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Kings at Predators
NHL

Los Angeles Kings at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Los Angeles Kings
3
Nashville Predators
▸5
FinalTV FS-TN, FS-W·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Los Angeles Kings 5-3. The lead changed hands 3 times. The Kings led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Calle Jarnkrok's goal at 11:54 of the third period, which took the Predators' chances from 46% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 4.2 to 2.2; shots on goal were LAK 28, NSH 43. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Cal Petersen stopped 38 of 42 (.905); Pekka Rinne stopped 25 of 28 (.893), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Calle Jarnkrok (3 G), 2. Ryan Ellis (2 A), 3. Roman Josi (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    C. Jarnkrok3 G
  2. ★★
    NSH
    R. Ellis2 A
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    R. Josi2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK0123907328
NSHNSH014212317543

Scoring

8 goals

2nd period

  1. NSH
    K. Turris(4)PPG
    R. Ellis (9), R. Josi (8)
    slapxG 0.06win prob +15 pts
    0-1
    3:18
  2. LAK
    N. Thompson(1)
    T. Toffoli (6), A. Kempe (2)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    5:55
  3. LAK
    A. Kopitar(5)
    D. Brown (3)
    wristxG 0.28win prob +18 pts
    2-1
    6:14
  4. NSH
    C. Jarnkrok(4)
    R. Ellis (10)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +15 pts
    2-2
    8:05
  5. LAK
    A. Iafallo(4)
    A. Kopitar (3), J. Muzzin (4)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +19 pts
    3-2
    10:15

3rd period

  1. NSH
    C. Jarnkrok(5)PPG
    R. Josi (9), C. Sissons (3)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +21 pts
    3-3
    5:44
  2. NSH
    C. Jarnkrok(6)SHG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.07win prob +36 pts
    3-4
    11:54
  3. NSH
    N. Bonino(2)EN
    A. Watson (2), C. Sissons (4)
    wristxG 0.65win prob +5 pts
    3-5
    19:03

Penalties

LAK 10 PIM·NSH 8 PIM

1st

  • 12:27NSHYannick Weber · Trippingdrawn by Alex Iafallo2 min
  • 17:02LAKDrew Doughty · Holdingdrawn by Mattias Ekholm2 min

2nd

  • 1:27LAKDerek Forbort · Trippingdrawn by Nick Bonino2 min
  • 3:50NSHFilip Forsberg · Slashingdrawn by Tyler Toffoli2 min
  • 7:43NSHRyan Hartman · Roughingdrawn by Dion Phaneuf2 min
  • 7:43LAKDion Phaneuf · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min

3rd

  • 5:17LAKDerek Forbort · Hookingdrawn by Craig Smith2 min
  • 9:24LAKJake Muzzin · Trippingdrawn by Calle Jarnkrok2 min
  • 11:06NSHMattias Ekholm · Slashingdrawn by Jeff Carter2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalLAK goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Calle Jarnkrok, 3rd 11:54 — NSH 46% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Bonino · Goal · xG 0.65A. Watson · On goal · xG 0.29C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.24F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.20C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.17R. Ellis · Missed · xG 0.15R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.15R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.12N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.12C. Jarnkrok · Goal · xG 0.11R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.11R. Ellis · Missed · xG 0.10C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.10C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.10F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.10C. Jarnkrok · Goal · xG 0.09R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.08C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.08R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.08R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.08F. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.07C. Jarnkrok · Goal · xG 0.07C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.07A. Watson · On goal · xG 0.07F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.07M. Salomaki · On goal · xG 0.06K. Turris · Goal · xG 0.06F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.06R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.05C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.05Y. Weber · On goal · xG 0.04A. Watson · Missed · xG 0.04F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.03Y. Weber · On goal · xG 0.03R. Ellis · Missed · xG 0.03R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.03R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.03M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.03F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.02R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.02R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.02Y. Weber · On goal · xG 0.02A. Bitetto · Missed · xG 0.02R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.02M. Salomaki · On goal · xG 0.02K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.02Y. Weber · On goal · xG 0.01R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.01R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.01C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01Y. Weber · On goal · xG 0.01A. Bitetto · On goal · xG 0.01F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.00F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.00R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.00A. Watson · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH5 G · 4.2 xG · 56 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsNSH
2.23 G
All situations
4 G4.2
1.43 G
Even strength
1 G2.5
0.40 G
Power play
2 G0.7
0.40 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK27%73%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.08 – 3.47

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsNSH
28
Shots on goal
43
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/3
Power play
2/4
10
Penalty minutes
8
14
Hits
12
16
Blocked shots
9
4
Giveaways
4
3
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8D. DoughtyD000-310.02202—28:43
23D. BrownR011-130.03320—22:10
11A. KopitarC112-130.481105322:09
77J. CarterC000040.180104720:39
24D. ForbortD000-100.00004—19:08
6J. MuzzinD011+210.01112—18:30
27A. MartinezD000+210.03110—18:15
73T. ToffoliC011+130.66010017:34
19A. IafalloL101010.18010—17:05
17I. KovalchukL000-220.09100—16:25
62C. HagelinL000020.03020—15:44
3D. PhaneufD000+120.04332—15:33
9A. KempeR011+110.242003615:07
7O. FantenbergD000000.00010—13:31
44N. ThompsonC101+120.080105713:07
64M. LuffR000020.14000—08:49
13K. CliffordL000000.00000—05:25
10M. AmadioR000000.0001010005:22
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40C. Petersen(L)42384.9053.52-0.4858:26

Season series

NSH leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).