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Senators at Coyotes
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Utah Mammoth

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
1
Utah Mammoth
▸5
FinalTV FS-A, TSN5·Gila River Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Ottawa Senators 5-1. The Coyotes scored first and never trailed. The Coyotes led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brad Richardson's goal at 6:33 of the first period, which took the Coyotes' chances from 66% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 3.0 to 2.1; shots on goal were OTT 26, ARI 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Craig Anderson stopped 22 of 24 (.917), 0.6 goals below expected; Antti Raanta stopped 25 of 26 (.962), 2.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Alex Galchenyuk (1 G, 1 A), 2. Oliver Ekman-Larsson (1 G), 3. Antti Raanta (25 saves, .962).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ARI
    A. Galchenyuk1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    ARI
    O. Ekman-Larsson1 G
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    A. Raanta25 saves, .962

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT0611208126
ARIARI31418113535

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. ARI
    A. Galchenyuk(1)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    4:09
  2. ARI
    B. Richardson(3)
    M. Grabner (3), N. Cousins (4)
    wristxG 0.22win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    6:33
  3. ARI
    D. Stepan(2)SHG
    A. Goligoski (3)
    wristxG 0.00win prob +11 pts
    0-3
    15:30

2nd period

  1. OTT
    A. Formenton(1)
    C. Wideman (2), C. Tierney (9)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +8 pts
    1-3
    8:20
  2. ARI
    R. Panik(2)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.07win prob +9 pts
    1-4
    8:42

3rd period

  1. ARI
    O. Ekman-Larsson(1)PPG
    C. Keller (3), A. Galchenyuk (3)
    wristxG 0.04
    1-5
    10:25

Penalties

OTT 6 PIM·ARI 10 PIM

1st

  • 14:27ARIRichard Panik · Trippingdrawn by Dylan DeMelo2 min

2nd

  • 9:30ARIAlex Goligoski · Interferencedrawn by Magnus Paajarvi2 min
  • 15:53ARIJason Demers · Holdingdrawn by Alex Formenton2 min

3rd

  • 8:43OTTMark Stone · Roughingdrawn by Ilya Lyubushkin2 min
  • 8:43ARIIlya Lyubushkin · Roughingdrawn by Mark Stone2 min
  • 10:14OTTDylan DeMelo · Slashingdrawn by Derek Stepan2 min
  • 14:19OTTDylan DeMelo · Cross checkingdrawn by Nick Cousins2 min
  • 17:19ARIMichael Grabner · Hookingdrawn by Ryan Dzingel2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalOTT goalFinal: ARI 100%

Biggest swing: Brad Richardson, 1st 6:33 — ARI 66% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Richardson · Goal · xG 0.22M. Grabner · On goal · xG 0.18N. Cousins · Missed · xG 0.14D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.12B. Richardson · On goal · xG 0.11V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.11O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.10A. Galchenyuk · Goal · xG 0.09B. Perlini · Missed · xG 0.09R. Panik · Goal · xG 0.08R. Panik · Missed · xG 0.07L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.06C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.05D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.05A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.05C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.05A. Goligoski · Missed · xG 0.05O. Ekman-Larsson · Goal · xG 0.04C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.03A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.03D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.03C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.03N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.03N. Hjalmarsson · On goal · xG 0.03N. Hjalmarsson · On goal · xG 0.03B. Richardson · Missed · xG 0.02J. Demers · On goal · xG 0.02O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.02O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.02O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.02C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.02J. Demers · Missed · xG 0.02O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.02O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.01D. Strome · Missed · xG 0.01D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.01M. Grabner · On goal · xG 0.01B. Richardson · On goal · xG 0.01C. Fischer · Missed · xG 0.01N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.01D. Stepan · Missed · xG 0.00J. Demers · On goal · xG 0.00D. Stepan · Goal · xG 0.00I. Lyubushkin · On goal · xG 0.00O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.00
ARI5 G · 2.1 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsARI
3.01 G
All situations
5 G2.1
2.21 G
Even strength
3 G1.9
0.80 G
Power play
1 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT65%35%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.94 – 2.09

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsARI
26
Shots on goal
35
37%
Faceoffs
63%
0/4
Power play
1/2
6
Penalty minutes
10
14
Hits
16
14
Blocked shots
12
6
Giveaways
4
3
Takeaways
16

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72T. ChabotD000000.02010—25:47
71C. TierneyC011-130.580202122:56
58M. LajoieD000-200.02020—21:24
5C. CeciD000-130.16420—20:42
95M. DucheneC000010.171007118:58
9B. RyanR000+110.110105018:44
89M. BoedkerL000-220.17100—18:30
18R. DzingelC000-320.49000018:20
61M. StoneR000-310.224023318:19
2D. DeMeloD000030.05134—16:38
36C. WhiteC000-110.260003615:52
6C. WidemanD011-200.00010—14:29
59A. FormentonL101+140.330005013:56
56M. PaajarviL000010.03100—12:13
86C. WolaninD000-100.02020—11:49
17M. McCormickL000020.28100—10:52
10T. PyattL000-120.100003609:42
83C. JarosD000000.00100—06:40
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41C. Anderson24222.9171.37-0.6344:28
1M. Condon(L)1183.7270.74-2.2615:30

Season series

ARI leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).