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Jets at Avalanche
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
1
Colorado Avalanche
▸7
FinalTV ESPN+, ALT·Pepsi Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Winnipeg Jets 7-1. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mikko Rantanen's goal at 11:21 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 72% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 4.4 to 2.0; shots on goal were WPG 27, COL 46. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 84% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 39 of 46 (.848), 2.5 goals below expected; Semyon Varlamov stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 1.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Carl Soderberg (1 G, 2 A), 2. Tyson Jost (1 G, 2 A), 3. Nathan MacKinnon (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    C. Soderberg1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    T. Jost1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG0110818127
COLCOL015215516746

Scoring

8 goals

2nd period

  1. COL
    C. Soderberg(19)
    T. Jost (10), S. Andrighetto (4)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +15 pts
    0-1
    3:39
  2. COL
    M. Rantanen(25)
    M. Nieto (17)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    11:21

3rd period

  1. COL
    N. MacKinnon(30)PPG
    T. Barrie (35), G. Landeskog (30)
    slapxG 0.15
    0-3
    0:59
  2. COL
    M. Calvert(10)
    C. Soderberg (17), M. Nieto (18)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +2 pts
    0-4
    1:10
  3. WPG
    K. Connor(23)PPG
    B. Wheeler (57), P. Laine (12)
    deflectedxG 0.18win prob +1 pts
    1-4
    1:57
  4. COL
    T. Jost(8)
    S. Andrighetto (5), C. Soderberg (18)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +1 pts
    1-5
    5:12
  5. COL
    G. Landeskog(31)
    T. Jost (11)
    wristxG 0.17
    1-6
    17:41
  6. COL
    A. Greer(1)
    J. Compher (12), R. Graves (1)
    wristxG 0.17
    1-7
    19:26

Penalties

WPG 33 PIM·COL 21 PIM

1st

  • 19:27WPGBryan Little · Slashingdrawn by Tyson Jost2 min

2nd

  • 1:35WPGTyler Myers · Roughingdrawn by Tyson Jost2 min
  • 3:58WPGBlake Wheeler · Trippingdrawn by Gabriel Landeskog2 min
  • 7:24COLErik Johnson · Slashingdrawn by Kyle Connor2 min
  • 12:14COLA.J. Greer · Roughingdrawn by Brendan Lemieux2 min
  • 19:48WPGJacob Trouba · Holdingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min

3rd

  • 1:26COLPatrik Nemeth · Trippingdrawn by Brandon Tanev2 min
  • 3:09WPGDmitry Kulikov · Hookingdrawn by Tyson Jost2 min
  • 6:42COLPatrik Nemeth · Holdingdrawn by Mathieu Perreault2 min
  • 6:42WPGMathieu Perreault · High stickingdrawn by Patrik Nemeth2 min
  • 7:25COLMikko Rantanen · Trippingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min
  • 7:25WPGJacob Trouba · Roughingdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min
  • 8:13COLNikita Zadorov · Roughingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min
  • 8:13WPGMark Scheifele · Roughingdrawn by Nikita Zadorov2 min
  • 8:13COLNikita Zadorov · Roughingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min
  • 11:46WPGBen Chiarot · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 18:13WPGAdam Lowry · Fightingdrawn by Nikita Zadorov5 min
  • 18:13COLNikita Zadorov · Fightingdrawn by Adam Lowry5 min
  • 20:00COLA.J. Greer · Slashingdrawn by Brendan Lemieux2 min
  • 20:00WPGBrendan Lemieux · Game misconductdrawn by A.J. Greer10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalWPG goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Mikko Rantanen, 2nd 11:21 — COL 72% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.24J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.23M. Rantanen · Goal · xG 0.18G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.18A. Greer · Goal · xG 0.17G. Landeskog · Goal · xG 0.17C. Soderberg · Goal · xG 0.16M. Calvert · On goal · xG 0.16N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.15T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.13N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.13A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.13J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.13J. Compher · Missed · xG 0.13M. Calvert · Goal · xG 0.12N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.11M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.11C. Soderberg · On goal · xG 0.10M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.09C. Soderberg · On goal · xG 0.09G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.09M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.08C. Soderberg · Missed · xG 0.08A. Kerfoot · Missed · xG 0.08T. Jost · Missed · xG 0.08M. Calvert · On goal · xG 0.07T. Jost · Goal · xG 0.07J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.07C. Soderberg · On goal · xG 0.06J. Compher · Missed · xG 0.06M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.06M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.05A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.05M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.05T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.05N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.05S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.04M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.04T. Jost · Missed · xG 0.04M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.04E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.04T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.03T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.03M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.03A. Agozzino · Missed · xG 0.02T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.02C. Soderberg · On goal · xG 0.02R. Graves · Missed · xG 0.02N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.02G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.01T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.01M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.01T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.01S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.01A. Agozzino · On goal · xG 0.01S. Girard · Missed · xG 0.00A. Agozzino · On goal · xG 0.00
COL7 G · 4.4 xG · 57 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsCOL
2.01 G
All situations
7 G4.4
1.60 G
Even strength
6 G3.1
0.41 G
Power play
1 G1.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG16%84%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.97 – 4.39

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsCOL
27
Shots on goal
46
44%
Faceoffs
56%
1/4
Power play
1/6
33
Penalty minutes
21
34
Hits
17
17
Blocked shots
16
5
Giveaways
6
6
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
57T. MyersD000-200.05212—24:44
7B. ChiarotD000-430.07452—20:25
8J. TroubaD000-210.00614—20:23
81K. ConnorL101-210.23000—18:59
44J. MorrisseyD000-200.00120—18:53
55M. ScheifeleC000-220.421024018:38
26B. WheelerR011-130.25212—18:14
17A. LowryC000-100.004252916:35
5D. KulikovD000-220.03012—16:02
83S. NikuD000-210.01110—15:53
29P. LaineL011-120.08010—15:02
13B. TanevL000-320.16210—14:16
18B. LittleC000-110.102026213:28
28J. RoslovicC000-110.0500010012:15
48B. LemieuxL000-130.23401010011:32
9A. CoppC000-230.141004411:17
85M. PerreaultC000010.09312011:15
82M. AppletonC000-110.09100010:07
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(L)46397.8484.45-2.5559:05

Season series

COL leads 3-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).