejci · On goal · xG 0.13B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.13Z. Chara · On goal · xG 0.13C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.12D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.08B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.08J. DeBrusk · Missed · xG 0.07D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.06C. Coyle · Missed · xG 0.06D. Krejci · Missed · xG 0.05N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.05D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.05N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.05C. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.04P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.04D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.03C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.03D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.03T. Krug · Missed · xG 0.02B. Carlo · Missed · xG 0.02C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.02D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.02C. Clifton · On goal · xG 0.02T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Chara · On goal · xG 0.02T. Krug · Missed · xG 0.02B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.02D. Krejci · On goal · xG 0.01C. Clifton · On goal · xG 0.01C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.01C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.01D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.01C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.01N. Acciari · Missed · xG 0.01T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.01C. Wagner · Missed · xG 0.01D. Backes · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Chara · On goal · xG 0.00B. Carlo · Missed · xG 0.00J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.00
BOS1 G · 1.7 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsBOS
2.13 G
All situations
1 G1.7
1.12 G
Even strength
1 G1.6
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.01 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 68 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA38%62%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.15 – 1.69

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsBOS
23
Shots on goal
31
54%
Faceoffs
46%
0/1
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
21
Hits
21
20
Blocked shots
8
5
Giveaways
11
10
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5A. EkbladD011+230.06060—25:20
19M. MathesonD011+320.07150—24:23
13M. PysykD000000.00100—21:24
16A. BarkovC011+220.040005819:53
63E. DadonovL202+231.33010—19:26
11J. HuberdeauL022+200.00202—19:01
21V. TrocheckC000-140.162006117:47
52M. WeegarD000010.05150—17:34
2J. BrownD000000.00410—16:41
22T. BrouwerR101+110.01110—16:29
7C. SceviourC000+100.00310015:24
15R. SheahanC101+240.290025615:12
73D. HuntL011020.03100—14:30
3K. YandleD011+100.03100—12:44
72F. VatranoR000010.0420010012:03
68M. HoffmanC000000.00000010:35
95H. BorgstromC000000.000001708:48
8J. HawrylukR000-100.00200—08:46
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1R. Luongo(W)31301.9681.71+0.7160:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).