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Avalanche at Stars
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Dallas Stars

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
0
Dallas Stars
▸4
FinalTV FS-SW, ALT·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Colorado Avalanche 4-0. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alexander Radulov's goal at 8:55 of the second period, which took the Stars' chances from 71% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 2.8 to 1.9; shots on goal were COL 31, DAL 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Semyon Varlamov stopped 26 of 29 (.897), 1.1 goals below expected; Ben Bishop stopped 31 of 31 (1.000), 1.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Alexander Radulov (3 G), 2. Ben Bishop (31 saves, 1.000), 3. Esa Lindell.

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    A. Radulov3 G
  2. ★★
    DAL
    B. Bishop31 saves, 1.000
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    E. Lindell

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL01301008031
DALDAL111110212433

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    A. Radulov(18)
    J. Benn (21), J. Spezza (19)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    16:14

2nd period

  1. DAL
    A. Radulov(19)
    T. Seguin (34)
    snapxG 0.02win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    8:55

3rd period

  1. DAL
    J. Benn(25)
    J. Dickinson (12)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +5 pts
    0-3
    5:19
  2. DAL
    A. Radulov(20)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.75
    0-4
    17:02

Penalties

COL 2 PIM·DAL 4 PIM

1st

  • 11:08COLTyson Barrie · Cross checkingdrawn by Roope Hintz2 min
  • 13:32DALBlake Comeau · Trippingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min

2nd

  • 11:25DALRoman Polak · Trippingdrawn by Carl Soderberg2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalCOL goalFinal: DAL 100%

Biggest swing: Alexander Radulov, 2nd 8:55 — DAL 71% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Radulov · Goal · xG 0.75B. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.25J. Benn · Goal · xG 0.20J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.13R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.13A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.11B. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.10J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.08T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.08A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.08J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.07B. Lovejoy · On goal · xG 0.07B. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.07A. Radulov · Goal · xG 0.06T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.06J. Spezza · On goal · xG 0.06J. L'Esperance · On goal · xG 0.05J. L'Esperance · On goal · xG 0.05A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.04V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.04J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.03R. Polak · On goal · xG 0.03B. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.03M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.02J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.02R. Polak · Missed · xG 0.02J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.02A. Radulov · Goal · xG 0.02M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.02M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.01B. Comeau · On goal · xG 0.01T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Spezza · Missed · xG 0.01M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.01M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.01E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.01B. Lovejoy · On goal · xG 0.00J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.00R. Polak · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL4 G · 2.8 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsDAL
1.90 G
All situations
3 G2.8
1.70 G
Even strength
3 G2.1
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL47%53%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.89 – 2.03

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsDAL
31
Shots on goal
33
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/2
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
20
Hits
29
13
Blocked shots
19
10
Giveaways
22
5
Takeaways
14

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6E. JohnsonD000-110.03300—23:54
29N. MacKinnonC000-240.082104623:53
4T. BarrieD000-250.22012—23:48
96M. RantanenR000-250.20030—22:06
49S. GirardD000010.01200—21:27
28I. ColeD000-200.00110—20:11
92G. LandeskogL000-160.461105619:43
18D. BrassardC000-210.100006717:55
34C. SoderbergC000-110.053002517:54
37J. CompherL000-120.190008817:16
22C. WilsonC000-100.02310013:34
13A. KerfootC000010.090002212:45
12P. NemethD000-120.11210—12:42
11M. CalvertL000-200.05000—12:12
27R. GravesD000-110.02230—12:09
17T. JostC000-100.18000010:57
10S. AndrighettoR000000.00000—09:51
26A. AgozzinoL000-110.09110—07:38
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1S. Varlamov(L)29263.8971.95-1.0553:06
31P. Grubauer3301.0000.12+0.1204:59

Season series

COL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).