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Dallas Stars at Pittsburgh Penguins

FinalTV ATTSN-PT, FS-SW+·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Dallas Stars 5-1. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 5-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jake Guentzel's goal at 3:58 of the first period, which took the Penguins' chances from 54% to 66%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 2.4 to 1.6; shots on goal were DAL 19, PIT 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Landon Bow stopped 14 of 14 (1.000), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Casey DeSmith stopped 18 of 19 (.947), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Sidney Crosby (1 G, 2 A), 2. Patric Hornqvist (1 G, 1 A), 3. Casey DeSmith (18 saves, .947).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    S. Crosby1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    PIT
    P. Hornqvist1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    C. DeSmith18 saves, .947

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL030719119
PITPIT3921506530

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    snapxG 0.12win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    3:58
  2. PIT
    E. Malkin(8)PPG
    K. Letang (10), P. Kessel (15)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +11 pts
    0-2
    6:06
  3. PIT
    wristxG 0.36win prob +10 pts
    0-3
    10:04

2nd period

  1. PIT
    wristxG 0.10win prob +4 pts
    0-4
    3:20
  2. PIT
    slapxG 0.04win prob +1 pts
    0-5
    8:52

3rd period

  1. DAL
    backhandxG 0.06
    1-5
    7:55

Penalties

DAL 6 PIM·PIT 4 PIM

1st

  • 5:30DALAlexander Radulov · Hookingdrawn by Kris Letang2 min

2nd

  • 0:24DALBrett Ritchie · Trippingdrawn by Sidney Crosby2 min
  • 4:55DALBrett Ritchie · Boardingdrawn by Juuso Riikola2 min
  • 5:47PITKris Letang · Trippingdrawn by Mattias Janmark2 min

3rd

  • 15:54PITJamie Oleksiak · Trippingdrawn by Mattias Janmark2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalDAL goalFinal: PIT 100%

Biggest swing: Jake Guentzel, 1st 3:58 — PIT 54% → 66%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Crosby · Goal · xG 0.36B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.13E. Malkin · Goal · xG 0.13J. Guentzel · Goal · xG 0.12S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.11P. Hornqvist · Goal · xG 0.10Z. Aston-Reese · Missed · xG 0.10D. Brassard · Missed · xG 0.10E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.08S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.07Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.07S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.07D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.07Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.06E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.06P. Hornqvist · Missed · xG 0.06R. Sheahan · On goal · xG 0.06B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.05S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.05Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.05P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.04T. Pearson · Goal · xG 0.04B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.04J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.04K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.03D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.03J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.03P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.03P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.02J. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.02D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.02O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.02K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.02K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.01B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.01B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.01B. Dumoulin · Missed · xG 0.01K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.01P. Kessel · Missed · xG 0.01D. Simon · On goal · xG 0.01O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.01
PIT5 G · 2.4 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsPIT
1.61 G
All situations
5 G2.4
1.41 G
Even strength
4 G2.2
0.10 G
Power play
1 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 68 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL34%66%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.56 – 2.34

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsPIT
19
Shots on goal
30
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/2
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
43
Hits
36
10
Blocked shots
10
5
Giveaways
6
4
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44G. BayreutherD000-100.00110—21:42
45R. PolakD000-100.00540—20:56
4M. HeiskanenD000-200.00010—20:43
23E. LindellD000-100.00120—20:16
39J. HanleyD000-110.03200—18:17
91T. SeguinC000020.390005518:10
15B. ComeauL000-220.08410—16:47
63B. GleasonD000010.02100—16:23
12R. FaksaC000-200.005003316:17
47A. RadulovR011+120.15302—15:36
14J. BennL000010.080007515:32
43V. NichushkinR000010.21110—15:32
16J. DickinsonC000000.002006715:02
13M. JanmarkC011-110.10000014:40
25B. RitchieR000030.101004—13:11
18T. PitlickC000-210.08700013:03
90J. SpezzaC000-220.260006312:58
24R. HintzC101-120.081006710:19
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41L. Bow141401.0000.74+0.7431:08
35A. Khudobin(L)16115.6881.63-3.3728:52

Season series

PIT leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).