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New Jersey Devils at Calgary Flames

FinalTV MSG+, SNW·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the New Jersey Devils 9-4. The Flames came back from two goals down. The Devils led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Travis Zajac's goal at 17:49 of the second period, which took the Devils' chances from 42% to 66%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 3.4 to 2.1; shots on goal were NJD 26, CGY 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 30 of 39 (.769), 5.6 goals below expected; David Rittich stopped 22 of 26 (.846), 1.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Johnny Gaudreau (3 G, 3 A), 2. Derek Ryan (2 G, 1 A), 3. Elias Lindholm (1 G, 3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    J. Gaudreau3 G, 3 A
  2. ★★
    CGY
    D. Ryan2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    E. Lindholm1 G, 3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD2821206426
CGYCGY111211617939

Scoring

13 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    backhandxG 0.20win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    5:05
  2. NJD
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.15win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    16:03
  3. NJD
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +15 pts
    2-1
    18:18

2nd period

  1. NJD
    wristxG 0.12win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    0:54
  2. CGY
    M. Giordano (50), D. Ryan (19)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +17 pts
    3-2
    7:17
  3. CGY
    wristxG 0.11win prob +19 pts
    3-3
    10:13
  4. NJD
    T. Zajac(16)SHG
    wristxG 0.06win prob +24 pts
    4-3
    17:49

3rd period

  1. CGY
    wristxG 0.01win prob +24 pts
    4-4
    0:41
  2. CGY
    J. Gaudreau(32)Penalty shot
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.25win prob +24 pts
    4-5
    1:01
  3. CGY
    wristxG 0.09win prob +15 pts
    4-6
    2:37
  4. CGY
    backhandxG 0.15win prob +3 pts
    4-7
    12:01
  5. CGY
    wristxG 0.08
    4-8
    18:41
  6. CGY
    wristxG 0.17
    4-9
    18:57

Penalties

NJD 2 PIM·CGY 4 PIM

1st

  • 6:30CGYTJ Brodie · Holdingdrawn by Joey Anderson2 min

2nd

  • 17:09NJDStefan Noesen · Slashingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min

3rd

  • 1:01NJDDamon Severson · Ps holding on breakawaydrawn by Johnny Gaudreau0 min
  • 6:21CGYMark Giordano · Holdingdrawn by Eric Tangradi2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalNJD goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Travis Zajac, 2nd 17:49 — NJD 42% → 66%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Gaudreau · Goal · xG 0.25A. Czarnik · On goal · xG 0.24J. Gaudreau · Goal · xG 0.20E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.18M. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.17J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.17J. Gaudreau · Goal · xG 0.15M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.15J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.12E. Lindholm · Goal · xG 0.11D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.10M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.10M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.10S. Bennett · Goal · xG 0.10M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.09D. Ryan · Goal · xG 0.09M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.08S. Monahan · Goal · xG 0.08M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.08S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.06M. Frolik · On goal · xG 0.05J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.05M. Jankowski · Missed · xG 0.05M. Frolik · Missed · xG 0.05M. Frolik · On goal · xG 0.05N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.05M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.04R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.04G. Hathaway · Missed · xG 0.03D. Ryan · Missed · xG 0.03M. Frolik · Missed · xG 0.03J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.03N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.02M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.02M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.02T. Brodie · Missed · xG 0.02J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.02A. Czarnik · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.01R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.01D. Ryan · Goal · xG 0.01O. Fantenberg · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.01S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.01D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.01M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.01M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.01M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.00T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY9 G · 3.4 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsCGY
2.14 G
All situations
9 G3.4
1.93 G
Even strength
9 G3.1
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.11 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD28%72%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.06 – 3.36

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsCGY
26
Shots on goal
39
42%
Faceoffs
58%
0/2
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
27
Hits
14
19
Blocked shots
7
18
Giveaways
20
6
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5C. CarrickD011-400.00110—22:16
28D. SeversonD011020.00020—21:09
8W. ButcherD011-230.11020—19:52
74E. YakovlevD000-210.01210—19:21
16S. SantiniD000010.00040—17:57
18D. StaffordR000010.150105017:56
6A. GreeneD011010.01150—17:38
17K. AgostinoL101020.28400—17:07
19T. ZajacC101020.132005316:57
20B. ColemanL112-130.25310—16:25
58K. RooneyC000000.003005316:11
21K. PalmieriC101-120.08100016:10
56B. PietilaL000-210.160103816:01
23S. NoesenR000-130.45602—15:06
15N. LappinR000-200.00100—14:30
34E. TangradiL000-220.231003311:49
49J. AndersonR000-210.13010—11:12
41M. McLeodC000-210.082002510:25
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29M. Blackwood(L)39309.7693.41-5.5959:58

Season series

CGY leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).