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Kings at Predators
NHL

Los Angeles Kings at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Los Angeles Kings
1
Nashville Predators
▸2
FinalTV NBCSN·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Los Angeles Kings 2-1. The Predators scored first and never trailed. The Predators led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Michael Amadio's goal at 9:24 of the third period, which took the Kings' chances from 5% to 17%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 2.6 to 2.2; shots on goal were LAK 29, NSH 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Jonathan Quick stopped 27 of 29 (.931); Pekka Rinne stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 1.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Kyle Turris (1 G), 2. Pekka Rinne (28 saves, .966), 3. Roman Josi (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    K. Turris1 G
  2. ★★
    NSH
    P. Rinne28 saves, .966
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    R. Josi1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK01007112129
NSHNSH11011306229

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    K. Turris(7)PPG
    F. Forsberg (18), R. Josi (37)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +9 pts
    0-1
    8:50

2nd period

  1. NSH
    R. Josi(14)
    V. Arvidsson (9), R. Ellis (27)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +12 pts
    0-2
    0:46

3rd period

  1. LAK
    M. Amadio(4)
    A. Wagner (6), D. Phaneuf (4)
    slapxG 0.15win prob +13 pts
    1-2
    9:24

Penalties

LAK 11 PIM·NSH 11 PIM

1st

  • 7:47LAKDrew Doughty · Holding the stickdrawn by Mattias Ekholm2 min
  • 11:54NSHFilip Forsberg · High stickingdrawn by Dion Phaneuf2 min
  • 17:21LAKDion Phaneuf · Fightingdrawn by Brian Boyle5 min
  • 17:21NSHBrian Boyle · Fightingdrawn by Dion Phaneuf5 min

2nd

  • 10:58LAKTyler Toffoli · Slashingdrawn by P.K. Subban2 min
  • 15:02NSHMattias Ekholm · Cross checkingdrawn by Trevor Lewis2 min

3rd

  • 3:26LAKOscar Fantenberg · Holdingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min
  • 9:59NSHKyle Turris · Hookingdrawn by Ilya Kovalchuk2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalLAK goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Michael Amadio, 3rd 9:24 — LAK 5% → 17%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Turris · On goal · xG 0.17K. Turris · Goal · xG 0.14R. Johansen · Missed · xG 0.14R. Johansen · Missed · xG 0.13N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.12R. Josi · Goal · xG 0.11B. Boyle · On goal · xG 0.10K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.09R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.08V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.08R. Ellis · Missed · xG 0.07F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.07C. Sissons · Missed · xG 0.07R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.06B. Boyle · On goal · xG 0.05C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.05C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.05R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.05V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.05C. McLeod · Missed · xG 0.05N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.05R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.05R. Grimaldi · On goal · xG 0.04M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.04R. Ellis · Missed · xG 0.04M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.04C. Jarnkrok · Missed · xG 0.03B. Boyle · On goal · xG 0.03R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.03R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.02P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.02C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.02V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.02R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamhuis · On goal · xG 0.01R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.01P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.01R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.01K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.01N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.01P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH2 G · 2.2 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsNSH
2.61 G
All situations
2 G2.2
1.51 G
Even strength
1 G1.6
0.90 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK56%44%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.58 – 2.24

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsNSH
29
Shots on goal
29
55%
Faceoffs
45%
0/3
Power play
1/3
11
Penalty minutes
11
23
Hits
16
12
Blocked shots
13
14
Giveaways
16
4
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8D. DoughtyD000030.25322—27:45
11A. KopitarC000020.330007322:21
23D. BrownR000020.22300—20:48
7O. FantenbergD000-110.01322—20:38
24D. ForbortD000000.01120—18:54
19A. IafalloL000040.21300—17:30
9A. KempeR000010.171104717:20
73T. ToffoliC000-150.55002016:28
3D. PhaneufD011+120.12105—16:02
22T. LewisC000010.2210010015:57
17I. KovalchukL000-120.1600010015:56
77J. CarterC000-100.041004315:35
14B. LeipsicL000000.00000—15:29
81M. RoyD000-110.05140—15:06
61S. WalkerD000+120.08210—14:29
13K. CliffordL000+110.01200—09:19
10M. AmadioR101+110.150005008:17
51A. WagnerL011+110.00100—08:17
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32J. Quick(L)29272.9312.25+0.2558:46

Season series

NSH leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).