Sharks at Canadiens 3-1 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

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San Jose Sharks

▸3

Montréal Canadiens

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Recap

written from the game data

The San Jose Sharks beat the Montréal Canadiens 3-1. The Sharks scored first and never trailed. The Sharks led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Joe Pavelski's goal at 15:51 of the second period, which took the Sharks' chances from 68% to 86%. Expected goals were close — SJS 2.7, MTL 2.5; shots on goal were SJS 29, MTL 41. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Martin Jones stopped 40 of 41 (.976), 1.5 goals saved above expected; Carey Price stopped 26 of 29 (.897), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Joe Pavelski (1 G, 1 A), 2. Martin Jones (40 saves, .976), 3. Andrew Shaw (1 A).

Three stars

★
J. Pavelski1 G, 1 A
★★
M. Jones40 saves, .976
★★★
A. Shaw1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
SJS	211	111	07	329
MTL	09	110	022	141

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

J. Braun(1)
Unassisted
slapxG 0.02win prob +12 pts
1-0
2:55
B. Burns(4)PPG
J. Pavelski (6), E. Karlsson (14)
wristxG 0.09win prob +14 pts
2-0
10:29

2nd period

J. Petry(3)
J. Drouin (13), A. Shaw (7)
wristxG 0.23win prob +17 pts
2-1
12:15
J. Pavelski(17)
B. Burns (25), L. Couture (18)
wristxG 0.10win prob +18 pts
3-1
15:51

Penalties

4 PIM·

8 PIM

1st

8:50Mike Reilly · Cross checkingdrawn by Barclay Goodrow2 min
9:48Michael Chaput · High stickingdrawn by Logan Couture2 min
14:52served by K. Labanc · Too many men on the ice2 min

2nd

16:53Shea Weber · Interferencedrawn by Joonas Donskoi2 min
18:36Jeff Petry · Delaying game2 min

3rd

16:03Melker Karlsson · Trippingdrawn by David Schlemko2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: MTL

Biggest swing: Joe Pavelski, 2nd 15:51 — SJS 68% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

1 G · 2.5 xG · 51 att

←

attacks

attacks →

3 G · 2.7 xG · 43 att MTL

1 G · 2.5 xG · 51 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

2.73 G
All situations: 1 G2.5; 1.72 G
Even strength: 1 G2.3; 0.61 G
Power play: 0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

45%55%

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.21 – 2.47

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

29
Shots on goal: 41; 40%
Faceoffs: 60%; 1/4
Power play: 0/2; 4
Penalty minutes: 8; 16
Hits: 35; 22
Blocked shots: 19; 13
Giveaways: 10; 6
Takeaways: 5

Box score

every player line

San Jose Sharks skaters
Skater	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
65E. KarlssonD	0	1	1	0	2	0.10	0	1	0	—	24:38
88B. BurnsD	1	1	2	+1	3	0.11	1	3	0	—	23:08
39L. CoutureC	0	1	1	+1	2	0.35	0	3	0	0	21:21
61J. BraunD	1	0	1	0	1	0.03	2	5	0	—	21:07
8J. PavelskiC	1	1	2	+1	4	0.34	0	2	0	30	20:50
44M. VlasicD	0	0	0	0	3	0.03	0	4	0	—	20:34
48T. HertlC	0	0	0	+1	1	0.08	1	2	0	56	18:14
9E. KaneL	0	0	0	-1	3	0.32	0	0	0	—	16:03
19J. ThorntonC	0	0	0	+1	0	0.58	0	0	0	29	14:44
4B. DillonD	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	3	0	0	—	14:39
62K. LabancR	0	0	0	+1	1	0.02	0	0	0	—	14:12
20M. SorensenL	0	0	0	+1	2	0.13	3	0	0	—	14:08
51R. SimekD	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	0	0	—	13:19
68M. KarlssonC	0	0	0	0	1	0.15	2	1	2	0	13:12
27J. DonskoiR	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	0	0	0	—	12:12
23B. GoodrowC	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	60	12:09
40A. SuomelaC	0	0	0	-1	4	0.32	1	1	0	50	11:42
52L. RadilC	0	0	0	0	1	0.14	1	0	0	0	09:51

San Jose Sharks goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
31M. Jones(W)	41	40	1	.976	2.50	+1.50	59:57

Season series

SJS leads 2-0

Dec 23@1this game
Mar 72@5Final

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

San Jose Sharks at Montréal Canadiens

1st period

2nd period

1st

2nd

3rd

Box score