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Penguins at Stars
NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins at Dallas Stars

NHL scoreboard
Pittsburgh Penguins
▸3
Dallas Stars
2
FinalTV ESPN+, ATTSN-PT·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Dallas Stars 3-2. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jared McCann's goal at 4:20 of the third period, which took the Penguins' chances from 43% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 3.2 to 2.2; shots on goal were PIT 30, DAL 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Matt Murray stopped 29 of 31 (.935), 1.2 goals saved above expected; Anton Khudobin stopped 27 of 30 (.900), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jared McCann (2 G), 2. Phil Kessel (2 A), 3. Alexander Radulov (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    J. McCann2 G
  2. ★★
    PIT
    P. Kessel2 A
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    A. Radulov1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT1121919330
DALDAL01026015231

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    J. Guentzel(38)PPG
    P. Kessel (50), K. Letang (40)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    15:25

2nd period

  1. DAL
    T. Seguin(29)
    A. Radulov (37), R. Hintz (8)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    1:03
  2. PIT
    J. McCann(18)
    P. Kessel (51)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +21 pts
    2-1
    14:41
  3. DAL
    A. Cogliano(5)
    J. Klingberg (31), V. Nichushkin (9)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +23 pts
    2-2
    18:40

3rd period

  1. PIT
    J. McCann(19)SHG
    T. Blueger (4), E. Gudbranson (8)
    backhandxG 0.06win prob +28 pts
    3-2
    4:20

Penalties

PIT 6 PIM·DAL 2 PIM

1st

  • 14:34DALAlexander Radulov · Slashingdrawn by Nick Bjugstad2 min

2nd

  • 6:43PITKris Letang · Trippingdrawn by Roope Hintz2 min

3rd

  • 3:34PITJack Johnson · Holdingdrawn by Jason Dickinson2 min
  • 18:40PITBryan Rust · Holdingdrawn by Radek Faksa2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalPIT goalFinal: DAL 0%

Biggest swing: Jared McCann, 3rd 4:20 — PIT 43% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.25M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.16A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.15R. Polak · On goal · xG 0.15J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.14R. Faksa · Missed · xG 0.14R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.13A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.12R. Polak · On goal · xG 0.11R. Polak · On goal · xG 0.10J. L'Esperance · Missed · xG 0.10J. L'Esperance · On goal · xG 0.10T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.10J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.09J. Dickinson · Missed · xG 0.09R. Faksa · Missed · xG 0.08R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.08B. Comeau · Missed · xG 0.08T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.08A. Cogliano · Goal · xG 0.07T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.07R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.07A. Cogliano · Missed · xG 0.07J. Dowling · Missed · xG 0.07J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.06R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.06T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.06R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.05R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.05T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.04T. Seguin · Goal · xG 0.03J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.02B. Lovejoy · Missed · xG 0.02R. Polak · Missed · xG 0.02B. Comeau · On goal · xG 0.02M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.01J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.01T. Fedun · On goal · xG 0.01M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.01M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.01A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.01R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.01R. Polak · On goal · xG 0.01J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.01
DAL2 G · 3.2 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsDAL
2.23 G
All situations
2 G3.2
1.91 G
Even strength
2 G2.7
0.31 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.11 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT35%65%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.23 – 3.10

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsDAL
30
Shots on goal
31
50%
Faceoffs
50%
1/1
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
20
Hits
25
15
Blocked shots
17
10
Giveaways
15
5
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8B. DumoulinD000020.05110—25:00
58K. LetangD011+130.06012—24:26
59J. GuentzelC101040.57020020:45
87S. CrosbyC000030.480004219:39
17B. RustR000020.112125019:11
73J. JohnsonD000-110.02112—18:48
4J. SchultzD000030.05010—17:24
44E. GudbransonD011010.01220—17:09
53T. BluegerC011+200.031205516:58
28M. PetterssonD000000.03210—16:40
19J. McCannL202+240.34100—16:30
72P. HornqvistR000-140.3310010015:58
81P. KesselR022+110.05010—15:57
27N. BjugstadC000-110.091005415:38
12D. SimonC000-110.02100013:22
7M. CullenC000-100.000104311:28
10G. WilsonL000-100.00300—05:11
47A. JohnsonC000-100.00410004:36
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30M. Murray(W)31292.9353.17+1.1760:00

Season series

PIT leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).