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Edmonton Oilers at Philadelphia Flyers

Final/OTTV NHLN, NBCSP·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Edmonton Oilers 5-4 in overtime, Nolan Patrick scoring at 2:01. The Flyers came back from two goals down. The Oilers led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nolan Patrick's goal at 2:01 of overtime, which took the Flyers' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 3.5 to 2.6; shots on goal were EDM 44, PHI 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Cam Talbot stopped 34 of 39 (.872), 2.4 goals below expected; Carter Hart stopped 40 of 44 (.909). Three stars: 1. Nolan Patrick (1 G), 2. Connor McDavid (1 G, 1 A), 3. Carter Hart (40 saves, .909).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    N. Patrick1 G
  2. ★★
    EDM
    C. McDavid1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    C. Hart40 saves, .909

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
EDMEDM2181171900444
PHIPHI1711221713539

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.14win prob +10 pts
    0-1
    3:10
  2. EDM
    backhandxG 0.15win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    8:03
  3. EDM
    wristxG 0.09win prob +15 pts
    2-1
    17:33

2nd period

  1. EDM
    wristxG 0.02win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    8:19
  2. PHI
    C. Giroux(16)PPG
    slapxG 0.03win prob +15 pts
    3-2
    16:54

3rd period

  1. EDM
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.26win prob +18 pts
    4-2
    4:07
  2. PHI
    T. Konecny(14)PPG
    wristxG 0.19win prob +15 pts
    4-3
    4:34
  3. PHI
    wristxG 0.12win prob +27 pts
    4-4
    11:02

Overtime

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.11win prob +49 pts
    4-5
    2:01

Penalties

EDM 12 PIM·PHI 8 PIM

1st

  • 1:44EDMRyan Nugent-Hopkins · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Carter Hart2 min
  • 4:14PHIShayne Gostisbehere · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins2 min
  • 9:26PHIIvan Provorov · Hookingdrawn by Jesse Puljujarvi2 min

2nd

  • 5:32PHIScott Laughton · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 10:29EDMMilan Lucic · Trippingdrawn by Nolan Patrick2 min
  • 15:05EDMKyle Brodziak · Hookingdrawn by Sean Couturier2 min
  • 18:46EDMKris Russell · Roughingdrawn by Michael Raffl2 min
  • 18:46PHIMichael Raffl · Roughingdrawn by Kris Russell2 min

3rd

  • 3:00EDMMilan Lucic · High stickingdrawn by Oskar Lindblom2 min
  • 10:42EDMZack Kassian · High stickingdrawn by Shayne Gostisbehere2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalEDM goalFinal: PHI 100%

Biggest swing: Nolan Patrick, OT 2:01 — PHI 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Konecny · Goal · xG 0.19S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.18N. Patrick · On goal · xG 0.16J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.14S. Couturier · Goal · xG 0.14N. Patrick · On goal · xG 0.13C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.12W. Simmonds · Goal · xG 0.12S. Laughton · Missed · xG 0.11N. Patrick · Goal · xG 0.11S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.11T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.09O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.06O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.06C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.05O. Lindblom · Missed · xG 0.05W. Simmonds · On goal · xG 0.05J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.05C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.04T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.04I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.04J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.04C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.04J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.03J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.03J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.03S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.03T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.03S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.03C. Giroux · Goal · xG 0.03I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.03J. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.02R. Hagg · Missed · xG 0.02C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.02T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.02J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.02T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.02J. Voracek · Missed · xG 0.02J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.01T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.01R. Hagg · On goal · xG 0.01R. Hagg · Missed · xG 0.01S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.01O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.01S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.01J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.01N. Patrick · Missed · xG 0.01R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.01R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.01M. Raffl · On goal · xG 0.00J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI5 G · 2.6 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsPHI
3.54 G
All situations
5 G2.6
2.33 G
Even strength
1 G1.6
1.00 G
Power play
4 G0.9
0.31 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 105 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM66%34%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.42 – 2.49

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsPHI
44
Shots on goal
39
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/3
Power play
4/5
12
Penalty minutes
8
20
Hits
20
16
Blocked shots
15
8
Giveaways
8
13
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25D. NurseD000040.04110—29:24
97C. McDavidC112+250.871105023:25
6A. LarssonD101+130.08120—22:47
4K. RussellD000-120.04222—22:31
29L. DraisaitlC000+140.500005721:56
5K. GravelD011+120.02110—18:26
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC000020.330123317:48
16J. KhairaL011+120.1920010015:48
8T. RattieR101030.52100—15:14
39A. ChiassonR000+130.24100—14:30
22T. RiederL000020.18200—13:53
83M. BenningD000+320.04100—13:19
27M. LucicL011+100.000145013:03
44Z. KassianR112+220.32202—13:02
28K. BrodziakC000+120.011125411:53
26B. ManningD000+310.02230—11:38
98J. PuljujarviR000030.03230—09:49
12C. CaveC000020.07000008:28
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33C. Talbot(O)39345.8722.58-2.4262:01

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).