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Florida Panthers at Boston Bruins

FinalTV FS-F, NESN·TD Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the Florida Panthers 4-3. The Bruins came back from two goals down. The Panthers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Patrice Bergeron's goal at 19:53 of the third period, which took the Bruins' chances from 51% to 99%. Expected goals were close — FLA 2.3, BOS 2.5; shots on goal were FLA 25, BOS 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Roberto Luongo stopped 24 of 28 (.857), 1.5 goals below expected; Tuukka Rask stopped 22 of 25 (.880), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Patrice Bergeron (2 G), 2. Jonathan Huberdeau (2 G, 1 A), 3. David Krejci (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    P. Bergeron2 G
  2. ★★
    FLA
    J. Huberdeau2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    D. Krejci1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA0102718325
BOSBOS0915314428

Scoring

7 goals

2nd period

  1. FLA
    A. Barkov(29)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    2:48
  2. FLA
    A. Barkov (41), K. Yandle (45)
    snapxG 0.21win prob +13 pts
    2-0
    6:27
  3. BOS
    D. Heinen (16), D. Backes (10)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    10:29

3rd period

  1. BOS
    snapxG 0.06win prob +32 pts
    2-2
    8:50
  2. FLA
    wristxG 0.12win prob +34 pts
    3-2
    10:55
  3. BOS
    slapxG 0.04win prob +45 pts
    3-3
    19:23
  4. BOS
    wristxG 0.07win prob +48 pts
    3-4
    19:53

Penalties

FLA 8 PIM·BOS 10 PIM

1st

  • 11:26BOSMatt Grzelcyk · Hookingdrawn by Riley Sheahan2 min
  • 15:02FLAVincent Trocheck · High stickingdrawn by Charlie Coyle2 min

2nd

  • 2:21BOSBrandon Carlo · Trippingdrawn by Vincent Trocheck2 min
  • 5:57BOSZdeno Chara · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 18:37FLADryden Hunt · High stickingdrawn by David Krejci2 min

3rd

  • 1:43BOSChris Wagner · Trippingdrawn by Troy Brouwer2 min
  • 2:06FLAAleksander Barkov · Trippingdrawn by Brad Marchand2 min
  • 7:09BOSTorey Krug · Holdingdrawn by Jonathan Huberdeau2 min
  • 17:24FLAMike Hoffman · Trippingdrawn by David Krejci2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalFLA goalFinal: BOS 100%

Biggest swing: Patrice Bergeron, 3rd 19:53 — BOS 51% → 99%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Krejci · On goal · xG 0.15B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.14P. Bergeron · Missed · xG 0.14D. Krejci · Goal · xG 0.13B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.11S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.10C. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.10P. Bergeron · Missed · xG 0.10D. Krejci · On goal · xG 0.09D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.09T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.08C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.08P. Bergeron · Missed · xG 0.08P. Bergeron · Goal · xG 0.07P. Cehlarik · On goal · xG 0.07D. Krejci · On goal · xG 0.06D. Krejci · On goal · xG 0.06D. Krejci · Missed · xG 0.06P. Bergeron · Goal · xG 0.05J. Nordstrom · On goal · xG 0.05M. Grzelcyk · Missed · xG 0.05C. Wagner · Missed · xG 0.05D. Backes · On goal · xG 0.05S. Kuraly · Missed · xG 0.04M. Grzelcyk · Goal · xG 0.04T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.04D. Krejci · Missed · xG 0.04C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.04T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.04B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.03D. Heinen · Missed · xG 0.03B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.03T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.03N. Acciari · Missed · xG 0.03D. Backes · On goal · xG 0.02C. Wagner · Missed · xG 0.02B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.02M. Grzelcyk · Missed · xG 0.02J. Moore · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Chara · On goal · xG 0.02B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.02C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.01J. Moore · On goal · xG 0.01T. Krug · Missed · xG 0.01B. Carlo · Missed · xG 0.01
BOS4 G · 2.5 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsBOS
2.33 G
All situations
4 G2.5
1.41 G
Even strength
2 G1.6
0.92 G
Power play
1 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA47%53%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.32 – 2.50

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsBOS
25
Shots on goal
28
44%
Faceoffs
56%
2/5
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
10
21
Hits
19
19
Blocked shots
6
17
Giveaways
16
20
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
19M. MathesonD000-200.00030—23:45
5A. EkbladD011-200.02120—23:41
3K. YandleD022030.10000—22:25
21V. TrocheckC000-210.050123621:45
52M. WeegarD000020.12360—20:48
16A. BarkovC112030.401024120:39
68M. HoffmanC000020.35012020:37
11J. HuberdeauL213+150.4910010017:35
22T. BrouwerR000-110.07200—15:45
72F. VatranoR000010.01230—15:07
15R. SheahanC000-210.060008314:52
63E. DadonovL011+100.09110—14:45
13M. PysykD000000.03110—13:32
2J. BrownD000010.01300—11:14
95H. BorgstromC000-110.170002010:11
73D. HuntL000-100.02302—10:09
88J. McGinnL000-100.01110—09:24
8J. HawrylukR000040.3620010006:39
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1R. Luongo(L)28244.8572.53-1.4759:08

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).