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Los Angeles Kings at Calgary Flames

FinalTV FS-W, SNW·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the Calgary Flames 3-0. The Kings scored first and never trailed. The Kings led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jonny Brodzinski's goal at 11:51 of the third period, which took the Kings' chances from 82% to 97%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 2.9 to 1.9; shots on goal were LAK 20, CGY 42. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Jack Campbell stopped 42 of 42 (1.000), 2.9 goals saved above expected; Mike Smith stopped 17 of 19 (.895). Three stars: 1. Jack Campbell (42 saves, 1.000), 2. Mike Smith (17 saves, .895), 3. Anze Kopitar.

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    J. Campbell42 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    CGY
    M. Smith17 saves, .895
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    A. Kopitar

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK170726320
CGYCGY015016011042

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. LAK
    wristxG 0.01win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    0:57

3rd period

  1. LAK
    snapxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    11:51
  2. LAK
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.29win prob +1 pts
    3-0
    15:57

Penalties

LAK 17 PIM·CGY 15 PIM

1st

  • 4:08LAKDrew Doughty · Cross checkingdrawn by Austin Czarnik2 min
  • 11:33LAKJeff Carter · Cross checkingdrawn by Michael Frolik2 min
  • 13:56LAKMatt Roy · High stickingdrawn by James Neal2 min
  • 18:04LAKTyler Toffoli · Fightingdrawn by Oscar Fantenberg5 min
  • 18:04CGYOscar Fantenberg · Fightingdrawn by Tyler Toffoli5 min
  • 18:59CGYJames Neal · Trippingdrawn by Sean Walker2 min
  • 19:17CGYGarnet Hathaway · Interferencedrawn by Jeff Carter2 min

2nd

  • 12:02CGYJames Neal · High stickingdrawn by Sean Walker2 min
  • 19:58LAKMatt Roy · Roughingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 19:58CGYMatthew Tkachuk · Roughingdrawn by Matt Roy2 min

3rd

  • 2:31LAKDrew Doughty · Slashingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 18:06CGYGarnet Hathaway · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Dion Phaneuf2 min
  • 18:06LAKDion Phaneuf · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalLAK goalFinal: CGY 0%

Biggest swing: Jonny Brodzinski, 3rd 11:51 — LAK 82% → 97%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.23M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.21D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.17S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.12J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.12E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.12M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.11S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.10M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.10M. Frolik · Missed · xG 0.09M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.09D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.08M. Jankowski · Missed · xG 0.08M. Jankowski · Missed · xG 0.07M. Frolik · On goal · xG 0.07E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.06D. Ryan · Missed · xG 0.06T. Brodie · Missed · xG 0.06M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.05D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.05M. Frolik · On goal · xG 0.05J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.05M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.05M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.05N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.04A. Czarnik · On goal · xG 0.04M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.04R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.04E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.04J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.03A. Czarnik · On goal · xG 0.03D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.03T. Hamonic · Missed · xG 0.03S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.02T. Brodie · Missed · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.02O. Fantenberg · On goal · xG 0.02M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.02J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.02M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.02M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.02M. Frolik · On goal · xG 0.02J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.02M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.01O. Fantenberg · On goal · xG 0.01M. Frolik · Missed · xG 0.01M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.01T. Brodie · On goal · xG 0.01M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.01M. Frolik · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY0 G · 2.9 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsCGY
1.92 G
All situations
0 G2.9
0.92 G
Even strength
0 G2.1
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.8
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK27%73%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.61 – 2.85

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsCGY
20
Shots on goal
42
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/3
Power play
0/4
17
Penalty minutes
15
22
Hits
11
22
Blocked shots
11
19
Giveaways
33
12
Takeaways
21

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8D. DoughtyD000+110.01134—23:50
23D. BrownR000010.00100—22:25
11A. KopitarC000+120.270304822:13
27A. MartinezD000+100.00240—20:22
77J. CarterC011+220.140025619:39
24D. ForbortD101+110.01020—19:13
9A. KempeR000030.420103617:36
19A. IafalloL000010.11100—17:00
22T. LewisC011+230.10030015:47
81M. RoyD000+100.03214—15:47
61S. WalkerD000+110.01200—15:37
73T. ToffoliC101+110.30005014:00
38C. GrundstromR000010.27100—13:35
3D. PhaneufD011+110.10122—13:27
13K. CliffordL011+110.02000—11:14
51A. WagnerL000+100.00100—09:18
56K. MacDermidL000000.00600—08:42
76J. BrodzinskiC101+110.10430008:21
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Campbell(W)424201.0002.89+2.8960:00

Season series

CGY leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).