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Edmonton Oilers at Utah Mammoth

Final/OTTV FS-A, CBC·Gila River Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Utah Mammoth 3-2 in overtime, Connor McDavid scoring at 0:58. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Connor McDavid's goal at 0:58 of overtime, which took the Oilers' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals were close — EDM 2.3, ARI 2.3; shots on goal were EDM 25, ARI 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Mikko Koskinen stopped 28 of 30 (.933); Darcy Kuemper stopped 22 of 25 (.880), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Connor McDavid (2 G, 1 A), 2. Alex Galchenyuk (2 G), 3. Mikko Koskinen (28 saves, .933).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    C. McDavid2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    ARI
    A. Galchenyuk2 G
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    M. Koskinen28 saves, .933

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
EDMEDM141120712325
ARIARI1111120700230

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    C. McDavid(35)SHG
    wristxG 0.20win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    3:38
  2. ARI
    wristxG 0.07win prob +11 pts
    1-1
    18:24

2nd period

  1. EDM
    slapxG 0.05win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    4:52
  2. ARI
    wristxG 0.22win prob +17 pts
    2-2
    5:04

Overtime

  1. EDM
    wristxG 0.19win prob +51 pts
    3-2
    0:58

Penalties

EDM 10 PIM·ARI 6 PIM

1st

  • 2:44EDMLeon Draisaitl · High stickingdrawn by Josh Archibald2 min
  • 6:34ARIChristian Dvorak · Hookingdrawn by Kris Russell2 min
  • 17:52EDMZack Kassian · Chargingdrawn by Jason Demers2 min

2nd

  • 7:40EDMZack Kassian · Interferencedrawn by Jason Demers2 min
  • 9:02ARIAlex Goligoski · Interferencedrawn by Tobias Rieder2 min
  • 16:40EDMColby Cave · High stickingdrawn by Nick Cousins2 min

3rd

  • 10:54ARIRichard Panik · Trippingdrawn by Darnell Nurse2 min
  • 13:17EDMMilan Lucic · Trippingdrawn by Jakob Chychrun2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalEDM goalFinal: ARI 0%

Biggest swing: Connor McDavid, OT 0:58 — EDM 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Galchenyuk · Goal · xG 0.22J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.19N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.16C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.15M. Grabner · On goal · xG 0.12V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.12A. Galchenyuk · Missed · xG 0.12C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.09A. Galchenyuk · Goal · xG 0.07R. Panik · On goal · xG 0.07J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.07B. Richardson · Missed · xG 0.06J. Oesterle · Missed · xG 0.06A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.06O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.06N. Cousins · Missed · xG 0.06V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.05A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.05O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.04V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.04A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.04B. Richardson · On goal · xG 0.04A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.03A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.03A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.02O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.02J. Oesterle · Missed · xG 0.02O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.02J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.02J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.02A. Goligoski · Missed · xG 0.02V. Hinostroza · Missed · xG 0.02J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.02A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.01J. Archibald · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.01A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.01A. Goligoski · Missed · xG 0.01M. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.01C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.01M. Grabner · On goal · xG 0.00V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.00
ARI2 G · 2.3 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsARI
2.33 G
All situations
2 G2.3
1.82 G
Even strength
1 G1.4
0.30 G
Power play
1 G0.8
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM52%48%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.31 – 2.23

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsARI
25
Shots on goal
30
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/3
Power play
1/5
10
Penalty minutes
6
30
Hits
25
7
Blocked shots
13
8
Giveaways
11
2
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
29L. DraisaitlC011+230.431026426:43
77O. KlefbomD011+120.07100—26:05
97C. McDavidC213+330.493004325:29
25D. NurseD000+120.11620—23:20
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC000-100.060003620:54
4K. RussellD011+100.00100—20:39
6A. LarssonD000020.05300—19:06
39A. ChiassonR011+110.16200—18:20
44Z. KassianR000+110.04104—18:10
83M. BenningD101020.08000—15:38
89S. GagnerC000-110.171205012:51
2A. SekeraD000020.02300—12:21
22T. RiederL000000.00100—11:44
27M. LucicL000010.28212—11:25
16J. KhairaL000-110.08110—10:13
12C. CaveC000010.080023309:29
43J. CurrieR000020.13210—06:24
45J. GambardellaC000010.07200006:10
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
19M. Koskinen(W)30282.9332.27+0.2760:19

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).