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New York Rangers at Detroit Red Wings

Final/OTTV FS-D, MSG·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the New York Rangers 3-2 in overtime, Dylan Larkin scoring at 4:54. The Red Wings came back from two goals down. The Rangers led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dylan Larkin's goal at 4:54 of overtime, which took the Red Wings' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 3.3 to 2.6; shots on goal were NYR 30, DET 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Henrik Lundqvist stopped 28 of 31 (.903); Jimmy Howard stopped 28 of 30 (.933), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jimmy Howard (28 saves, .933), 2. Dylan Larkin (1 G), 3. Henrik Lundqvist (28 saves, .903).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    J. Howard28 saves, .933
  2. ★★
    DET
    D. Larkin1 G
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    H. Lundqvist28 saves, .903

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NYRNYR0112120502230
DETDET0601221013331

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. NYR
    wristxG 0.04win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    17:53
  2. NYR
    N. Pionk(3)PPG
    wristxG 0.02win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    18:33

3rd period

  1. DET
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    1:46
  2. DET
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +42 pts
    2-2
    17:58

Overtime

  1. DET
    tip-inxG 0.16win prob +49 pts
    2-3
    4:54

Penalties

NYR 4 PIM·DET 8 PIM

1st

  • 0:25DETMike Green · Trippingdrawn by Kevin Hayes2 min
  • 6:01DETDarren Helm · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 13:31NYRBrady Skjei · Holdingdrawn by Luke Glendening2 min
  • 16:48DETJacob de la Rose · High sticking double minordrawn by Kevin Hayes4 min

3rd

  • 18:11NYRPavel Buchnevich · Slashingdrawn by Dylan Larkin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalNYR goalFinal: DET 100%

Biggest swing: Dylan Larkin, OT 4:54 — DET 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.20A. Athanasiou · Goal · xG 0.17D. Larkin · Goal · xG 0.16A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.15J. Abdelkader · Goal · xG 0.13T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.13T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.13D. Cholowski · Missed · xG 0.13M. Green · On goal · xG 0.11A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.11F. Nielsen · On goal · xG 0.07M. Green · On goal · xG 0.07D. Helm · On goal · xG 0.06L. Glendening · Missed · xG 0.06D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.06G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.06D. DeKeyser · On goal · xG 0.05A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.05G. Nyquist · Missed · xG 0.05T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.05D. Cholowski · Missed · xG 0.05F. Nielsen · Missed · xG 0.04M. Green · On goal · xG 0.04L. Glendening · Missed · xG 0.04F. Nielsen · On goal · xG 0.04G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.04D. Cholowski · Missed · xG 0.03J. Abdelkader · On goal · xG 0.03M. Green · On goal · xG 0.03A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.03N. Kronwall · On goal · xG 0.03T. Daley · Missed · xG 0.03D. Helm · On goal · xG 0.03D. Cholowski · Missed · xG 0.03M. Green · On goal · xG 0.02D. DeKeyser · On goal · xG 0.02D. DeKeyser · Missed · xG 0.02T. Daley · On goal · xG 0.02L. Glendening · Missed · xG 0.01T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.01J. de la Rose · On goal · xG 0.01D. Cholowski · On goal · xG 0.01N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.01T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.01D. DeKeyser · Missed · xG 0.00A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.00J. de la Rose · On goal · xG 0.00
DET3 G · 2.6 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsDET
3.32 G
All situations
3 G2.6
2.50 G
Even strength
3 G2.5
0.72 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR61%39%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.28 – 2.62

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsDET
30
Shots on goal
31
45%
Faceoffs
55%
2/4
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
8
27
Hits
23
15
Blocked shots
4
9
Giveaways
24
4
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44N. PionkD101-110.02430—24:00
77T. DeAngeloD011-130.12200—22:23
76B. SkjeiD000010.02102—21:40
13K. HayesR011070.632006720:34
26J. VeseyL000-120.13000—19:41
21B. HowdenC000-110.421204619:38
18M. StaalD000-100.00120—19:20
22K. ShattenkirkD101-130.13230—19:11
20C. KreiderL000020.15300—19:05
93M. ZibanejadC011-230.362103918:31
90V. NamestnikovC000-120.39220018:01
42B. SmithD000-100.02110—17:24
17J. FastR000-110.19110—16:15
23R. SpoonerC000-100.0920010016:00
89P. BuchnevichL011-120.20002—15:31
72F. ChytilC000010.051002509:09
95V. LettieriC000010.36000008:37
50L. AnderssonC000000.00200006:23
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30H. Lundqvist(O)31283.9032.63-0.3764:54

Season series

DET leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).