Canadiens at Sharks 2-5 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

NHL scoreboard

Montréal Canadiens

San Jose Sharks

▸5

FinalTV ESPN+, NBCSCA·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The San Jose Sharks beat the Montréal Canadiens 5-2. The Sharks scored first and never trailed. The Sharks led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Joe Thornton's goal at 7:46 of the second period, which took the Sharks' chances from 70% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 2.9 to 2.5; shots on goal were MTL 39, SJS 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Antti Niemi stopped 20 of 24 (.833), 2.6 goals below expected; Martin Jones stopped 37 of 39 (.949), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Marcus Sorensen (1 G, 1 A), 2. Kevin Labanc (2 A), 3. Joe Thornton (1 G).

Three stars

★
M. Sorensen1 G, 1 A
★★
K. Labanc2 A
★★★
J. Thornton1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
MTL	116	114	09	239
SJS	25	110	210	525

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

T. Hertl(30)
Unassisted
wrap-aroundxG 0.03win prob +12 pts
0-1
6:55
M. Sorensen(15)
K. Labanc (33), B. Burns (60)
wristxG 0.03win prob +14 pts
0-2
10:00
A. Lehkonen(8)
N. Thompson (4), B. Kulak (7)
wristxG 0.11win prob +14 pts
1-2
17:56

2nd period

J. Thornton(14)
K. Labanc (34), M. Sorensen (10)
deflectedxG 0.08win prob +16 pts
1-3
7:46
A. Shaw(17)
P. Byron (14), M. Domi (38)
deflectedxG 0.13win prob +15 pts
2-3
15:18

3rd period

T. Meier(24)
J. Donskoi (19)
backhandxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
2-4
6:08
G. Nyquist(17)EN
M. Vlasic (14)
wristxG 0.45
2-5
19:54

Penalties

0 PIM·

2 PIM

2nd

5:15Radim Simek · High stickingdrawn by Max Domi2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: SJS

100%

Biggest swing: Joe Thornton, 2nd 7:46 — SJS 70% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

5 G · 2.5 xG · 33 att

←

attacks

attacks →

2 G · 2.9 xG · 54 att SJS

5 G · 2.5 xG · 33 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

2.92 G
All situations: 4 G2.5; 2.62 G
Even strength: 4 G1.4; 0.30 G
Power play: 0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

77%23%

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.89 – 1.41

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

39
Shots on goal: 25; 52%
Faceoffs: 48%; 0/1
Power play: 0/0; 0
Penalty minutes: 2; 21
Hits: 16; 13
Blocked shots: 13; 13
Giveaways: 10; 13
Takeaways: 14

Box score

every player line

Montréal Canadiens skaters
Skater	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	FO%	TOI
6S. WeberD	0	0	0	-1	4	0.12	2	1	—	22:57
53V. MeteD	0	0	0	-1	2	0.27	0	3	—	21:29
26J. PetryD	0	0	0	-2	3	0.05	1	3	—	21:27
13M. DomiC	0	1	1	-1	2	0.09	0	1	88	19:17
65A. ShawR	1	0	1	-1	2	0.56	1	1	33	18:51
17B. KulakD	0	1	1	-1	1	0.00	1	0	—	18:29
11B. GallagherR	0	0	0	-1	4	0.45	3	0	50	18:19
90T. TatarL	0	0	0	0	1	0.08	1	0	—	17:40
92J. DrouinL	0	0	0	-1	1	0.07	0	0	—	17:10
24P. DanaultC	0	0	0	-2	2	0.06	1	0	33	16:49
41P. ByronL	0	1	1	0	2	0.37	3	0	—	16:43
8J. BennD	0	0	0	0	4	0.04	0	0	—	16:14
43J. WealC	0	0	0	-2	3	0.15	1	1	69	16:04
32C. FolinD	0	0	0	0	2	0.07	0	1	—	15:27
40J. ArmiaR	0	0	0	-2	1	0.07	3	1	—	13:37
62A. LehkonenL	1	0	1	-1	3	0.24	1	0	—	12:01
22D. WeiseR	0	0	0	0	1	0.14	3	0	—	09:55
21N. ThompsonC	0	1	1	0	1	0.05	0	1	44	09:44

Montréal Canadiens goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
37A. Niemi(L)	24	20	4	.833	1.42	-2.58	57:47

Season series

SJS leads 2-0

Dec 23@1Final
Mar 72@5this game

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

Montréal Canadiens at San Jose Sharks

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

2nd

Box score