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Kings at Flames
NHL

Los Angeles Kings at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
Los Angeles Kings
1
Calgary Flames
▸4
FinalTV FS-W, SNW·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Los Angeles Kings 4-1. The Flames scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Johnny Gaudreau's goal at 7:44 of the third period, which took the Flames' chances from 59% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 4.8 to 1.4; shots on goal were LAK 14, CGY 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 79% of the time. Cal Petersen stopped 33 of 35 (.943), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Mike Smith stopped 13 of 14 (.929). Three stars: 1. Johnny Gaudreau (1 G), 2. TJ Brodie (1 A), 3. Mike Smith (13 saves, .929).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    J. Gaudreau1 G
  2. ★★
    CGY
    T. Brodie1 A
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    M. Smith13 saves, .929

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK041505114
CGYCGY19010318437

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    M. Backlund(4)
    T. Brodie (9), S. Bennett (5)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:36

2nd period

  1. LAK
    A. Kempe(3)
    A. Wagner (2)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +20 pts
    1-1
    13:41

3rd period

  1. CGY
    J. Gaudreau(10)PPG
    E. Lindholm (14), M. Tkachuk (16)
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +22 pts
    1-2
    7:44
  2. CGY
    M. Backlund(5)EN
    M. Tkachuk (17), E. Lindholm (15)
    wristxG 0.95win prob +5 pts
    1-3
    19:28
  3. CGY
    S. Monahan(14)EN
    M. Backlund (11)
    wristxG 0.34
    1-4
    19:52

Penalties

LAK 6 PIM·CGY 2 PIM

2nd

  • 0:34CGYSam Bennett · High stickingdrawn by Derek Forbort2 min
  • 1:08LAKAdrian Kempe · High sticking double minordrawn by Garnet Hathaway4 min

3rd

  • 7:09LAKDion Phaneuf · Slashingdrawn by Austin Czarnik2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalLAK goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Johnny Gaudreau, 3rd 7:44 — CGY 59% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Backlund · Goal · xG 0.95S. Monahan · Missed · xG 0.46S. Monahan · Goal · xG 0.35E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.23A. Czarnik · On goal · xG 0.20M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.17S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.16S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.15T. Brodie · On goal · xG 0.14J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.13E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.13S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.12M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.12M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.11E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.10J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.10J. Gaudreau · Goal · xG 0.10D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.09M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.08M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.08D. Ryan · Missed · xG 0.07J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.07S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.06J. Neal · Missed · xG 0.06S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.05E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.05S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.04J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.04O. Kylington · Missed · xG 0.04D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.03D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.03T. Brodie · Missed · xG 0.03M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.03J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.03M. Backlund · Goal · xG 0.03J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.02J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.02E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.02G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.02S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.02D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.02M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.02R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.01G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.01M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.01R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.00E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY4 G · 4.8 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsCGY
1.41 G
All situations
2 G4.8
1.41 G
Even strength
1 G2.5
0.00 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 72 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK21%79%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.42 – 3.04

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsCGY
14
Shots on goal
37
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/1
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
21
Hits
16
9
Blocked shots
11
18
Giveaways
17
14
Takeaways
18

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6J. MuzzinD000-200.00410—23:30
8D. DoughtyD000-200.00110—23:10
27A. MartinezD000-200.00100—22:10
24D. ForbortD000010.01620—21:06
11A. KopitarC000-210.200003121:05
73T. ToffoliC000-120.13200020:11
77J. CarterC000-310.150006219:41
23D. BrownR000-330.28110—19:08
19A. IafalloL000-230.221005017:55
13K. CliffordL000000.20220—16:14
2P. LaDueD000+100.00010—15:12
3D. PhaneufD000+110.01002—14:52
64M. LuffR000+100.02000—14:46
9A. KempeR101+120.132145013:50
44N. ThompsonC000000.000006012:59
51A. WagnerL011+100.08100—09:11
41S. RempalR000000.00000—05:41
10M. AmadioR000000.00000—05:37
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40C. Petersen(L)35332.9433.08+1.0859:07

Season series

CGY leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).