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Edmonton Oilers at Utah Mammoth

FinalTV FS-A PLUS, SN·Gila River Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Utah Mammoth 3-1. The Coyotes scored first; the Oilers answered. The Oilers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Connor McDavid's goal at 13:43 of the second period, which took the Oilers' chances from 47% to 68%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 3.0 to 2.6; shots on goal were EDM 24, ARI 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Coyotes win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Mikko Koskinen stopped 29 of 30 (.967), 1.6 goals saved above expected; Adin Hill stopped 21 of 23 (.913). Three stars: 1. Connor McDavid (2 G, 1 A), 2. Leon Draisaitl (1 G, 1 A), 3. Brad Richardson (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    C. McDavid2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    B. Richardson1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM0721215324
ARIARI1160905130

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. ARI
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    12:08

2nd period

  1. EDM
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    2:49
  2. EDM
    backhandxG 0.22win prob +21 pts
    2-1
    13:43

3rd period

  1. EDM
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.97win prob +3 pts
    3-1
    19:15

Penalties

EDM 2 PIM·ARI 6 PIM

1st

  • 5:56ARIConor Garland · Hookingdrawn by Tobias Rieder2 min
  • 16:12EDMKyle Brodziak · Boardingdrawn by Conor Garland2 min
  • 17:10ARIAlex Galchenyuk · Hookingdrawn by Brandon Manning2 min

2nd

  • 6:51ARIConor Garland · Hookingdrawn by Adam Larsson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalEDM goalFinal: ARI 0%

Biggest swing: Connor McDavid, 2nd 13:43 — EDM 47% → 68%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Richardson · On goal · xG 0.30V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.20R. Panik · On goal · xG 0.16V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.15C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.13R. Panik · On goal · xG 0.12D. Stepan · Missed · xG 0.12B. Richardson · Goal · xG 0.12R. Panik · Missed · xG 0.11C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.11J. Archibald · On goal · xG 0.10A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.09L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.08N. Cousins · Missed · xG 0.07L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.07L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.06C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.05V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.05J. Oesterle · Missed · xG 0.05J. Oesterle · On goal · xG 0.04V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.04A. Galchenyuk · Missed · xG 0.04O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.03J. Oesterle · On goal · xG 0.03N. Hjalmarsson · On goal · xG 0.03D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.02A. Galchenyuk · Missed · xG 0.02B. Richardson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Oesterle · On goal · xG 0.02J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.02K. Connauton · Missed · xG 0.02J. Archibald · On goal · xG 0.02B. Richardson · Missed · xG 0.02O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.02I. Lyubushkin · On goal · xG 0.02B. Richardson · On goal · xG 0.01K. Connauton · On goal · xG 0.01B. Richardson · On goal · xG 0.01O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01K. Connauton · Missed · xG 0.01O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.01C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.01O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01K. Connauton · On goal · xG 0.00
ARI1 G · 2.6 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsARI
3.02 G
All situations
1 G2.6
1.42 G
Even strength
1 G2.2
0.60 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM39%61%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.97 – 2.55

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsARI
24
Shots on goal
30
55%
Faceoffs
45%
0/3
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
6
36
Hits
29
13
Blocked shots
16
4
Giveaways
2
5
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25D. NurseD000+220.08420—24:46
29L. DraisaitlC112+250.601007723:46
97C. McDavidC213+231.201105023:32
15A. PetrovicD000-110.02520—22:04
82C. JonesD000010.02300—21:50
6A. LarssonD011+310.04530—21:42
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC000020.150103920:35
44Z. KassianR011+150.54100—19:44
22T. RiederL000000.00310—16:40
26B. ManningD000000.00100—13:43
16J. KhairaL000000.00600—13:29
98J. PuljujarviR000020.19210—13:09
83M. BenningD000010.01110—12:16
27M. LucicL000000.01100—11:43
23R. SpoonerC000010.10000011:37
28K. BrodziakC000+100.001025010:22
8T. RattieR000000.00000—10:08
45J. GambardellaC000000.00110007:07
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
19M. Koskinen(W)30291.9672.64+1.6459:47

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).