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Ottawa Senators at Boston Bruins

FinalTV NESN, SN1·TD Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the Ottawa Senators 3-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was David Krejci's goal at 19:15 of the third period, which took the Bruins' chances from 51% to 96%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 2.8 to 1.6; shots on goal were OTT 19, BOS 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Craig Anderson stopped 28 of 31 (.903); Tuukka Rask stopped 17 of 19 (.895). Three stars: 1. David Krejci (1 G), 2. Chris Wagner (1 G), 3. Brady Tkachuk (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    D. Krejci1 G
  2. ★★
    BOS
    C. Wagner1 G
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    B. Tkachuk1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT061815219
BOSBOS01211425331

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. BOS
    T. Krug (41), P. Bergeron (38)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +16 pts
    0-1
    10:11
  2. OTT
    snapxG 0.29win prob +19 pts
    1-1
    11:08

3rd period

  1. OTT
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +26 pts
    2-1
    2:46
  2. BOS
    T. Krug (42), C. McAvoy (17)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +30 pts
    2-2
    8:47
  3. BOS
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +45 pts
    2-3
    19:15

Penalties

OTT 8 PIM·BOS 8 PIM

1st

  • 4:32BOSDanton Heinen · Slashingdrawn by Colin White2 min
  • 6:28OTTZack Smith · High stickingdrawn by Brandon Carlo2 min
  • 8:07BOSCharlie McAvoy · Trippingdrawn by Brian Gibbons2 min
  • 19:58OTTAnthony Duclair · Holdingdrawn by Peter Cehlarik2 min

2nd

  • 2:27BOSMatt Grzelcyk · High stickingdrawn by Bobby Ryan2 min
  • 9:04OTTMagnus Paajarvi · Hookingdrawn by Noel Acciari2 min

3rd

  • 6:54OTTDylan DeMelo · Holding the stickdrawn by Brad Marchand2 min
  • 6:54BOSBrad Marchand · Roughingdrawn by Dylan DeMelo2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalOTT goalFinal: BOS 100%

Biggest swing: David Krejci, 3rd 19:15 — BOS 51% → 96%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.19P. Bergeron · Missed · xG 0.15N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.15B. Marchand · Goal · xG 0.14B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.14D. Backes · On goal · xG 0.14N. Acciari · Missed · xG 0.13T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.11C. McAvoy · Missed · xG 0.11S. Kuraly · Missed · xG 0.10C. Wagner · Goal · xG 0.09P. Cehlarik · Missed · xG 0.09D. Backes · On goal · xG 0.08D. Krejci · Missed · xG 0.08D. Krejci · Goal · xG 0.08P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.08D. Krejci · Missed · xG 0.08D. Heinen · Missed · xG 0.07C. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.07C. Coyle · Missed · xG 0.06S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.05N. Acciari · Missed · xG 0.05P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.04B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.04T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.04D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.03P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.03N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.03P. Bergeron · Missed · xG 0.03T. Krug · Missed · xG 0.03B. Carlo · Missed · xG 0.03C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Chara · On goal · xG 0.02B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.02J. Moore · On goal · xG 0.02P. Cehlarik · On goal · xG 0.02M. Grzelcyk · Missed · xG 0.02T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.02P. Bergeron · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Chara · On goal · xG 0.01B. Carlo · Missed · xG 0.01P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.01B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.01J. Nordstrom · On goal · xG 0.01C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.01B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.01M. Grzelcyk · Missed · xG 0.01P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.01B. Carlo · Missed · xG 0.00B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.00
BOS3 G · 2.8 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsBOS
1.62 G
All situations
3 G2.8
1.32 G
Even strength
2 G1.9
0.30 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT28%72%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.59 – 2.80

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsBOS
19
Shots on goal
31
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/3
Power play
1/3
8
Penalty minutes
8
25
Hits
22
13
Blocked shots
8
8
Giveaways
15
11
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72T. ChabotD000-120.17100—23:46
5C. CeciD000+100.10500—22:36
86C. WolaninD000+110.09020—19:44
2D. DeMeloD000010.02052—19:35
71C. TierneyC011-110.122004219:18
7B. TkachukL112+220.110003317:55
36C. WhiteC000010.100102517:23
10A. DuclairL000+200.00002—17:18
44J. PageauC101010.292006217:01
9B. RyanR000020.12100—15:58
67B. HarpurD000-110.01220—15:07
74M. BorowieckiD000000.00630—15:07
15Z. SmithC000000.002025814:32
56M. PaajarviL000-100.00102—14:07
38R. BalcersL000010.06100—12:27
89M. BoedkerL000020.07000—10:48
17B. GibbonsC000-130.2800010010:44
24O. LindbergL000010.062002509:43
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41C. Anderson(L)31283.9032.82-0.1859:44

Season series

BOS leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).