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Boston Bruins at Ottawa Senators

FinalTV NESN, TSN5·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the Ottawa Senators 4-1. The Bruins scored first and never trailed. The Bruins led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was David Krejci's goal at 19:09 of the second period, which took the Bruins' chances from 50% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 2.7 to 2.3; shots on goal were BOS 32, OTT 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Tuukka Rask stopped 38 of 39 (.974), 1.7 goals saved above expected; Craig Anderson stopped 28 of 32 (.875), 1.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Tuukka Rask (38 saves, .974), 2. Patrice Bergeron (1 G, 2 A), 3. Thomas Chabot (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    T. Rask38 saves, .974
  2. ★★
    BOS
    P. Bergeron1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    T. Chabot1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BOSBOS11517210432
OTTOTT010114015139

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. BOS
    wristxG 0.14win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    11:17

2nd period

  1. OTT
    T. Chabot(3)PPG
    B. Ryan (4), M. Stone (3)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +22 pts
    1-1
    17:51
  2. BOS
    D. Krejci(2)PPG
    snapxG 0.14win prob +23 pts
    2-1
    19:09

3rd period

  1. BOS
    deflectedxG 0.05win prob +16 pts
    3-1
    0:21
  2. BOS
    wristxG 0.07win prob +6 pts
    4-1
    5:31

Penalties

BOS 15 PIM·OTT 9 PIM

1st

  • 3:59BOSZdeno Chara · Hookingdrawn by Matt Duchene2 min

2nd

  • 5:30BOSNoel Acciari · Trippingdrawn by Thomas Chabot2 min
  • 15:15BOSBrad Marchand · Fightingdrawn by Zack Smith5 min
  • 15:15OTTZack Smith · Fightingdrawn by Brad Marchand5 min
  • 16:19BOSZdeno Chara · Cross checkingdrawn by Mark Stone2 min
  • 18:27OTTAlex Formenton · Holdingdrawn by Brandon Carlo2 min
  • 19:05OTTserved by R. Dzingel · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 5:47BOSZdeno Chara · Trippingdrawn by Bobby Ryan2 min
  • 7:48BOSBrad Marchand · Slashingdrawn by Matt Duchene2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalBOS goalFinal: OTT 0%

Biggest swing: David Krejci, 2nd 19:09 — BOS 50% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.17R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.14C. White · Missed · xG 0.13C. White · On goal · xG 0.13M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.12M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.10M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.10B. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.10M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.09C. White · Missed · xG 0.09M. Paajarvi · On goal · xG 0.08B. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.07B. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.07C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.07T. Pyatt · On goal · xG 0.07M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.07M. Lajoie · Missed · xG 0.07M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.06C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.06A. Formenton · On goal · xG 0.06M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.05M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.05C. White · Missed · xG 0.05M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.05C. Wideman · On goal · xG 0.04M. Paajarvi · Missed · xG 0.04C. Wideman · On goal · xG 0.04C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.04T. Chabot · Goal · xG 0.04A. Formenton · On goal · xG 0.04T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.04A. Formenton · On goal · xG 0.03A. Formenton · Missed · xG 0.03T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.03M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.03M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.02M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.02T. Pyatt · Missed · xG 0.02C. Wideman · On goal · xG 0.02C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.02M. Lajoie · Missed · xG 0.02D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.02C. Wideman · Missed · xG 0.02C. Jaros · Missed · xG 0.02T. Pyatt · On goal · xG 0.02M. Lajoie · Missed · xG 0.01T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.01C. White · Missed · xG 0.01M. Lajoie · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.01C. Jaros · On goal · xG 0.01M. Lajoie · On goal · xG 0.01M. Borowiecki · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT1 G · 2.7 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsOTT
2.34 G
All situations
1 G2.7
1.82 G
Even strength
0 G1.4
0.42 G
Power play
1 G1.3
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 98 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS43%57%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.29 – 2.69

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsOTT
32
Shots on goal
39
55%
Faceoffs
45%
2/2
Power play
1/5
15
Penalty minutes
9
24
Hits
21
22
Blocked shots
15
3
Giveaways
10
5
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25B. CarloD000+110.03420—28:28
33Z. CharaD000+230.06356—25:47
27J. MooreD000+100.02230—25:26
37P. BergeronC123+120.080106718:59
20J. NordstromC000020.042301718:36
48M. GrzelcykD011000.03130—17:50
46D. KrejciC112+130.260105315:46
14C. WagnerR000020.163108615:07
63B. MarchandL011+120.05207—15:06
44S. KampferD000000.01110—14:55
88D. PastrnakR224+250.53000—14:34
74J. DeBruskL000050.46000—14:09
43D. HeinenL011+110.16010—14:04
10A. BjorkL000010.09000—13:15
52S. KuralyC000030.181104012:18
17R. DonatoC000000.00200011:17
55N. AcciariC000010.123023309:05
58U. VaakanainenD000010.01000—05:46
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40T. Rask(W)39381.9742.70+1.7060:00

Season series

BOS leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).