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Los Angeles Kings at Ottawa Senators

FinalTV FS-W, TSN5·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Los Angeles Kings 5-1. The Senators scored first and never trailed. The Senators led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Chris Wideman's goal at 11:50 of the first period, which took the Senators' chances from 66% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 1.9 to 1.3; shots on goal were LAK 37, OTT 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Jack Campbell stopped 7 of 11 (.636), 3.2 goals below expected; Craig Anderson stopped 36 of 37 (.973), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Craig Anderson (36 saves, .973), 2. Chris Wideman (2 G), 3. Thomas Chabot (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    C. Anderson36 saves, .973
  2. ★★
    OTT
    C. Wideman2 G
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    T. Chabot2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK05120012137
OTTOTT381618522

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    tip-inxG 0.20win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    6:29
  2. OTT
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    11:50
  3. OTT
    M. Stone(2)PPG
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    16:19

2nd period

  1. OTT
    snapxG 0.03win prob +3 pts
    0-4
    10:01
  2. LAK
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +3 pts
    1-4
    15:53

3rd period

  1. OTT
    slapxG 0.05win prob +1 pts
    1-5
    11:03

Penalties

LAK 2 PIM·OTT 10 PIM

1st

  • 7:01OTTMark Stone · Holdingdrawn by Adrian Kempe2 min
  • 9:17OTTDylan DeMelo · Holdingdrawn by Tanner Pearson2 min
  • 14:31LAKDerek Forbort · Hookingdrawn by Mikkel Boedker2 min

2nd

  • 5:27OTTThomas Chabot · Hookingdrawn by Michael Amadio2 min
  • 17:26OTTMark Borowiecki · Trippingdrawn by Jeff Carter2 min

3rd

  • 19:40OTTColin White · Slashingdrawn by Adrian Kempe2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalLAK goalFinal: OTT 100%

Biggest swing: Chris Wideman, 1st 11:50 — OTT 66% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Tierney · Goal · xG 0.19M. Stone · Goal · xG 0.17B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.11C. Wideman · Goal · xG 0.11P. Carey · On goal · xG 0.10M. Paajarvi · On goal · xG 0.09Z. Smith · On goal · xG 0.09B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.09M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.08B. Harpur · On goal · xG 0.06C. Wideman · Goal · xG 0.05C. White · Goal · xG 0.03D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.03B. Ryan · Missed · xG 0.03M. Boedker · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Smith · Missed · xG 0.02M. Lajoie · On goal · xG 0.01B. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.01B. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.01M. Paajarvi · On goal · xG 0.01M. Lajoie · On goal · xG 0.00M. Paajarvi · On goal · xG 0.00T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.00M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.00M. Borowiecki · On goal · xG 0.00M. Lajoie · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT5 G · 1.3 xG · 26 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsOTT
1.91 G
All situations
5 G1.3
1.11 G
Even strength
4 G0.9
0.80 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK63%37%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.91 – 1.29

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsOTT
37
Shots on goal
22
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/5
Power play
1/1
2
Penalty minutes
10
23
Hits
19
9
Blocked shots
27
15
Giveaways
6
14
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8D. DoughtyD011+120.11110—27:00
11A. KopitarC000-120.041105221:18
73T. ToffoliC000020.10100020:38
6J. MuzzinD011-120.04110—20:13
3D. PhaneufD000-120.08210—19:04
27A. MartinezD000-200.00420—18:38
28J. Anderson-DolanC000-240.2620010017:57
77J. CarterC000-250.280105017:53
10M. AmadioR000-220.250003316:43
24D. ForbortD000-110.01012—15:36
17I. KovalchukL000-110.12100—14:34
70T. PearsonL000010.02100—14:32
19A. IafalloL000-130.04100—14:29
2P. LaDueD000-200.00300—14:22
9A. KempeR000050.311003012:54
22T. LewisC101030.18000012:26
44N. ThompsonC000-110.010106009:58
13K. CliffordL000+110.07400—09:57
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Campbell(L)1174.6360.82-3.1830:01
31P. Budaj11101.9090.50-0.5029:59

Season series

OTT leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).