New Jersey Devils at Calgary Flames
Recap
written from the game dataThe Calgary Flames beat the New Jersey Devils 9-4. The Flames came back from two goals down. The Devils led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Travis Zajac's goal at 17:49 of the second period, which took the Devils' chances from 42% to 66%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 3.4 to 2.1; shots on goal were NJD 26, CGY 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 30 of 39 (.769), 5.6 goals below expected; David Rittich stopped 22 of 26 (.846), 1.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Johnny Gaudreau (3 G, 3 A), 2. Derek Ryan (2 G, 1 A), 3. Elias Lindholm (1 G, 3 A).
Three stars
- ★J. Gaudreau3 G, 3 A

- ★★D. Ryan2 G, 1 A

- ★★★E. Lindholm1 G, 3 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
13 goals1st period
0-15:05
1-116:03
2-118:18
2nd period
3-10:54
3-27:17
3-310:13
4-317:49
3rd period
4-40:41
4-51:01
4-62:37
4-712:01
4-818:41
4-918:57
Penalties
1st
- 6:30
TJ Brodie · Holdingdrawn by Joey Anderson2 min
2nd
- 17:09
Stefan Noesen · Slashingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
3rd
- 1:01
Damon Severson · Ps holding on breakawaydrawn by Johnny Gaudreau0 min
- 6:21
Mark Giordano · Holdingdrawn by Eric Tangradi2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Travis Zajac, 2nd 17:49 — 42% → 66%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.14 G
- All situations
- 9 G3.4
- 1.93 G
- Even strength
- 9 G3.1
- 0.20 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.3
- 0.11 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.06 – 3.36
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 26
- Shots on goal
- 39
- 42%
- Faceoffs
- 58%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 0/1
- 2
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 27
- Hits
- 14
- 19
- Blocked shots
- 7
- 18
- Giveaways
- 20
- 6
- Takeaways
- 9
Box score
every player line
Season series
CGY leads 2-0
2@
1Final
4@
9this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
