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Coyotes at Senators
NHL

Utah Mammoth at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
Utah Mammoth
▸3
Ottawa Senators
2
FinalTV FS-A PLUS, TSN5·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Ottawa Senators 3-2. The Coyotes scored first and never trailed. The Coyotes led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Vinnie Hinostroza's goal at 3:31 of the second period, which took the Coyotes' chances from 47% to 64%. Expected goals favored the Coyotes, 2.4 to 1.9; shots on goal were ARI 33, OTT 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Coyotes win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Darcy Kuemper stopped 25 of 27 (.926); Craig Anderson stopped 30 of 33 (.909), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Vinnie Hinostroza (2 G, 1 A), 2. Bobby Ryan (1 G), 3. Richard Panik (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ARI
    V. Hinostroza2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    OTT
    B. Ryan1 G
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    R. Panik2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ARIARI110211012333
OTTOTT0101918227

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. ARI
    V. Hinostroza(6)
    R. Panik (10)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    11:39

2nd period

  1. OTT
    B. Ryan(11)
    R. Dzingel (18), D. DeMelo (11)
    snapxG 0.01win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    1:09
  2. ARI
    V. Hinostroza(7)
    K. Connauton (6), J. Chychrun (8)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    3:31
  3. ARI
    D. Stepan(10)
    R. Panik (11), V. Hinostroza (11)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    6:25

3rd period

  1. OTT
    R. Dzingel(20)
    M. Duchene (27)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +15 pts
    3-2
    7:35

Penalties

ARI 4 PIM·OTT 2 PIM

1st

  • 1:29ARIChristian Fischer · Cross checkingdrawn by Matt Duchene2 min
  • 7:36OTTZack Smith · Trippingdrawn by Clayton Keller2 min

2nd

  • 13:46ARINiklas Hjalmarsson · Trippingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalARI goalFinal: OTT 0%

Biggest swing: Vinnie Hinostroza, 2nd 3:31 — ARI 47% → 64%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.17C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.14M. Boedker · On goal · xG 0.13M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.13N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.12Z. Smith · On goal · xG 0.12B. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.10M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.09T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.08M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.08M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.08M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.08B. Ryan · Missed · xG 0.07B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.06B. Ryan · Missed · xG 0.04J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.04B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.03M. Borowiecki · On goal · xG 0.03R. Dzingel · Goal · xG 0.03T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.03M. Paajarvi · On goal · xG 0.03C. Ceci · Missed · xG 0.03T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.02M. Lajoie · Missed · xG 0.02M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.02M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.02M. Boedker · On goal · xG 0.02M. Borowiecki · Missed · xG 0.02M. Boedker · On goal · xG 0.02N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.02C. Jaros · On goal · xG 0.02C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.01B. Ryan · Goal · xG 0.01C. Jaros · Missed · xG 0.01M. Borowiecki · Missed · xG 0.01C. Ceci · Missed · xG 0.01J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.01C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.01J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.01J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.00C. Jaros · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT2 G · 1.9 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsOTT
2.43 G
All situations
2 G1.9
2.03 G
Even strength
2 G1.8
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI60%40%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.43 – 1.94

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsOTT
33
Shots on goal
27
37%
Faceoffs
63%
0/1
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
25
Hits
30
22
Blocked shots
17
11
Giveaways
14
5
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6J. ChychrunD011+230.15210—22:51
82J. OesterleD000-110.03020—22:41
4N. HjalmarssonD000010.01032—22:23
33A. GoligoskiD000000.01230—21:05
44K. ConnautonD011030.03210—20:48
13V. HinostrozaC213+330.25220020:46
21D. StepanC101+340.340304119:23
14R. PanikR022+340.33110—18:23
9C. KellerR000030.22000—18:07
25N. CousinsC000050.452005516:55
17A. GalchenyukC000000.013002913:48
67L. CrouseL000-210.01300—13:30
45J. ArchibaldR000-230.40320—12:54
29M. KempeR000-200.00330912:38
36C. FischerR000010.14002—11:30
23O. Ekman-LarssonD000+100.00100—10:15
10J. WealC000000.061108009:56
83C. GarlandR000010.01000—08:07
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35D. Kuemper(W)27252.9261.94-0.0660:00

Season series

ARI leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).