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Coyotes at Lightning
NHL

Utah Mammoth at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
Utah Mammoth
1
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸4
FinalTV ESPN+, FS-A PLUS·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Utah Mammoth 4-1. The Coyotes scored first; the Lightning answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Victor Hedman's goal at 0:44 of the third period, which took the Lightning's chances from 53% to 76%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 3.4 to 2.9; shots on goal were ARI 29, TBL 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Coyotes win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Darcy Kuemper stopped 20 of 22 (.909); Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 1.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Steven Stamkos (1 G), 2. Andrei Vasilevskiy (28 saves, .966), 3. Victor Hedman (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    S. Stamkos1 G
  2. ★★
    TBL
    A. Vasilevskiy28 saves, .966
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    V. Hedman1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ARIARI17011011129
TBLTBL1801036424

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. ARI
    C. Keller(14)
    C. Dvorak (4), R. Panik (19)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    5:03
  2. TBL
    S. Stamkos(36)
    R. McDonagh (30), J. Miller (26)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    6:54

3rd period

  1. TBL
    V. Hedman(10)
    A. Cirelli (18), A. Killorn (22)
    wristxG 0.35win prob +24 pts
    1-2
    0:44
  2. TBL
    A. Cirelli(15)EN
    Unassisted
    slapxG 0.50win prob +6 pts
    1-3
    19:15
  3. TBL
    Y. Gourde(20)EN
    A. Vasilevskiy (3)
    wristxG 0.84
    1-4
    19:51

Penalties

ARI 4 PIM·TBL 6 PIM

1st

  • 9:44TBLAlex Killorn · Slashingdrawn by Mario Kempe2 min

3rd

  • 6:18TBLCedric Paquette · Roughingdrawn by Richard Panik2 min
  • 6:18ARIRichard Panik · Cross checkingdrawn by Cedric Paquette2 min
  • 8:50ARIAlex Galchenyuk · Hookingdrawn by Braydon Coburn2 min
  • 18:21TBLSteven Stamkos · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalARI goalFinal: TBL 100%

Biggest swing: Victor Hedman, 3rd 0:44 — TBL 53% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
Y. Gourde · Goal · xG 0.84A. Cirelli · Goal · xG 0.50V. Hedman · Goal · xG 0.35A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.15M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.13B. Coburn · On goal · xG 0.12J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.12C. Paquette · Missed · xG 0.11N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.11N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.10A. Erne · On goal · xG 0.10A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.09M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.08S. Stamkos · Goal · xG 0.07M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.07S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.07B. Coburn · Missed · xG 0.06A. Cirelli · Missed · xG 0.05V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.04V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.03M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.03R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.02M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.02E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.02B. Coburn · On goal · xG 0.02R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.02J. Rutta · On goal · xG 0.02M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.02A. Erne · On goal · xG 0.00E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.00B. Coburn · On goal · xG 0.00
TBL4 G · 3.4 xG · 31 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsTBL
2.91 G
All situations
2 G3.4
2.81 G
Even strength
2 G2.0
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 70 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI66%34%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.84 – 1.98

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsTBL
29
Shots on goal
24
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/2
Power play
0/1
4
Penalty minutes
6
17
Hits
30
12
Blocked shots
12
4
Giveaways
4
9
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23O. Ekman-LarssonD000-110.02200—23:52
33A. GoligoskiD000-120.14220—20:18
6J. ChychrunD000-210.10100—19:36
55J. DemersD000010.02210—19:27
4N. HjalmarssonD000010.02020—19:14
82J. OesterleD000-210.17030—17:33
13V. HinostrozaC000-240.52210017:27
15B. RichardsonR000-110.030007616:57
17A. GalchenyukC000-130.29212016:30
9C. KellerR101040.50110—16:10
83C. GarlandR000-120.20110—15:25
14R. PanikR011000.00002—15:21
40M. GrabnerL000010.15000—15:21
18C. DvorakC011+110.130004615:13
25N. CousinsC000-120.082004314:54
67L. CrouseL000-210.072007512:41
45J. ArchibaldR000-210.17000—10:54
29M. KempeR000-220.270005009:59
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35D. Kuemper(L)22202.9092.03+0.0359:08

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).