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Avalanche at Jets
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Winnipeg Jets

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
4
Winnipeg Jets
▸7
FinalTV ALT, TSN3·Bell MTS Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Colorado Avalanche 7-4. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Blake Wheeler's goal at 3:22 of the second period, which took the Jets' chances from 66% to 83%. Expected goals were close — COL 3.8, WPG 3.9; shots on goal were COL 41, WPG 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Philipp Grubauer stopped 14 of 20 (.700), 2.8 goals below expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 37 of 41 (.902). Three stars: 1. Blake Wheeler (1 G, 3 A), 2. Jacob Trouba (1 G, 2 A), 3. Mark Scheifele (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    B. Wheeler1 G, 3 A
  2. ★★
    WPG
    J. Trouba1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    M. Scheifele1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL114215112441
WPGWPG272737721

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    M. Perreault(9)
    B. Tanev (8), D. Kulikov (2)
    backhandxG 0.24win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    3:05
  2. WPG
    K. Connor(15)PPG
    B. Wheeler (46), J. Trouba (16)
    wristxG 0.56win prob +12 pts
    0-2
    13:57
  3. COL
    G. Landeskog(26)PPG
    T. Barrie (26), N. MacKinnon (39)
    deflectedxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    1-2
    16:04

2nd period

  1. WPG
    B. Wheeler(7)SHG
    M. Scheifele (29), J. Trouba (17)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +16 pts
    1-3
    3:22
  2. WPG
    B. Little(8)PPG
    T. Myers (8), J. Morrissey (20)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +8 pts
    1-4
    6:32
  3. COL
    C. Soderberg(12)
    M. Calvert (7), E. Johnson (11)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +7 pts
    2-4
    16:10
  4. COL
    R. Graves(2)
    M. Rantanen (47), C. Soderberg (13)
    wrap-aroundxG 0.13win prob +15 pts
    3-4
    17:43

3rd period

  1. WPG
    A. Copp(3)
    T. Myers (9), M. Appleton (2)
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    3-5
    3:59
  2. WPG
    M. Scheifele(23)
    B. Wheeler (47)
    wristxG 0.27win prob +3 pts
    3-6
    11:12
  3. COL
    G. Landeskog(27)
    N. MacKinnon (40), T. Barrie (27)
    tip-inxG 0.15win prob +1 pts
    4-6
    16:24
  4. WPG
    J. Trouba(4)EN
    B. Wheeler (48), M. Scheifele (30)
    slapxG 0.68
    4-7
    18:54

Penalties

COL 8 PIM·WPG 10 PIM

1st

  • 0:13WPGBlake Wheeler · Trippingdrawn by Erik Johnson2 min
  • 12:20COLTyson Jost · Interferencedrawn by Bryan Little2 min
  • 15:13WPGPatrik Laine · Slashingdrawn by Sven Andrighetto2 min

2nd

  • 2:30WPGPatrik Laine · Trippingdrawn by Alexander Kerfoot2 min
  • 4:44COLCarl Soderberg · Interferencedrawn by Josh Morrissey2 min
  • 9:20COLCarl Soderberg · High stickingdrawn by Brandon Tanev2 min
  • 13:18WPGTyler Myers · Holdingdrawn by Tyson Jost2 min
  • 19:32WPGBryan Little · Trippingdrawn by Samuel Girard2 min

3rd

  • 17:22COLGabriel Landeskog · High stickingdrawn by Josh Morrissey2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalCOL goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Blake Wheeler, 2nd 3:22 — WPG 66% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Trouba · Goal · xG 0.68K. Connor · Goal · xG 0.56M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.31M. Scheifele · Goal · xG 0.27M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.27M. Perreault · Goal · xG 0.24B. Wheeler · Goal · xG 0.19K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.18K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.17M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.14J. Roslovic · Missed · xG 0.12B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.08A. Copp · Goal · xG 0.07T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.07M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.06A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.06M. Appleton · Missed · xG 0.06K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.05B. Little · Goal · xG 0.05P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.05P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.05M. Perreault · Missed · xG 0.04B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.03B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.02J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.02K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.02P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.02J. Morrow · Missed · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.01J. Morrow · Missed · xG 0.01B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG7 G · 3.9 xG · 32 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsWPG
3.84 G
All situations
6 G3.9
2.33 G
Even strength
3 G1.9
1.21 G
Power play
2 G1.1
0.30 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL61%39%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.73 – 3.04

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsWPG
41
Shots on goal
21
44%
Faceoffs
56%
1/5
Power play
3/4
8
Penalty minutes
10
14
Hits
30
16
Blocked shots
18
6
Giveaways
9
5
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4T. BarrieD022-160.24300—24:14
6E. JohnsonD011020.19130—23:54
29N. MacKinnonC022-140.330003822:20
96M. RantanenR011030.60000—21:25
92G. LandeskogL202-140.740029120:57
49S. GirardD000010.06020—20:56
37J. CompherL000020.140004020:23
28I. ColeD000-120.14210—17:16
13A. KerfootC000+100.001002015:18
83M. NietoL000+130.11000—14:54
34C. SoderbergC112+230.250042214:45
11M. CalvertL011040.57210—13:38
12P. NemethD000000.00110—13:09
17T. JostC000010.16212012:53
10S. AndrighettoR000-130.13010—11:35
27R. GravesD101020.15020—11:06
15S. DriesC000-210.012402509:00
25L. O'ConnorR000-100.00000—07:38
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31P. Grubauer(L)20146.7003.23-2.7757:42

Season series

COL leads 3-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).