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Calgary Flames at New Jersey Devils

FinalTV MSG+, SN1·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the New Jersey Devils 2-1. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kevin Rooney's goal at 16:47 of the second period, which took the Devils' chances from 13% to 30%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 2.4 to 1.9; shots on goal were CGY 35, NJD 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. David Rittich stopped 19 of 20 (.950), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 33 of 35 (.943). Three stars: 1. Johnny Gaudreau (2 A), 2. Mackenzie Blackwood (33 saves, .943), 3. Mark Giordano (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    J. Gaudreau2 A
  2. ★★
    NJD
    M. Blackwood33 saves, .943
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    M. Giordano1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY01521505235
NJDNJD0515010120

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. CGY
    snapxG 0.07win prob +16 pts
    1-0
    1:07
  2. CGY
    backhandxG 0.16win prob +18 pts
    2-0
    13:52
  3. NJD
    K. Rooney(3)SHG
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.14win prob +18 pts
    2-1
    16:47

Penalties

CGY 6 PIM·NJD 10 PIM

1st

  • 19:03NJDDamon Severson · Trippingdrawn by Johnny Gaudreau2 min
  • 19:34NJDBlake Coleman · High stickingdrawn by Rasmus Andersson2 min

2nd

  • 9:57NJDBlake Coleman · Roughingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min
  • 14:54NJDBlake Coleman · High stickingdrawn by Elias Lindholm2 min

3rd

  • 5:42CGYOscar Fantenberg · High stickingdrawn by Nico Hischier2 min
  • 11:36CGYAustin Czarnik · High stickingdrawn by Kevin Rooney2 min
  • 20:00CGYTravis Hamonic · Cross checkingdrawn by Blake Coleman2 min
  • 20:00NJDBlake Coleman · Roughingdrawn by Travis Hamonic2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalCGY goalFinal: NJD 0%

Biggest swing: Kevin Rooney, 2nd 16:47 — NJD 13% → 30%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Zajac · On goal · xG 0.19K. Rooney · On goal · xG 0.17D. Stafford · On goal · xG 0.16K. Rooney · Goal · xG 0.14N. Bastian · On goal · xG 0.13N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.12T. Zajac · On goal · xG 0.11K. Agostino · Missed · xG 0.10D. Stafford · On goal · xG 0.07N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.06M. Mueller · Missed · xG 0.06D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.05N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.05N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.05N. Lappin · On goal · xG 0.04D. Stafford · On goal · xG 0.04T. Zajac · On goal · xG 0.04B. Pietila · On goal · xG 0.03D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.03B. Pietila · Missed · xG 0.03A. Greene · Missed · xG 0.02T. Zajac · On goal · xG 0.02W. Butcher · On goal · xG 0.02M. Mueller · Missed · xG 0.02C. Carrick · On goal · xG 0.02E. Yakovlev · On goal · xG 0.02K. Agostino · Missed · xG 0.02N. Lappin · Missed · xG 0.01N. Lappin · Missed · xG 0.01B. Pietila · Missed · xG 0.01
NJD1 G · 1.9 xG · 30 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsNJD
2.42 G
All situations
1 G1.9
1.71 G
Even strength
0 G1.2
0.71 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY61%39%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.43 – 1.84

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsNJD
35
Shots on goal
20
38%
Faceoffs
62%
1/4
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
10
31
Hits
42
10
Blocked shots
11
6
Giveaways
9
5
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5M. GiordanoD101020.26100—23:52
13J. GaudreauL022010.15000—21:04
7T. BrodieD000+110.05120—20:32
55N. HanifinD000010.02500—19:57
23S. MonahanC011010.151003619:27
24T. HamonicD000-130.04422—19:11
28E. LindholmC101040.283003818:58
11M. BacklundC000030.052005317:33
4R. AnderssonD000040.11100—16:05
93S. BennettC000020.14120015:27
19M. TkachukL011-130.23100—14:57
77M. JankowskiL000020.151102214:22
3O. FantenbergD000010.03502—14:19
27A. CzarnikC000000.04022013:42
10D. RyanC000000.000003312:51
67M. FrolikR000+120.13310—11:57
21G. HathawayR000020.24100—11:10
88A. MangiapaneL000030.39100—10:50
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33D. Rittich(W)20191.9501.85+0.8559:46

Season series

CGY leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).