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Lightning at Coyotes
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at Utah Mammoth

NHL scoreboard
Tampa Bay Lightning
1
Utah Mammoth
▸7
FinalTV FS-A, SUN·Gila River Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 7-1. The Coyotes scored first and never trailed. The Coyotes led 5-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Clayton Keller's goal at 8:51 of the first period, which took the Coyotes' chances from 66% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Coyotes, 2.7 to 2.3; shots on goal were TBL 31, ARI 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Coyotes win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Louis Domingue stopped 23 of 30 (.767), 4.3 goals below expected; Antti Raanta stopped 30 of 31 (.968), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Michael Grabner (2 G), 2. Antti Raanta (30 saves, .968), 3. Vinnie Hinostroza (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ARI
    M. Grabner2 G
  2. ★★
    ARI
    A. Raanta30 saves, .968
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    V. Hinostroza1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TBLTBL01307111131
ARIARI3921427730

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. ARI
    J. Oesterle(1)
    B. Richardson (1), V. Hinostroza (3)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    6:55
  2. ARI
    C. Keller(5)
    J. Demers (2), A. Galchenyuk (2)
    snapxG 0.03win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    8:51
  3. ARI
    D. Stepan(1)
    B. Perlini (2), A. Goligoski (1)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +10 pts
    0-3
    12:57

2nd period

  1. ARI
    V. Hinostroza(3)
    A. Goligoski (2), A. Raanta (1)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +4 pts
    0-4
    8:26
  2. ARI
    M. Grabner(1)SHG
    B. Richardson (2)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +2 pts
    0-5
    11:48

3rd period

  1. ARI
    M. Grabner(2)SHG
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.26
    0-6
    8:59
  2. TBL
    A. Erne(1)PPG
    T. Johnson (3), Y. Gourde (5)
    wristxG 0.01
    1-6
    9:27
  3. ARI
    R. Panik(1)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.08
    1-7
    12:50

Penalties

TBL 8 PIM·ARI 10 PIM

1st

  • 1:19TBLTyler Johnson · Interferencedrawn by Christian Fischer2 min
  • 9:27ARILawson Crouse · Trippingdrawn by Alex Killorn2 min
  • 14:53TBLRyan McDonagh · Holdingdrawn by Kevin Connauton2 min
  • 19:29TBLBraydon Coburn · Trippingdrawn by Richard Panik2 min

2nd

  • 3:52ARIChristian Fischer · Hookingdrawn by Mathieu Joseph2 min
  • 11:18ARIClayton Keller · Slashingdrawn by Ryan McDonagh2 min

3rd

  • 2:47TBLAdam Erne · Roughingdrawn by Alex Galchenyuk2 min
  • 8:49ARIDerek Stepan · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 9:27ARIserved by B. Perlini · Delaying game bench2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalTBL goalFinal: ARI 100%

Biggest swing: Clayton Keller, 1st 8:51 — ARI 66% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Grabner · Goal · xG 0.26M. Grabner · On goal · xG 0.14A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.13V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.12D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.12A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.11V. Hinostroza · Goal · xG 0.10M. Grabner · Goal · xG 0.10D. Stepan · Missed · xG 0.10C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.09D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.09L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.08B. Perlini · Missed · xG 0.08R. Panik · Missed · xG 0.08R. Panik · Goal · xG 0.08B. Perlini · Missed · xG 0.08V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.07A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.07B. Perlini · Missed · xG 0.06B. Perlini · Missed · xG 0.06D. Stepan · Goal · xG 0.06A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.06C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.05C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.04M. Grabner · Missed · xG 0.04N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.04A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.03J. Archibald · On goal · xG 0.03L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.03C. Fischer · Missed · xG 0.03L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.03C. Keller · Goal · xG 0.03O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.02A. Goligoski · Missed · xG 0.02N. Hjalmarsson · On goal · xG 0.02N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.02J. Oesterle · Goal · xG 0.02R. Panik · On goal · xG 0.02M. Grabner · Missed · xG 0.01K. Connauton · On goal · xG 0.01J. Demers · On goal · xG 0.01O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Demers · On goal · xG 0.01O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.00J. Demers · On goal · xG 0.00
ARI7 G · 2.7 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsARI
2.31 G
All situations
7 G2.7
2.10 G
Even strength
5 G1.6
0.11 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.10 G
Shorthanded
2 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL43%57%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.27 – 2.67

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsARI
31
Shots on goal
30
51%
Faceoffs
49%
1/5
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
10
23
Hits
14
10
Blocked shots
13
11
Giveaways
9
3
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6A. StralmanD000000.00120—20:49
37Y. GourdeC011-130.142005020:36
27R. McDonaghD000030.40212—20:36
98M. SergachevD000-620.04000—18:18
55B. CoburnD000-240.08212—18:16
5D. GirardiD000-200.00320—17:54
17A. KillornL000-340.19000—17:26
86N. KucherovR000-300.14200—16:17
9T. JohnsonC011-110.192025716:03
21B. PointC000010.210106416:00
29S. KoekkoekD000-210.02200—15:27
91S. StamkosC000-310.221005015:06
73A. ErneL101-210.02012—15:00
10J. MillerC000-400.000003814:16
71A. CirelliC000-240.382104313:47
7M. JosephR000040.14400—13:30
13C. PaquetteC000-210.050105012:30
24R. CallahanR000-210.06000—09:47
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70L. Domingue(L)30237.7672.67-4.3360:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).