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Senators at Kings
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Los Angeles Kings

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
▸4
Los Angeles Kings
1
FinalTV FS-W, TSN5·STAPLES Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Los Angeles Kings 4-1. The Kings scored first; the Senators answered. The Senators led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Chris Tierney's goal at 16:40 of the second period, which took the Senators' chances from 47% to 69%. Expected goals were close — OTT 2.5, LAK 2.7; shots on goal were OTT 27, LAK 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Anders Nilsson stopped 33 of 34 (.971), 1.7 goals saved above expected; Jonathan Quick stopped 23 of 26 (.885), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Anders Nilsson (33 saves, .971), 2. Chris Tierney (2 G), 3. Kyle Clifford (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    A. Nilsson33 saves, .971
  2. ★★
    OTT
    C. Tierney2 G
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    K. Clifford1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT0102928427
LAKLAK01816010134

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. LAK
    K. Clifford(7)
    J. Muzzin (14), A. Wagner (5)
    tip-inxG 0.27win prob +16 pts
    0-1
    3:47
  2. OTT
    B. Ryan(9)PPG
    B. Tkachuk (11), R. Dzingel (15)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    14:59
  3. OTT
    C. Tierney(5)
    M. Boedker (21), R. Balcers (1)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +22 pts
    2-1
    16:40

3rd period

  1. OTT
    C. Wolanin(2)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.01win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    1:22
  2. OTT
    C. Tierney(6)EN
    Z. Smith (10), C. Ceci (7)
    wristxG 0.86
    4-1
    19:02

Penalties

OTT 4 PIM·LAK 4 PIM

1st

  • 6:25LAKDrew Doughty · Holdingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min
  • 12:31OTTZack Smith · Trippingdrawn by Alec Martinez2 min
  • 15:42OTTZack Smith · Holdingdrawn by Adrian Kempe2 min

2nd

  • 14:49LAKNate Thompson · Trippingdrawn by Chris Tierney2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalOTT goalFinal: LAK 0%

Biggest swing: Chris Tierney, 2nd 16:40 — OTT 47% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Clifford · Goal · xG 0.27A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.16A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.15T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.13A. Martinez · Missed · xG 0.12T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.11J. Carter · Missed · xG 0.11A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.11A. Kopitar · Missed · xG 0.10J. Carter · Missed · xG 0.10A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.10K. Clifford · Missed · xG 0.10A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.10B. Leipsic · On goal · xG 0.08T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.08N. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.07A. Kopitar · Missed · xG 0.07A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.07J. Carter · Missed · xG 0.07A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.07J. Muzzin · On goal · xG 0.06A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.05J. Muzzin · On goal · xG 0.04T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.04J. Muzzin · Missed · xG 0.03J. Muzzin · On goal · xG 0.03I. Kovalchuk · On goal · xG 0.03J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.03D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.03D. Phaneuf · Missed · xG 0.02A. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.02J. Carter · Missed · xG 0.02J. Muzzin · On goal · xG 0.02O. Fantenberg · On goal · xG 0.02D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.02J. Muzzin · On goal · xG 0.01D. Phaneuf · On goal · xG 0.01D. Doughty · Missed · xG 0.01D. Phaneuf · On goal · xG 0.01C. Hagelin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Muzzin · On goal · xG 0.01K. Clifford · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.00T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.00D. Phaneuf · On goal · xG 0.00D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.00J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.00
LAK1 G · 2.7 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsLAK
2.53 G
All situations
1 G2.7
1.22 G
Even strength
1 G2.0
0.11 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.40 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT30%70%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.64 – 2.71

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsLAK
27
Shots on goal
34
47%
Faceoffs
53%
1/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
14
Hits
19
17
Blocked shots
8
10
Giveaways
10
3
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5C. CeciD011+110.02140—24:07
58M. LajoieD000000.02030—21:42
71C. TierneyC202+330.931004819:37
2D. DeMeloD000+240.10200—19:22
61M. StoneR000+220.350005019:10
15Z. SmithC011010.091045318:20
44J. PageauC000020.011105018:18
74M. BorowieckiD000000.01310—18:06
86C. WolaninD101+230.04000—18:05
18R. DzingelC011+110.080002917:01
83C. JarosD000-120.02130—16:44
89M. BoedkerL011+110.08000—15:32
56M. PaajarviL000-120.05030—15:27
9B. RyanR101030.44000—15:10
7B. TkachukL011+110.2131010014:54
38R. BalcersL011000.06110—11:29
13N. PaulL000-100.030005010:55
36C. WhiteC000010.00000002:01
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31A. Nilsson(W)34331.9712.72+1.7260:00

Season series

OTT leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).