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Red Wings at Rangers
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at New York Rangers

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
▸3
New York Rangers
2
FinalTV FS-D, MSG·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the New York Rangers 3-2. The Red Wings scored first and never trailed. The Red Wings led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Andreas Athanasiou's goal at 4:30 of the second period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 64% to 81%. Expected goals were close — DET 3.3, NYR 3.5; shots on goal were DET 30, NYR 43. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Jimmy Howard stopped 41 of 43 (.953), 1.5 goals saved above expected; Henrik Lundqvist stopped 27 of 29 (.931), 0.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jimmy Howard (41 saves, .953), 2. Andreas Athanasiou (2 G), 3. Ryan Strome (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    J. Howard41 saves, .953
  2. ★★
    DET
    A. Athanasiou2 G
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    R. Strome1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET11311215330
NYRNYR017014212243

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. DET
    F. Nielsen(10)
    T. Hirose (1), B. Lashoff (1)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +15 pts
    1-0
    17:16

2nd period

  1. DET
    A. Athanasiou(27)
    J. de la Rose (6), M. Rasmussen (10)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    4:30

3rd period

  1. NYR
    R. Strome(14)PPG
    K. Shattenkirk (24), P. Buchnevich (14)
    wristxG 0.24win prob +7 pts
    2-1
    14:46
  2. DET
    A. Athanasiou(28)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.78win prob +5 pts
    3-1
    19:06
  3. NYR
    B. Smith(3)
    B. Howden (13), N. Pionk (17)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +1 pts
    3-2
    19:50

Penalties

DET 6 PIM·NYR 2 PIM

1st

  • 7:13NYRVinni Lettieri · Interferencedrawn by Brian Lashoff2 min
  • 10:28DETLuke Witkowski · Trippingdrawn by Brendan Lemieux2 min

2nd

  • 0:57DETserved by A. Mantha · Too many men on the icedrawn by Brett Howden2 min

3rd

  • 14:01DETTyler Bertuzzi · Slashingdrawn by Mika Zibanejad2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalDET goalFinal: NYR 0%

Biggest swing: Andreas Athanasiou, 2nd 4:30 — DET 64% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Strome · Goal · xG 0.24F. Chytil · Missed · xG 0.17K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.16B. Smith · Goal · xG 0.15F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.14P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.13N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.13B. Smith · Missed · xG 0.13R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.13R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.13J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.12R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.12J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.11F. Chytil · Missed · xG 0.11B. Lemieux · On goal · xG 0.10L. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.09R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.09B. Smith · On goal · xG 0.09B. Lemieux · Missed · xG 0.08T. DeAngelo · Missed · xG 0.08B. Smith · On goal · xG 0.07K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.07M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.06P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.05F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.05B. Smith · On goal · xG 0.05V. Lettieri · On goal · xG 0.04B. Smith · On goal · xG 0.04P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.03B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.03J. Gilmour · On goal · xG 0.03J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.03K. Shattenkirk · Missed · xG 0.03V. Lettieri · Missed · xG 0.03B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.03V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.03K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.03K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.03K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.03B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.02B. Lemieux · On goal · xG 0.02J. Gilmour · On goal · xG 0.02K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.02T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.02F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.02N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.02B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.02B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.02P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.01C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.01J. Gilmour · Missed · xG 0.01B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.01F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.01J. Gilmour · Missed · xG 0.01T. DeAngelo · Missed · xG 0.01B. Lemieux · On goal · xG 0.01J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.00P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.00V. Lettieri · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR2 G · 3.5 xG · 59 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsNYR
3.32 G
All situations
2 G3.5
2.02 G
Even strength
1 G2.7
0.50 G
Power play
1 G0.8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 97 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET34%66%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.47 – 3.44

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsNYR
30
Shots on goal
43
38%
Faceoffs
62%
0/1
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
23
Hits
27
17
Blocked shots
10
10
Giveaways
9
8
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
17F. HronekD000-140.19320—24:47
65D. DeKeyserD000+110.08130—24:09
74M. BoweyD000+110.01450—20:52
71D. LarkinC000-130.351005319:51
72A. AthanasiouC202+261.400102719:41
55N. KronwallD000+100.00010—19:32
59T. BertuzziL000+100.09002—18:18
41L. GlendeningC000000.004101817:13
39A. ManthaR000-130.24000—16:52
32B. LashoffD011010.01100—15:55
70C. EhnC000+120.07210014:56
53T. HiroseL011000.07000—13:44
43D. HelmC000020.15110013:21
51F. NielsenC101+110.151002913:11
26T. VanekL000+130.41100—12:38
28L. WitkowskiD000+220.04212—12:37
27M. RasmussenC011+100.001107509:31
61J. de la RoseL011+110.051005008:11
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35J. Howard(W)43412.9533.52+1.5260:00

Season series

DET leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).