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Maple Leafs at Panthers
NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
Toronto Maple Leafs
3
Florida Panthers
▸4
Final/OTTV FS-F, CBC·BB&T Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 4-3 in overtime, Aleksander Barkov scoring at 3:24. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Aleksander Barkov's goal at 3:24 of overtime, which took the Panthers' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 3.4 to 2.3; shots on goal were TOR 32, FLA 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Frederik Andersen stopped 29 of 33 (.879), 1.7 goals below expected; Roberto Luongo stopped 29 of 32 (.906). Three stars: 1. Aleksander Barkov (3 G), 2. Jonathan Huberdeau (1 G, 1 A), 3. Mitch Marner (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    A. Barkov3 G
  2. ★★
    FLA
    J. Huberdeau1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    TOR
    M. Marner2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
TORTOR0801031400332
FLAFLA1101151711433

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    A. Barkov(12)PPG
    E. Dadonov (16), M. Hoffman (15)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    19:56

2nd period

  1. FLA
    J. Huberdeau(9)PPG
    K. Yandle (24), M. Hoffman (16)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +13 pts
    0-2
    8:03

3rd period

  1. TOR
    J. Tavares(20)
    J. Gardiner (17), M. Rielly (24)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    1-2
    10:24
  2. TOR
    M. Marner(7)
    N. Kadri (10), N. Zaitsev (3)
    snapxG 0.35win prob +39 pts
    2-2
    16:21
  3. FLA
    A. Barkov(13)
    T. Brouwer (2), D. Malgin (5)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +40 pts
    2-3
    16:48
  4. TOR
    M. Marner(8)
    M. Rielly (25), J. Gardiner (18)
    snapxG 0.02win prob +42 pts
    3-3
    18:20

Overtime

  1. FLA
    A. Barkov(14)
    J. Huberdeau (29)
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +49 pts
    3-4
    3:24

Penalties

TOR 10 PIM·FLA 20 PIM

1st

  • 10:12TORZach Hyman · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Roberto Luongo2 min
  • 10:12FLAKeith Yandle · Roughingdrawn by Frederik Andersen2 min
  • 10:12TORZach Hyman · Roughingdrawn by Keith Yandle2 min
  • 18:47TORserved by N. Kadri · Too many men on the ice2 min

2nd

  • 7:06TORKasperi Kapanen · Hookingdrawn by Mike Matheson2 min
  • 11:56FLAMacKenzie Weegar · Cross checking double minordrawn by Tyler Ennis4 min
  • 11:56FLAMacKenzie Weegar · Misconduct10 min
  • 17:10FLAMike Hoffman · Hookingdrawn by Mitch Marner2 min

3rd

  • 1:46TORMitch Marner · Trippingdrawn by Evgenii Dadonov2 min
  • 4:05FLAJayce Hawryluk · Trippingdrawn by Nikita Zaitsev2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalTOR goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Aleksander Barkov, OT 3:24 — FLA 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Hawryluk · On goal · xG 0.18J. McCann · Missed · xG 0.17A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.16A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.14A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.14A. Barkov · Goal · xG 0.13D. Malgin · On goal · xG 0.11A. Barkov · Goal · xG 0.11A. Barkov · Goal · xG 0.11H. Borgstrom · On goal · xG 0.10J. Huberdeau · Goal · xG 0.09H. Borgstrom · Missed · xG 0.09A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.09M. Haley · Missed · xG 0.07D. Malgin · On goal · xG 0.06J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.05A. Petrovic · On goal · xG 0.05J. Hawryluk · On goal · xG 0.05T. Brouwer · Missed · xG 0.04M. Matheson · Missed · xG 0.04M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.04J. Lammikko · On goal · xG 0.03M. Hoffman · Missed · xG 0.02D. Malgin · On goal · xG 0.02K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.02J. Lammikko · On goal · xG 0.02A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.02M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.02A. Petrovic · On goal · xG 0.02T. Brouwer · On goal · xG 0.02M. Pysyk · On goal · xG 0.02M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.02M. Pysyk · On goal · xG 0.01M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.01F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.01T. Brouwer · On goal · xG 0.01F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.01M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.01E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.01K. Yandle · Missed · xG 0.00J. Lammikko · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA4 G · 2.3 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TORvsFLA
3.43 G
All situations
4 G2.3
2.73 G
Even strength
2 G1.8
0.70 G
Power play
2 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TOR68%32%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.40 – 2.34

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TORvsFLA
32
Shots on goal
33
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/4
Power play
2/4
10
Penalty minutes
20
12
Hits
24
12
Blocked shots
22
8
Giveaways
25
9
Takeaways
16

Box score

every player line
Toronto Maple Leafs skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44M. RiellyD022+140.28000—27:04
51J. GardinerD022+210.05010—22:40
91J. TavaresC101030.262004721:03
16M. MarnerR202+130.67002—20:42
22N. ZaitsevD011+100.18210—20:04
34A. MatthewsC000+110.221106519:44
2R. HainseyD000+120.14130—19:29
24K. KapanenR000030.17002—17:54
29W. NylanderR000040.620103317:24
43N. KadriC011+220.270105017:00
11Z. HymanL000030.24214—16:33
18A. JohnssonL000000.13100—14:31
23T. DermottD000-100.00100—14:20
12P. MarleauC000+120.06000013:54
92I. OzhiganovD000-110.03110—13:32
26P. LindholmC000020.040205010:44
28C. BrownR000000.00000—10:40
63T. EnnisR000010.10100—07:44
Toronto Maple Leafs goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31F. Andersen(O)33294.8792.34-1.6662:29

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).